Tipps Bahia Atletico-MG Serie A 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Bahia BA wins the match”

1. Bahia BA at home has a very solid defensive potential: on average, they only concede 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 home matches. Atletico MG, on the other hand, has a less impressive offensive potential when playing away, scoring only 1.2 goals on average. This gives Bahia BA a clear advantage.

2. The odds favor Bahia BA with a success rate of 46.56% for a Bahia BA win against 21.69% for an Atletico MG win. Furthermore, the probability of a draw or a Bahia BA win is very high at 78.31%. This shows a strong likelihood that Bahia BA will not lose this match.

3. The recent performance history of Bahia BA at home shows that they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Atletico MG has only won 2 of their last 5 away matches. This is another factor indicating that Bahia BA has a better chance of winning this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Recent performance analysis shows a trend towards low scores for both teams. At home, Bahia BA has scored a total of 4 goals in their last 5 matches, and away, Atletico MG has scored a total of 6 goals in their last 5 matches.

2. The average number of goals per match for Bahia BA at home is 1 goal and for Atletico MG away is 1.2, resulting in a total average of 2.2 goals per match. This supports the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Looking at defensive statistics, Bahia BA concedes an average of 0.2 goals per match at home, and Atletico MG concedes an average of 1 goal per match away. This strong defensive capability contributes to keeping the total goals low.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics for both teams are solid: Bahia BA scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atletico MG scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates that both teams have the ability to score but also have defensive vulnerabilities that can be exploited by the opponent.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams also favors the prediction: Bahia BA has a 36% offensive potential and a 7% defensive potential at home, while Atletico MG has a 43% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential away. This means there is a good chance that both teams will score in this match.

3. By examining the recent matches of both teams, a trend towards both teams scoring can be observed. For example, in Atletico MG’s recent away matches, four out of five matches have seen both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Atletico MG wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Bahia BA 1-1 Atletico MG.

1. The offensive and defensive potential of the teams: The average goals scored by Bahia BA (1 goal per match) and Atletico MG (1.2 goals per match) in their respective last 5 matches suggests a balanced score. Furthermore, with a defensive potential of 7% for Bahia BA and 36% for Atletico MG, a 1-1 score seems plausible.

2. Previous match results: In their last 5 respective matches, Bahia BA has had 1 draw and Atletico MG has had 2 draws. Additionally, looking at specific scores, Bahia BA has recently had a 1-1 draw and Atletico MG two 1-1 draws, indicating that another 1-1 draw could be possible.

3. Match probabilities: The probability of a draw is 31.75%, which is significantly high. At the same time, there is a fairly high probability of 46.56% for Bahia BA to win the match and a 21.69% probability for Atletico MG to win. These statistics show that both teams are competitive and could potentially neutralize each other, leading to a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahia BA at home has a relatively average form, with 40% of wins and 20% of draws in the last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

Atletico MG, away from home, has also won 40% of their matches and drawn in 40% of them. They have scored 6 goals while conceding 8.

Bahia BA has an average of 1 goal scored per home match and concedes 0.2 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 7%.

Atletico MG, in their away games, scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1 goal on average. Their offensive potential is 43% against a defensive potential of 36%.

In terms of probabilities, Bahia BA is most likely to win with 46.56%. A draw is also possible at 31.75%. Atletico MG has a 21.69% chance of winning the match.

Betting on a score lower than 1.5 goals could be profitable, although the chances of the match exceeding 1.5 goals are higher at 69.31%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 51.32%.

Based on the statistics, the match seems difficult to predict, but a low score and a close match are foreseeable.

The potential number of goals

Bahia BA has a decent home performance, with victories in 40% of matches. However, their attack remains modest with only 4 goals in 5 matches. Their defense, on the other hand, is relatively solid with only 5 goals conceded.

Atletico MG doesn’t suffer heavy defeats away, with victories in 40% of matches and draws in 40% of cases. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8, showing a slightly vulnerable defense.

Bahia BA has a winning probability of 46.56%, while Atletico MG has a much lower winning probability at 21.69%.

As for the number of goals, there is a 69.31% probability that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals. However, a match with more than 2.5 goals is only conceivable at 46.03%.

Summary: Based on the data, Bahia BA seems to have a slight advantage for this match. However, the number of goals could be low. A cautious bet could be placed on “Under 2.5 goals in the match”.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the factors mentioned earlier such as the match context, the current form of the teams, defensive and offensive statistics, and the past performance of both teams, the Bahia BA vs Atletico MG match seems to be a close one.

Statistics slightly favor Bahia BA for a win, and based on the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, a low score of fewer than 2.5 goals could be expected. However, a bet on both teams to score also provides good value given the recent trends of both teams.

Lastly, a value bet on a surprise victory for Atletico MG could also prove profitable given the high odds. But it is important to note that all sports betting involves risks and should be done responsibly.

It will be interesting to see how these predictions play out when the match takes place.