Tipps Avispa Fukuoka Tokyo Verdy J1 League 20/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Tokyo Verdy wins the match

1. Tokyo Verdy has a success probability of 66.67% to win the match according to the provided statistics, which is a major factor in favor of their chances of victory.

2. Looking at previous performances, Avispa Fukuoka has not been very strong on their own turf recently (with a 0-2 win against Ehime FC and a 1-2 loss against Kyoto Sanga), while Tokyo Verdy has managed to win away from home (with a 1-2 win against Yokohama F. Marinos and a 0-1 win against Vissel Kobe).

3. The data shows that Tokyo Verdy’s defensive potential away from home is higher than the average of Avispa Fukuoka at home (50% vs 43%). This means that Tokyo Verdy is more capable of resisting Avispa Fukuoka’s attacks, which could lead to a Tokyo Verdy victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The statistics show that both teams score and concede few goals per match. Avispa Fukuoka averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Tokyo Verdy averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. These are relatively low numbers that suggest a low-scoring match.

2. The recent results of each team also show a low number of goals per match. For example, in the last five home matches of Avispa Fukuoka, none has seen more than 2.5 goals, except for the match against Fukuyama City. Similarly, none of Tokyo Verdy’s last five away matches has exceeded 2.5 goals.

3. When analyzing the bets, the option of under 2.5 goals in the match is the most probable, with a 100% success rate for under 4.5 goals in the match. This reinforces the idea that the match will likely be low-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The analysis of the last 5 matches of each team shows that Avispa Fukuoka has scored 13 goals in 5 home matches, averaging 2.6 goals per match, and conceded 13 goals. Similarly, Tokyo Verdy has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating some offensive capability. These numbers suggest it is likely that both teams will score.

2. The offensive potential statistics for Avispa Fukuoka at home and Tokyo Verdy away are 29% and 21% respectively. This means that both teams have shown their ability to score in previous matches.

3. The probability statistics suggest that “Both teams to score” has a success rate of 66.67%. This is a strong indication that both teams are likely to score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Tokyo Verdy wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Tokyo Verdy

1. Tokyo Verdy has a higher probability of winning with 66.67% chances compared to only 0% for Avispa Fukuoka. Additionally, Tokyo Verdy has won 40% of its away matches, indicating some resilience when playing away from home.

2. Recent performances suggest that Tokyo Verdy has a stronger defense than Avispa Fukuoka. Tokyo Verdy concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match away, while Avispa Fukuoka concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home. Although the difference is small, this could help Tokyo Verdy hold on to a lead once secured.

3. The total number of expected goals for the match, based on the odds, is around 2 or 3 (with a 66.67% probability), which is consistent with a final score of 1-2. Additionally, both teams have a 66.67% probability of scoring during the match, which also aligns with the prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Avispa Fukuoka shows a balanced performance at home, with 60% wins and 40% draws. They have scored 13 goals in five matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game.

Tokyo Verdy, as the visiting team, has won two out of the last five matches played, scoring 4 goals, which is an average of 0.8 goals per game.

With an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%, Avispa Fukuoka has shown defensive weaknesses so far.

On the other hand, Tokyo Verdy’s team has a low performing offense at 21% and a solid defense at 50%.

The probability of victory favors Tokyo Verdy with 66.67% against 0% for Avispa Fukuoka. However, the draw is high at 33.33%.

The bet “Over 1.5 goals in the match” seems to be the most promising with a success probability of 66.67%. Likewise, “Both teams to score” has a good chance of success at 66.67%.

Looking at Avispa Fukuoka’s last five home matches, they seem to struggle, including a 0-2 loss against Ehime FC.

For Tokyo Verdy, their recent away performances are mixed, as evidenced by a 3-0 loss against Jubilo Iwata.

In summary: Tokyo Verdy has a higher chance of winning this match, despite a tepid attack. Avispa Fukuoka needs to prove their worth, especially in defense. A bet on “Over 1.5 goals in the match” could be profitable.

The potential number of goals

Avispa Fukuoka at home shows a strong performance, winning 60% of their last games. However, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (13).

Tokyo Verdy, away from home, wins less with only a 40% victory rate. Their games are often tight, scoring and conceding 4 goals in the last matches.

Avispa Fukuoka demonstrates an offensive power of 29% at home, scoring around 0.8 goals per match, but they concede on average 1.2 goals.

Tokyo Verdy has an offensive potential of 21% away from home, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4 goals per match.

The match has a 66.67% chance of seeing Tokyo Verdy as the winner, against 0% for Avispa Fukuoka. A draw, although less likely, could be a surprise.

A safe bet would be “Draw or Tokyo Verdy wins the match,” with a success probability of 100%.

In terms of goals, it is more likely to see over 1.5 goals in the match (66.67% chance), and under 4.5 goals (100% chance).

Both teams have a 66.67% probability of scoring.

Analyzing the recent encounters, Avispa Fukuoka seems to struggle against strong teams, while Tokyo Verdy has been able to create surprises.

My recommendations for this match would be to bet on “Draw or Tokyo Verdy wins the match” and “Over 1.5 goals in the match”.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Avispa Fukuoka and Tokyo Verdy appears to be an intriguing clash. Tokyo Verdy seems to have the advantage with a 66.67% probability of winning. Past performances and current statistics suggest that Tokyo Verdy has a solid defense, capable of withstanding Avispa Fukuoka’s attacks, and performs better in away matches. It is also likely that the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

In terms of sports betting, “draw or Tokyo Verdy win” seems to be a good option. Additionally, a safe bet could be to wager on “over 1.5 goals in the match”, given the statistics of both teams.

Furthermore, both teams are expected to score during the match based on their past offensive performances. However, Avispa Fukuoka will need to address its defensive issues to resist Tokyo Verdy.

It is worth noting that while betting on the exact score is riskier due to the unpredictable nature of football, a 1-2 victory for Tokyo Verdy could be a plausible outcome of this match.

As always, these predictions are subject to the inherent variability of sports betting. It is recommended to bet responsibly and knowledgeably.