Tipps Auxerre Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 27/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Brest wins the match

1. Brest has a strong offensive potential away from home, averaging 2.2 goals per match, higher than Auxerre’s home average. This offensive potential could enable Brest to score goals and win the match.
2. Brest also boasts a solid defensive potential away from home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, lower than Auxerre’s home average. This means Brest is capable of withstanding Auxerre’s attacks and minimizing the number of goals conceded.
3. According to the probabilities, Brest has a higher likelihood of success (43.46%) in winning the match compared to Auxerre (29.84%), indicating a statistical preference for a Brest victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Brest’s offensive potential away from home is high (79%) with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, which could contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals in this match.
2. Auxerre, although having a lesser defensive potential at home (86%), has managed to score an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 home games. This increases the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals.
3. Looking at past matches, there is a trend where both teams have experienced games with over 2.5 goals. Auxerre’s recent home matches against Monaco (3 goals), Nice (3 goals), and Concarneau (5 goals), as well as Brest’s away matches against PSG (4 goals), Guingamp (4 goals), and Juventus (4 goals), indicate that both teams are capable of being involved in high-scoring games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive potential: Both teams have shown the ability to score in their previous matches (Auxerre at home and Brest away), with respective averages of 1 and 2.2 goals per match. Additionally, Auxerre has scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches.

2. Weak defensive potential: Auxerre tends to concede goals when playing at home, with an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games. Furthermore, Brest has also not been very solid defensively in their away matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

3. Success probability predictions: The suggested probabilities slightly favor both teams to score – with a 51.83% success probability. This means that past match statistics and current team performance indicate that it is more likely for both teams to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Brest wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Auxerre 1-2 Brest

1. Brest’s performance away from home is superior to Auxerre’s home performance, with an offensive potential of 79% compared to 36% for Auxerre. Furthermore, Brest has a higher probability of winning the match at 43.46% compared to Auxerre at 29.84%.

2. Auxerre’s home games tend to see a lot of goals, with an average of 1 scored by Auxerre and 2.4 conceded. On the other hand, Brest averages 2.2 goals per game away from home. Therefore, a scoreline of 1-2 is plausible given these offensive statistics.

3. In Brest’s last 5 away matches, they have scored at least once in each of those games and managed to come back from a 2-goal deficit in two of them. This indicates they have the ability to score more than one goal away from home, further supporting the exact score prediction of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At home, Auxerre is a strong competitor. In 5 matches, they have won 80% of the time, scoring a total of 10 goals. However, they have also conceded 10 goals, giving an insight into their defense. Additionally, they have an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 86%.

Brest, on the other hand, have not recently won away from home, with a 0% win rate. However, they have managed to draw in 40% of cases, scoring 5 goals and conceding 7. Their offensive potential is at 79% and their defense is at 43%.

In terms of probabilities, Brest appears to be the favorite, with a 43.46% chance of winning compared to 29.84% for Auxerre. The probability of a draw or Brest winning is 70.16%, while a draw or Auxerre winning is at 56.54%.

Regarding the number of goals, it is more likely to have over 1.5 goals (71.2%) than under (3.60%). However, it is more likely to have under 3.5 goals (80.1%) than over (3.30%).

Analyzing Auxerre’s recent home matches and Brest’s away matches, Auxerre seems to be in better form, especially with a victory against Nice. Brest, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with losses against PSG and Lens.

In conclusion, Auxerre could stand out at home despite Brest being favored according to the odds. Take into account that both teams have a high likelihood of scoring (51.83%).

The potential number of goals

Auxerre seems to be the home king with a victory in 80% of matches. However, they have also scored and conceded 10 goals, showing a defensive and offensive balance. On the other hand, Brest has not won any away matches but managed to secure draws in 40% of them. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7, indicating room for improvement in their performance.

In terms of potential, Auxerre shows a solid defense at 86% although their attack is less fruitful at 36%. Brest, on the other hand, shines in attack with offensive potential at 79%, but their defense at 43% could be their weak point.

As for the final prediction, Brest has a higher probability of winning the match at 43.46% compared to 29.84% for Auxerre. However, a scenario of a draw or an Auxerre victory is also conceivable with a probability of 56.54%.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability that the match will see less than 4.5 goals with a probability of 90.58%. Similarly, the scenario where both teams will score has a probability of 51.83%.

In conclusion, it seems that this match may see Brest emerge victorious, although the match will likely have a low number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Auxerre and Brest is expected to be an exciting event, with plenty of goals and a high likelihood that both teams will score. Our prediction, based on a thorough analysis of recent statistics and past match performances, leans towards a potential victory for Brest. However, Auxerre, playing at home, is unlikely to make it an easy game for Brest.

Perhaps the safest bet here would be to wager on ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ and ‘Both teams to score: yes’, as both Auxerre and Brest have shown a strong tendency to both score and concede goals. However, if you are looking for a ‘value bet’, then betting on a ‘Draw or Brest to win the match’ could be the most profitable option.

The prediction for the exact score suggests a final result of 1-2 in favor of Brest, considering the offensive performances of both teams. That being said, it is crucial to remember that the world of sports betting is unpredictable and nothing is guaranteed. It is always recommended to bet responsibly and with knowledge of the game.