Tipps Austria Kazakhstan UEFA Nations League 10/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Austria wins the match

1. Austria’s home performances are much better than Kazakhstan’s away performances. Austria has won 60% of their home matches and hasn’t lost any, while Kazakhstan hasn’t won any away matches.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Austria is also superior. They score an average of 1.8 goals per home match and concede 1.6 goals, while Kazakhstan only scores 0.8 goals per away match and concedes 2 goals. This gives Austria a significant advantage.

3. Probability figures also favor Austria, with an 83.02% probability of winning compared to only 4.72% for Kazakhstan. This reflects the bookmakers’ confidence in an Austrian victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Austria is an offensive team at home, with an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 home games. Furthermore, Kazakhstan has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 away games, meaning Austria’s attacking potential could easily lead to more than 2.5 goals.
2. Based on the provided statistics, we can see that the average goals scored and conceded by Austria and Kazakhstan in their respective last 5 matches exceed 2.5 goals (1.8 + 0.8 = 2.6 goals and 1.6 + 2 = 3.6 goals). This, combined with the given probability of 51.89% for over 2.5 goals, provides a strong possibility of reaching or surpassing this total number of goals.
3. Looking at past match records, several of them have exceeded the 2.5 goal threshold, such as Austria scoring 6 goals against Turkey, or displaying scores of 2-1 against Serbia, and Kazakhstan scoring 2 goals against Azerbaijan, showing their ability to contribute to a total score of over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Austria’s team has a very high offensive potential (64%) and an average defensive potential (57%) when playing at home. This results in a higher probability of Austria scoring a goal and Kazakhstan not scoring, given Kazakhstan’s low offensive potential away from home (29%).

2. Kazakhstan’s recent performances away from home have been very poor, with no wins or draws, a very low average of goals scored (0.8 goals/match), and a high number of goals conceded (2 goals/match). This strengthens the prediction that only Austria would score.

3. The calculated probability of both teams not scoring is 63.21%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (36.79%). This indicates a strong statistical indicator supporting the prediction that only one of the teams would score in this matchup.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 7.00

Bet on the exact result

Austria 2-0 Kazakhstan

1. Austria shows an impressive performance at home with a win probability of 83.02% and an offensive potential of 64%. Kazakhstan, on the other hand, has not stood out in its away matches, having won none of its last 5 matches and having an offensive potential of only 29%.

2. Austria’s defensive performances seem superior to those of Kazakhstan. Austria has a home defense rate of 57%, whereas Kazakhstan has a much lower defense rate away, at only 29%. This suggests that Austria is less likely to concede goals.

3. Goal statistics indicate that Austria tends to score around 2 goals per home match (average of 1.8), while Kazakhstan tends to concede 2 goals away. Furthermore, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is 79.25%, which corresponds to the predicted score of 2-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Austria has been solid at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. On average, Austria scores 1.8 goals per match and concedes 1.6. Kazakhstan, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last five matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded. The balance clearly seems to favor Austria for this match.

In terms of probabilities, Austria has an 83.02% chance of winning, while Kazakhstan has only a 4.72% chance. A draw also seems unlikely with a probability of 12.26%. The option of a draw or an Austria win (95.28% success rate) seems like a safe bet.

As for goals, there is a 79.25% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, while over 2.5 goals has a probability of 51.89%.

Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 36.79%, while the probability of one team not scoring is 63.21%. The previous matches of both teams confirm these statistics, with Austria consistently scoring at home and Kazakhstan conceding in every away match.

Based on these factors, the prediction would lean towards Austria, with a potential score of over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Austria remains strong at home with a 60% win rate and no losses in their last 5 games. However, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (11), making their defense a cause for concern.

On the other hand, Kazakhstan has struggled notably away from home, with no wins or draws in their last 5 outings. They also have a weak defense, conceding more goals (9) than they have scored (4).

Austria has a strong offensive potential at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Despite some weaknesses, their defense manages to limit damage by conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Kazakhstan, on the other hand, struggles to score even one goal per game away, with an average of 0.8 per game. Their defense is more vulnerable, conceding 2 goals per game on average.

There is an 83.02% chance that Austria will win this match according to the odds, with a 4.72% probability that Kazakhstan will turn the tide. Combining the two, there is a very high likelihood (95.28%) that the match will either end in an Austria win or a draw.

In terms of goal numbers, the most likely option, with a 79.25% chance, is that the match will have over 1.5 goals. There is also a 51.89% chance of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals.

Finally, concerning both teams, it is more likely (63.21%) that only one team will score in this match.

In conclusion, with home advantage, better offensive performance, and an 83.02% probability of victory, Austria appears to be the favorite for this match. However, it should not be overlooked that both teams have shown weaknesses in defense, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Analyzing the performances of both teams, as well as their probabilities of success and recent history, it is clear that Austria is the favorite to win the match against Kazakhstan in the upcoming UEFA Nations League clash. Taking into account the statistics, Austria holds a significant advantage in terms of home performances, offensive and defensive potential, and bookmakers’ confidence. Moreover, considering the goal statistics, there appears to be a high likelihood that this match will end with over 2.5 goals. In conclusion, the safest bet would seem to be to wager on Austria winning with over 2.5 goals scored during the match. However, even though Austria is the clear favorite, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen in a match. While the odds heavily favor Austria, it is always important to bet cautiously.