Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Bahia Fortaleza EC
1. Statistically, Bahia BA has a fairly strong home performance with a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate, which favors the prediction of a draw or Bahia BA winning.
2. Fortaleza EC has a relatively low 40% away win rate and only a 20% draw rate, which enhances the likelihood of Bahia BA not losing this match.
3. In terms of probabilities, there is a higher probability of 77.66% for the match to end in a draw or for Bahia BA to win compared to Fortaleza EC winning (22.34% probability).
1. Taking into account the number of goals scored and conceded by Bahia BA in their last 5 home matches, Bahia BA has an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Furthermore, Fortaleza EC has an average of 2.0 goals in their away matches, suggesting that this match could see fewer than 2.5 goals.
2. Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Bahia BA and Fortaleza EC both have offensive percentages below 90% and defensive percentages over 40%, indicating a possibly low-scoring match.
3. In terms of probabilities, there is a 79.26% chance of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and a 96.28% chance of fewer than 4.5 goals. These numbers show a strong tendency towards a low-scoring match, so less than 2.5 goals in the match is a reasonable assumption.
1. The previous home matches of Bahia BA and away matches of Fortaleza EC have shown a trend for both teams to score goals. For Bahia BA, although there have been some matches where they failed to score, there are recent examples where they have shown their attacking potential. Fortaleza EC, on the other hand, have scored in all their away matches, illustrating their offensive consistency.
2. The betting odds confirm this analysis. Considering that both teams to score has a success probability of 51.06%, it narrowly exceeds the probability of both teams not scoring (48.94%). This suggests that the match is likely to be competitive and that both teams have a good chance of scoring.
3. Finally, by examining the offensive and defensive potential of each team, it can be seen that both teams have a tendency to score, as well as concede goals. Bahia BA and Fortaleza EC both have offensive potential of over 50% at home and away respectively. Moreover, they have defensive potentials of less than 50%, indicating that they are likely to concede goals in their matches.
1. Recent performance analysis: Away from home in their last 5 matches, Fortaleza EC has won 40% of the time. Furthermore, they have also managed to score an average of 1.8 goals per match. Here, Fortaleza EC’s away performance is quite notable.
2. Comparison of teams’ home and away performances: Bahia BA has an average of 2.4 goals scored at home while Fortaleza has an average of 1.8 goals scored away. However, Bahia BA has also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, which is more than the average goals conceded by Fortaleza EC away (1.2 goals). Here, Fortaleza EC has a slightly better defense.
3. Odds comparison: With odds of 3.75 announced for Fortaleza EC with only a 22.34% probability, these odds represent a value bet as they are higher than they should theoretically be. This is an opportunity to seize as often, in the long term, by exploiting this type of value bet, one ends up being a winner.
1. Bahia BA has shown great attacking potential of 86% and defensive solidity of 50% in their home matches, indicating a strong ability to score goals and maintain a solid defense. Furthermore, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per home match, this supports the prediction of a 2-goal performance from Bahia BA.
2. Fortaleza EC has a slightly weaker defense away from home, with a defensive potential of 43% and an average of conceding 1.2 goals per match, aligning with the prediction of conceding a goal. Additionally, the fact that Fortaleza EC has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches further supports this argument.
3. The probability of a draw or a win for Bahia BA stands at 77.66%, a fairly strong indication that Bahia BA will not lose this match. Moreover, the probability of Bahia BA winning the match is highest at 44.15%. Adjusting for the fact that not all matches necessarily result in victory, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Bahia BA seems like a reasonable prediction.
Bahia BA is stable at home, winning or drawing 80% of their last 5 matches. They have scored and conceded 6 goals, demonstrating a balance between defense and attack. Their offensive potential is 86% and their defensive potential is 50%.
Fortaleza EC shows a mediocre performance away, winning 40% and drawing 20% of their last 5 matches. Their defense seems weaker, conceding 10 goals against 7 scored. Their offensive potential is 64% and defensive potential is 43%.
The odds suggest that Bahia BA has a higher chance of winning (44.15%), while the chances of a draw are 33.51%. Fortaleza EC has only a 22.34% chance of winning.
The expected number of goals is another important factor. Less than 3.5 goals are expected with a probability of 79.26%. This is reflected in the past results of both teams, where fewer than 3.5 goals were scored most of the time.
According to the probabilities (51.06%), it is expected that both teams will score, which could make the match interesting.
In summary, Bahia BA seems to be the favorite in this match, but the opportunities for a draw and both teams scoring cannot be ignored. Bets should be balanced by taking these data into account.
Bahia BA, at home, has an offensive strength of 86% with an average of 2.4 goals per match. They have shown a defensive potential of 50%, conceding 1.4 goals per match. On the other hand, Fortaleza EC, away from home, has an offensive potential of 64% with 1.8 goals per match and a 43% defense, letting in 1.2 goals per match.
Bahia BA has had two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last 5 home matches, while Fortaleza EC has achieved two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last 5 away matches.
The probability of a draw or a Bahia BA win is 77.66%, while the same outcome for Fortaleza EC is 55.85%.
The match could see many goals, with a 69.68% probability for over 1.5 goals. However, under 2.5 goals is also likely at 45.74%.
In terms of both teams scoring, there is a 51.06% probability.
Given these figures, a favorable result for Bahia BA or a draw seem to be the most judicious bets.
In conclusion, the statistical analysis suggests a draw or a win for Bahia BA due to their strong home performance and Fortaleza EC’s struggles away from home. The match is likely to have under 2.5 goals given both teams’ lackluster offensive performances. However, it is reasonable to bet on both teams scoring based on their respective histories.
The interesting value bet lies with Fortaleza EC. Despite lower chances of winning, the odds for this team are appealing, providing an opportunity for bettors. In terms of exact score, a 2-1 result in favor of Bahia BA seems like a good bet.
Nevertheless, it’s important to remember that the realm of sports betting always involves uncertainty and risk, and these predictions are based on past statistics that do not guarantee future results. It is advised for everyone to bet responsibly.
1. Statistically, Bahia BA has a fairly strong home performance with a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate, which favors the prediction of a draw or Bahia BA winning.
2. Fortaleza EC has a relatively low 40% away win rate and only a 20% draw rate, which enhances the likelihood of Bahia BA not losing this match.
3. In terms of probabilities, there is a higher probability of 77.66% for the match to end in a draw or for Bahia BA to win compared to Fortaleza EC winning (22.34% probability).
To not miss anything from the Bahia vs Fortaleza EC match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 14/06/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Don't miss any highlights of the Bahia vs Fortaleza EC match on 14/06/2024 at Arena Fonte Nova stadium.
All statistics for the match between Bahia and Fortaleza EC will be displayed here once they are available live.
In its last 5 matches, the team Bahia has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Bahia has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Fortaleza EC has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fortaleza EC has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Bahia
Bahia has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Bahia
Bahia has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Bahia and Fortaleza EC, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. Taking into account the number of goals scored and conceded by Bahia BA in their last 5 home matches, Bahia BA has an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Furthermore, Fortaleza EC has an average of 2.0 goals in their away matches, suggesting that this match could see fewer than 2.5 goals.
2. Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Bahia BA and Fortaleza EC both have offensive percentages below 90% and defensive percentages over 40%, indicating a possibly low-scoring match.
3. In terms of probabilities, there is a 79.26% chance of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and a 96.28% chance of fewer than 4.5 goals. These numbers show a strong tendency towards a low-scoring match, so less than 2.5 goals in the match is a reasonable assumption.
Finding a forecast for the Bahia Fortaleza EC match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Bahia Fortaleza EC on 14/06/2024 in Arena Fonte Nova are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Bahia at home and Fortaleza EC away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 14/06/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Bahia and Fortaleza EC on 14/06/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena Fonte Nova, Bahia could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Bahia and Fortaleza EC, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Bahia and the away win rate of Fortaleza EC, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 14/06/2024!
The individual performances of players from Bahia and Fortaleza EC can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 14/06/2024 at Arena Fonte Nova.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Bahia and Fortaleza EC, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Bahia or Fortaleza EC on 14/06/2024.
"Ca arrive..."