Tipps Avispa Fukuoka Sagan Tosu J1 League 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka wins the match.

1. Avispa Fukuoka has a 36% offensive potential at home, and they have managed to score in every match in their last 5 home games. Despite conceding more goals on average than they score, their recent performances show that they have the ability to find the back of the net, which could help them secure at least a draw.

2. Sagan Tosu has a 40% away win rate in their last 5 matches, which is lower than Avispa Fukuoka’s 45.99% home win rate. This factor could favor a win or a draw for Avispa Fukuoka.

3. Finally, the calculated probability for “Draw or Avispa Fukuoka wins the match” is 79.68%, which is significantly higher than the probability of “Sagan Tosu wins the match” (20.32%). This suggests that based on statistics and recent performances, Avispa Fukuoka has better chances of winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that Avispa Fukuoka is not particularly effective in attack at home, averaging only one goal per match, while Sagan Tosu scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Therefore, there is a high probability that the total number of goals will remain under 2.5.
2. The recent performances of these two teams indicate a generally low number of goals per match. Most recent matches of Avispa Fukuoka at home and Sagan Tosu away have resulted in less than 2.5 goals.
3. The odds offered for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.72, which suggests that bookmakers also believe there is a high probability that the match will produce less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Scoring statistics: Both teams have a good scoring record. Avispa Fukuoka has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Sagan Tosu has scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have leaky defenses, with Avispa Fukuoka conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Sagan Tosu conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away match.

3. Head-to-head history: In Avispa Fukuoka’s recent home matches, the team has scored in 4 out of 5 matches and conceded goals in 4 out of 5 matches. Similarly, Sagan Tosu has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches and conceded goals in 4 out of 5 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sagan Tosu wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Sagan Tosu” translates to “Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Sagan Tosu” in English.

1. The home performance of Avispa Fukuoka is very similar to the away performance of Sagan Tosu. Avispa Fukuoka tends to score 1 goal per match and concede around 1.4 goals while Sagan Tosu averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded, which suggests a tight match and a potential score of 1-1.

2. Both teams have relatively high draw rates, with 20% for Avispa Fukuoka at home and also 20% for Sagan Tosu away. This indicates that the two teams could cancel each other out, fitting well with a final score of 1-1.

3. Betting odds suggest an expectation of a match with under 2.5 goals (under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72) and a 53.48% probability of both teams scoring. This is consistent with a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Avispa Fukuoka team has a mixed form at home, with one win and two draws in the last five matches. Their offensive and defensive statistics are fairly balanced with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded.

Sagan Tosu has a better performance away, with two wins in the last five matches. Their goal average is higher, with 1.8 goals scored against 1.2 conceded.

Avispa Fukuoka has a 45.99% probability of winning. Another interesting option is the draw or Avispa Fukuoka to win with a 79.68% probability.

In terms of goals, there is a 70.59% chance of having over 1.5 goals, and 76.47% for under 3.5 goals.

Both teams have a 53.48% chance of scoring, reflecting a balanced battle.

In conclusion, Avispa Fukuoka seems to have a slight advantage, but an undecided outcome is also conceivable due to the statistics of balanced draws and goals.

The potential number of goals

Avispa Fukuoka tends to have a solid home game, winning 20% of the time and scoring an average of 1 goal per match. However, they have a scoring potential of only 36%, which could be a hindrance against Sagan Tosu.

Sagan Tosu, even when playing away, has a fairly solid performance with a 40% win rate. They score an average of 1.8 goals per game, with a scoring potential of 64%. This is a significant asset for this match.

Both teams have an average defense, with Avispa Fukuoka conceding 1.4 goals per game and Sagan Tosu 1.2. This could be a potential point of vulnerability for both teams.

The forecast favors Avispa Fukuoka to win with a probability of 45.99%, compared to 20.32% for Sagan Tosu. A draw is also likely at 33.69%.

For the number of goals in the match, the “under 3.5” option is the safest bet with a probability of 76.47%.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 53.48%. Therefore, one should expect a balanced game, with a slight advantage for Avispa Fukuoka.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu appears to be evenly matched. The recent home performances of Avispa Fukuoka and away performances of Sagan Tosu, along with their statistics, suggest a potential draw or a win for Avispa Fukuoka, although Sagan Tosu could surprise with their offensive potential. It is likely that the match will see less than 2.5 goals given the average offensive performances of both teams and the odds offered by bookmakers. As for both teams scoring, the statistics indicate that it is quite possible. Therefore, it is recommended for bettors to consider these various aspects before placing their bets. Regardless, it promises to be an interesting match to follow for fans of Japanese football.