Tipps Bahia Cuiaba Serie A 13/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bahia BA wins the match

1. Bahia BA’s Home Performance: Bahia BA has a 80% winning rate in their last 5 home games, indicating a strong performance when playing at home.
2. Offensive Efficiency Difference: Bahia BA has a 64% offensive potential at home, making them more likely to score goals than Cuiaba, who have a 29% offensive potential when playing away.
3. Probability of Victory: According to the odds, Bahia BA has a 60.11% chance of winning the match, which is higher than Cuiaba’s chances of winning the match (15.3%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performance statistics of both teams show a consistent offensive commitment with a combined total of 18 goals scored in their last 10 respective matches, indicating a strong likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Bahia BA has a 64% offensive potential at home and scores an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Cuiaba has a 29% offensive potential away from home and scores an average of 0.8 goals per match. The addition of these two averages exceeds 2.5 goals, justifying the prediction.

3. Cuiaba’s away match history shows a tendency to reach over 2.5 goals in the majority of cases (for example, the match against Criciuma 2 – 5 Cuiaba). Similarly, Bahia BA has already surpassed the 2.5 goals threshold in several of its previous home matches (such as Bahia BA 4 – 1 Cruzeiro MG). This demonstrates a recent trend and high potential for a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent home statistics of Bahia BA show a strong defensive record with only 9 goals conceded in the last 5 matches, including 2 clean sheets. This suggests they could be able to keep a clean sheet against Cuiaba.

2. On the other hand, Cuiaba has low offensive potential away from home, averaging only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. This low average implies they might struggle to score against Bahia BA.

3. Finally, the “Both Teams to Score – No” statistic has a success probability of 53.01%, higher than that of the “Both Teams to Score” option. This indicates that, according to predictions, it is expected that at least one of the teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Bahia BA 2-1 Cuiaba

1. Recent home performance history: Bahia BA has a strong record at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, showcasing their strong attack.

2. Recent away performances of Cuiaba: Cuiaba has had mixed results on the road, winning only 40% of their last 5 away matches. They have also conceded an average of 1 goal per match, indicating their vulnerable defense.

3. Overall match statistics: The expected probability of Bahia BA winning the match is 60.11%, with an offensive potential of 64% compared to Cuiaba’s 29%. This disparity in offensive and defensive potential contributes to the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahia BA shines at home, with a victory in 80% of their last 5 matches. Their offensive power is revealed by the 9 goals scored, but a mediocre defense allows just as many goals in.

In contrast, Cuiaba has a modest performance away from home: winning 40% and drawing 40% of their last 5 games. 9 goals scored and 11 conceded demonstrate weaknesses both in defense and attack.

The average goals clearly show the difference: Bahia BA scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4 per match, while Cuiaba scores less with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.

The highest probability is for a Bahia BA victory at 60.11% or for a score of over 1.5 goals at 76.5%. A draw or a Cuiaba victory seems less likely at 39.89%.

Looking at past results, Bahia BA has won 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Cuiaba has only won one away match in their last 5 outings.

Overall, the numbers strongly favor Bahia BA in this matchup. However, football is unpredictable and anything is possible on the pitch.

The potential number of goals

Bahia BA, at home, has a strong performance with a win rate of 80% in recent matches. This is supported by their average of 1.8 goals scored per game. However, they have also conceded the same amount of goals (9) in these matches, indicating a defense that leaves something to be desired.

On the other hand, Cuiaba has shown a more mixed performance away from home, with only a 40% win rate, while still managing to score 9 goals. Their defense appears slightly weaker, having conceded 11 goals.

Digging deeper into the data, we find that Bahia BA has a 60.11% probability of winning this match, with a confidence level of 1.62. The probability of a draw is 24.59% with a confidence of 3.75, while Cuiaba has only a 15.3% chance of winning this match, with a confidence of 5.50.

In terms of goals, there is a 76.5% probability that the match will have over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.36. The probability of fewer than 2.5 goals during the match is lower, at 49.18% with odds of 2.10.

In conclusion, it is more likely that Bahia BA will win this match, with a probability of over 1.5 goals during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and recent performances of both teams suggests that Bahia BA is the favorite to win this match with a probability of 60.11%. The expected number of goals should be over 2.5, with a probability of 49.18%, and there is a higher chance (53.01%) that only one of the teams will score during the match.

An interesting value bet to consider would be to bet on over 2.5 goals during the match, as the probability of this outcome is almost 50/50. Finally, the most likely exact score seems to be a 2-1 victory for Bahia BA.

However, while the statistics favor Bahia BA, it is important to remember that football is an unpredictable sport and nothing is guaranteed. It is crucial to bet responsibly. Good luck to all bettors!