Tipps Bahia Flamengo Serie A 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bahia BA wins the match

1. Bahia has a higher home winning performance with 60% victories in their last 5 matches compared to Flamengo’s away performance with only 20% victories in their last 5 matches.

2. Bahia has a higher offensive potential at home with an average score of 1 goal per match, compared to Flamengo who has a lower average score of 0.8 goals away.

3. According to the probabilities, Bahia BA has a 36.32% chance of winning the match, which is slightly higher than Flamengo’s 35.79% chance. Moreover, the forecast “Draw or Bahia BA wins the match” has a success probability of 64.21%, the highest compared to all other odds offered.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Bahia BA’s home statistics show a offensive potential of only 36% and defensive potential of 57%, suggesting they score fewer goals but concede more. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, they have only scored a total of 6 goals.

2. Flamengo has an even lower performance when playing away with an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 36%. They have only managed to score 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating that goal-scoring opportunities are scarce when they play away.

3. The recent matches of these two teams also show a tendency towards low scores. For instance, in the last match between Bahia BA and Flamengo, only 1 goal was scored. Furthermore, the odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are at 1.75, clearly indicating a trend towards a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of Bahia BA at home is quite strong, with an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 matches. This figure, combined with recent head-to-head history, shows that they generally have the ability to score at least once.

2. Flamengo, despite a lower proportion of away wins, has managed to score 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. They also have an average of conceding 1 goal per game, indicating that they can both score and concede goals when playing away.

3. The odds suggest a tight match, with relatively balanced chances of winning for both teams. In this context, it’s more likely that both teams will score, as indicated by the 55.26% probability for “Both teams to score”.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Bahia BA wins the match – 64.21% chance of success: 1.47

Bet on the exact result

Bahia BA 1-1 Flamengo

1. The performance statistics of both teams: In their last 5 matches, Bahia BA has averaged 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match, while Flamengo has averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to score and concede goals, supporting a draw prediction with a 1-1 scoreline.

2. Flamengo’s away performances: Flamengo has only won 20% of its away matches and drawn in 20% of cases. Furthermore, in their last 5 away matches, Flamengo lost to Bahia BA with a score of 1-0. These away performances indicate that Flamengo might struggle to win this match, increasing the likelihood of a 1-1 result.

3. The history of encounters between the two teams: In the last five home matches of Bahia BA against Flamengo, there has been only one draw and it was a 0-0. However, Bahia BA has managed to score and win in some of these matches against Flamengo, indicating a certain level of competitiveness that could lead to a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahia BA has a solid home performance. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches and scored 6 goals. However, they have also conceded 6 goals, indicating an average defense.

Flamengo has a weak form away from home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches, with 4 goals scored and 5 goals conceded.

On average, Bahia BA scores 1 goal per home match and concedes 1.6 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 36% and 57% respectively.

Flamengo, when playing away, scores 0.8 goals per match and concedes 1 goal. Their offensive potential is 29% and defensive potential is 36%.

Bahia BA has a 36.32% chance of winning the match, while Flamengo has a 35.79% chance. A draw has a probability of 27.89%.

The probabilities are also high for under 3.5 goals in the match (80% success) and under 4.5 goals (94.74% success).

The possibility of both teams scoring has a success probability of 55.26%.

Looking at recent performances, Bahia BA has won 3 of their last 5 home matches, including a 3-0 victory against Atletico MG. On the other hand, Flamengo has lost 3 of their last 5 away matches, including a 3-2 defeat against Gremio RS.

In conclusion, the data suggests a tight match, with a slight advantage for Bahia BA. It is likely to be a match with fewer than 4 goals.

The potential number of goals

Bahia BA has shown stable form at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have scored and conceded 6 goals, keeping their defense and attack quite balanced.

On the other hand, Flamengo struggles to win away, with only a 20% win rate on the road. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5, showing offensive weakness.

In terms of average performance, Bahia BA has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%. In comparison, Flamengo lacks power with an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 36%.

For the prediction, the win probabilities are close between Bahia BA (36.32%) and Flamengo (35.79%). Therefore, there is a high potential for a draw (27.89%). The odds also suggest that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match (80% probability).

In conclusion, although both teams have a chance to score (55.26% probability), overall, Bahia BA seems to be a tough opponent for Flamengo at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, we can deduce from previous statistics and team performances that the match between Bahia BA and Flamengo will likely be close, with a slightly greater advantage for Bahia BA. Taking all factors into account, the safest bet appears to be a match with less than 3.5 goals. The “Draw or Bahia BA wins the match” option also offers a higher probability of success. Additionally, in terms of exact score, a 1-1 draw seems to be a notable possibility given the offensive and defensive forms of each team.

However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a certain level of uncertainty, and no prediction can guarantee a 100% result. It is essential to bet responsibly and within your financial means.