Tipps Azerbaijan Slovakia UEFA Nations League 14/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Slovakia wins the match

1. Slovakia has a stronger defensive potential, conceding on average fewer goals per match (1 goal on average compared to 2.2 for Azerbaijan), making them a harder team to beat.

2. Slovakia’s recent away matches show a competitive team capable of winning or drawing, even against opponents considered stronger.

3. Despite its home victories, Azerbaijan has shown a leaky defense by conceding as many goals as they scored (9 goals scored to 9 conceded), which could benefit a more defensively stable Slovak team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Azerbaijan’s home performance history and Slovakia’s away performance history indicate an average goal count of less than 2.5 per match: Azerbaijan at home scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 2.2 goals, while Slovakia away scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1 goal per match.
2. Both teams have similar offensive profiles (43% offensive potential for both) and quite good defensive abilities (79% for Azerbaijan and 36% for Slovakia), suggesting a close match and therefore fewer goals.
3. The recent home matches of Azerbaijan and away matches of Slovakia have mostly seen a total of goals below 2.5. For example, among the last 5 home matches of Azerbaijan, 3 had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, among the last 5 away matches of Slovakia, 4 had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Azerbaijan has conceded almost twice as many goals as they have scored, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match, indicating a potentially leaky defense that may struggle against the Slovakian attack.

2. Away from home, Slovakia has similar statistics to Azerbaijan’s home record. Despite winning in 60% of cases, the team has a weaker offensive potential than at home, scoring only 1.2 goals on average per match, which could make them less likely to score against Azerbaijan on the road.

3. The calculated probability for both teams not to score is 100%, a result of various statistical and mathematical factors, incorporating both teams’ recent performances, historical trends, among other factors. This reinforces the notion that one of the teams is likely to draw a blank in this matchup.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Azerbaijan 1-1 Slovakia

1. The scoring statistics of both teams are quite similar and suggest a trend towards close matches. Azerbaijan has scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals in 5 home matches; Slovakia has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches. These are averages close to 1 goal scored and conceded per match for each team.

2. The recent matches of both teams show an ability to score and hold the score. Azerbaijan has recorded scores of 1-3, 3-2, 1-1, 1-0, and 3-0 at home; while Slovakia has recorded scores of 0-1, 1-1, 0-1, 1-1, and 1-2 away. Several of these scores correspond to a 1-1 draw hypothesis.

3. The statistics on offensive and defensive potential also suggest a balanced match. Azerbaijan at home has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%. Slovakia away has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%. This suggests that both teams have a comparable ability to score and defend.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Azerbaijan has shown a balanced strength at home, with 60% of wins and 20% of draws in their last 5 matches. Their attack has scored a total of 9 goals, despite a sometimes porous defense that has conceded the same number.

For Slovakia, it’s a similar performance away, also with 60% wins and 20% draws. Their offensive record shows 6 goals, but their defense has conceded 7.

In terms of potential, Azerbaijan demonstrates a 43% offensive efficiency at home, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. However, their defense has weaknesses to correct, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Slovakia, in their away matches, shows the same offensive potential of 43% with an identical average of 1.2 goals per game. Their defense is stronger with an average of only 1 goal conceded per match.

Based on these data, there seems to be a high probability of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals. The indicator states a success probability of 100%. Another strong point of the analysis: both teams will not score, again with a success probability of 100%.

Recalling past matches, Azerbaijan and Slovakia have shown strong performances, each securing victories against respectable opponents.

Finally, it is important to note that information on the probability of teams winning, drawing, and exact scores are not available.

The potential number of goals

Azerbaijan has been getting average scores. In their last 5 home matches, they have won 60% of the time and scored 9 goals. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, almost 2 goals per match.

Slovakia, on the other hand, is a tough opponent away from home. They win 60% of their matches on the road, scoring 6 goals in total, but conceding 7 goals. A point to watch out for.

The average goals scored by both teams are similar: 1.2 goals per match. However, defensively, Azerbaijan struggles more with an average of 2.2 goals conceded at home.

Unfortunately, the success probabilities are 0% for all win or draw scenarios. This suggests a very tight, undecided match.

However, the scenario where both teams do not score has a success probability of 100%. Knowing this, a low-scoring match is to be expected.

In summary, this UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan and Slovakia could be a close duel, potentially with few goals but a lot of suspense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the showdown between Azerbaijan and Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League could result in a very close and low-scoring match, considering the statistical analysis and past performances of each team. Slovakia appears to have defensive advantages, despite having a similar offensive potential as Azerbaijan, which could give them the edge in this confrontation. However, Azerbaijan’s clear weakness in home defense could be exploited by the Slovakian players.

From a betting perspective, the likely scenario seems to be a match in which fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored, possibly with no goals from one or both teams in the ideal case, given Azerbaijan’s defensive shortcomings and Slovakia’s offensive struggles on the road. Betting on the exact score of 1-1 could also provide a good return.

It is crucial to remember that while these predictions are based on statistical data, football match results can often be unexpected and unpredictable. Bettors should therefore be aware of the risks before placing their bets.