Tipps AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

AZ Alkmaar wins the match.

1. AZ Alkmaar has a higher probability of winning (69.59%) compared to NEC Nijmegen (12.37%). This is a crucial point to consider for the prediction.
2. AZ Alkmaar has shown superior offensive potential in their previous home matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game compared to NEC Nijmegen’s average of 0.6 goals per away game. This offensive performance could give them the edge.
3. At home, AZ Alkmaar has a stronger defense. They concede an average of 0.8 goals per game, compared to NEC Nijmegen’s 1.6 goals per away game. This defensive solidity at home could be a determining factor in favor of AZ Alkmaar to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The number of goals scored by both teams in their respective last 5 matches has consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards high-scoring matches.
2. The probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is 63.92%, which is a significant forecast in favor of this possibility.
3. AZ Alkmaar has a strong offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, while NEC Nijmegen has a weak defense away from home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. These two factors increase the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches show that both teams have a strong offensive capability. AZ Alkmaar has scored 16 goals in their last 5 home games, while NEC Nijmegen has scored 11 goals in their last 5 outings.
2. Both teams have also shown defensive vulnerabilities. AZ Alkmaar has conceded as many goals as they have scored (16) at home, while NEC Nijmegen has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. AZ Alkmaar historically has a 50% offensive potential in their home games, reinforcing the idea that they will score. Similarly, NEC Nijmegen, despite a lower offensive potential away from home (21%), has shown their ability to score in away matches against potentially stronger opponents.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 NEC Nijmegen

1. History of AZ Alkmaar’s recent home matches: The history of AZ Alkmaar’s last 5 home matches shows that they have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded an average of only 0.8 goals per match. Additionally, they have won 60% of the time, indicating a strong home performance.

2. NEC Nijmegen’s away performances: The statistics from NEC Nijmegen’s last 5 away matches show an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match, highlighting their defensive weakness when playing away.

3. Probable odds for both teams: The odds suggest that AZ Alkmaar have a near 70% likelihood of winning the match, significantly higher than NEC Nijmegen’s odds (12.37%). Furthermore, there is a high probability of over 2.5 goals in the match (63.92% likelihood). Therefore, the match outcome could very well be 2-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

AZ Alkmaar has a good home form with a 60% win rate. They have scored 16 goals and conceded the same in 5 matches. However, their average offensive and defensive are 1.4 and 0.8 goals per match respectively.

NEC Nijmegen plays solidly away from home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 11 goals but conceded 12 in 5 matches. Their average offensive and defensive are 0.6 and 1.6 goals per match respectively.

AZ Alkmaar has a 69.59% chance of winning, with odds of 1.47. Nijmegen has only a 12.37% chance with odds of 6.40. A draw is unlikely at 18.04%.

The forecast suggests over 1.5 goals in the match with an 84.02% probability. There is also a 63.92% chance that the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

Analyzing their recent matches, AZ Alkmaar has been scoring well, especially in their crushing 8-0 victory against Excelsior. Nijmegen has been able to score regularly, with notable wins against Almere City FC and Excelsior.

Based on these statistics, a plausible prediction would be a victory for AZ Alkmaar with over 2.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

AZ Alkmaar has an impressive home scoring record with 16 goals in 5 matches. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, has been a bit more discreet, scoring 11 goals away from home. However, AZ Alkmaar has also conceded 16 goals, indicating a sometimes vulnerable defense. Meanwhile, NEC Nijmegen has let in 12 goals on the road.

AZ Alkmaar leads in offensive potential with 50% compared to NEC’s 21%. Defensively, NEC has the advantage with 57% against AZ’s 29%.

Betting odds heavily favor AZ Alkmaar with a 69.59% chance of winning. Nevertheless, NEC Nijmegen should not be discounted, with a 12.37% probability of victory.

In terms of scores, over 1.5 goals during the match is likely at 84.02%. A match with over 3.5 goals is also conceivable at 53.61%.

In conclusion, AZ Alkmaar is in good form but their defense could be a weak spot. On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen will need to step up their attacking game to have a chance at victory.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the data collected and analyzed, AZ Alkmaar appears to be the favorite in this match with a 69.59% probability of winning. The statistics highlight a tendency for high scores in matches involving these two teams, suggesting that the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet has a high likelihood of success. Furthermore, both teams have shown offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, making it probable that each team will score at least one goal. Therefore, the exact score bet could be 2-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar. However, the world of sports is full of surprises and nothing is guaranteed. Sports betting remains a game of chance, so it is important to bet responsibly.