Tipps Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka J1 League 18/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, Avispa Fukuoka seems to have a slight advantage playing at home and having a balanced goal record. However, Cerezo Osaka should not be underestimated with their superior defensive potential. My prediction would be “Draw or Avispa Fukuoka wins the match.”

1. Avispa Fukuoka’s home performances support this forecast. In 40% of cases, Avispa Fukuoka has won its last home matches, with a balanced goal record.

2. Cerezo Osaka has a strong defensive potential, but seems less effective away from home. They have won in 40% of cases but have also drawn in 20% of cases. Their defensive record is superior with 71% defensive performances compared to 36% for Avispa Fukuoka.

3. Based on past encounters, both teams are not known for scoring many goals. With an average of just over one goal per match, a draw or a narrow victory for Avispa Fukuoka seems plausible.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The average offensive potential of Avispa Fukuoka at home and Cerezo Osaka away is relatively low (50% and 36% respectively). This means both teams struggle to score, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.

2. Both teams boast strong defensive statistics, with a defensive potential of 36% for Avispa Fukuoka at home and 71% for Cerezo Osaka away. These figures indicate both teams are effective at preventing the opponent from scoring, potentially leading to a total score of under 2.5 goals.

3. The recent matches of both teams also show a trend towards low scores, with most matches not exceeding a total of 2 goals. This further supports the likelihood of a total goal count of under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Cerezo Osaka’s defensive performances: With a defensive potential of 71% away from home in their last 5 matches, Cerezo Osaka is strong defensively, making it less likely for Avispa Fukuoka to score.

2. Avispa Fukuoka’s offensive performances: At home, Avispa Fukuoka scores an average of 1.4 goals per match, indicating their limited offensive potential. Therefore, it is possible that they may not score any goals in this match.

3. Match histories: By examining the previous matches of both teams, we observe that in several of them, not all teams have scored. For example, in the match Avispa Fukuoka 1 – 0 Gamba Osaka, only Avispa Fukuoka scored. Similarly, in the match Gamba Osaka 1 – 0 Cerezo Osaka, only the home team scored. This may indicate a trend for only one team to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Cerezo Osaka.

1. The recent performances of both teams show a tendency towards relatively low scores. In their last 5 matches, Avispa Fukuoka has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, and Cerezo Osaka has scored an average of 1 goal per match. These averages are consistent with the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

2. Both teams seem to have similar defensive performances. Avispa Fukuoka has conceded an average of 1 goal per home match, and Cerezo Osaka has conceded an average of 2 goals per away match. This defensive level of both teams could limit high scores.

3. Considering the previous home matches of Avispa Fukuoka and away matches of Cerezo Osaka, several of them have ended in a draw (1-1 or 2-2 for Avispa Fukuoka at home and 1-1 for Cerezo Osaka away), indicating a potential for both teams to neutralize each other.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Based on the last five home matches, Avispa Fukuoka seems to be holding up well. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match and concede 1 goal. This puts their offensive potential at 50% and their defense at 36%.

On the other hand, Cerezo Osaka appears less solid away from home. In their last 5 games, they scored an average of 1 goal per match and conceded 2. This gives them an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 71%.

In terms of wins, both teams win 40% of matches played under these conditions. Cerezo Osaka stands out with a draw rate of 20%, while Avispa Fukuoka remains at 0%.

All indicators suggest a tense match. Bet on under 3.5 goals during the match, with a success probability of 100%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is also 100%. Between the two, the duel will be close.

The potential number of goals

Avispa Fukuoka, at home, shows an average performance. Winning in 40% of the matches, balanced goals scored and conceded (6 each) are noteworthy.
Cerezo Osaka, on the road, has a 40% win rate with slightly fewer goals scored (4) and more goals conceded (5).
On average, Avispa Fukuoka scores 1.4 goals per home match, indicating an interesting offensive potential (50%). Their defense is solid with a 36% success rate.
Cerezo Osaka, in their away matches, has less offensive power (36%) with an average of 1 goal per match. Defensively, they show more strength with a 71% success rate.
The key point: the data suggests very low probability for a match with over 3.5 goals. Whether it’s under 4.5 goals or 3.5 goals, the probability is 100%. Furthermore, it is 100% predicted that both teams will not score.
Recent matches of these two teams have shown balanced scores. This leans towards a cautious prediction, with the possibility of a low-scoring game and no goals for both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the data collected and analyzed, it appears that the match between Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka could be a tight game with few goals. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams indicates a low number of goals, hence the recommendation to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match. Additionally, it is likely that both teams will not score.
The prediction also suggests a draw or a win for Avispa Fukuoka, which has been more stable at home recently. However, the strong defensive potential of Cerezo Osaka should not be underestimated.
It is important to note that while statistics can provide an important and useful insight, the outcome of a football match can still be surprising and depend on many factors that can evolve until kick-off. Therefore, it is essential to closely monitor last-minute developments, such as injuries and team changes, which can influence the match result.
Lastly, it is crucial to bet responsibly and only place bets with money you can afford to lose. Always maintain a healthy and cautious bankroll management.