Tipps Bahia Juventude Serie A 05/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bahia BA wins the match.

1. Bahia BA has an excellent home performance: With an average of 80% victories in their last 5 home matches, Bahia BA clearly has a strong tendency to perform well on their home turf. Additionally, with an average of 2 goals per home match, they have an impressive offensive potential.

2. Weak away performance by Juventude: Juventude has not won a single time in their last 5 away matches, only managing one draw. This indicates a poor away performance that could play in favor of Bahia BA. Furthermore, they have a fragile defense, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

3. Probabilities based on prediction data: According to the prediction model, Bahia BA has a 57.59% probability of winning the match, while Juventude has less than 20% chance. This, separate from the teams’ performances, confirms the first two observations.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Goal scoring/conceding history: In their recent respective matches, Bahia BA has scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals at home while Juventude has scored 5 goals and conceded 10 goals away. This indicates that both teams are potentially capable of scoring and conceding goals, increasing the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. Offensive and defensive statistics: At home, Bahia BA averages 2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match. Likewise, away from home, Juventude averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Hence, the offensive aggression and defensive weaknesses of both teams could contribute to a total score of over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Betting probabilities: The probability for a total of over 2.5 goals in the match is 51.31%. Though relatively balanced, this is a stronger indicator for a high-scoring match compared to under 2.5 goals. Bookmakers predict a match with more goals, further justifying this prognosis.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Historical statistics: Both teams have shown an ability to score in their recent matches, with Bahia BA averaging 2 goals per game in their last 5 home matches and Juventude averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Bahia BA has a 71% offensive potential and a 64% defensive potential at home, meaning they are highly likely to score and somewhat likely to concede goals. Juventude has a 50% offensive potential and a 57% defensive potential, indicating they are also likely to score and concede.

3. Neither team clearly dominates: Despite Bahia BA having a higher win rate, both teams have a strong chance of scoring due to their fairly balanced offensive and defensive potentials, suggesting a potentially very open and lively match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Juventude wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Bahia BA 2-1 Juventude”

1. Bahia BA has a strong home performance, with a win in 80% of their last 5 matches, and an average of 2 goals scored per match, perfectly matching the predicted score of 2 goals for them.

2. Juventude’s away performances are not as good, with no wins and a low offensive potential of 50%. However, they have managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 away matches, aligning with the predicted score of 1 goal for them.

3. Based on the probability (57.59%) and odds of Bahia BA to win the match as well as the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, the exact score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Bahia BA is a reasonable and logical conclusion.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahia BA is playing at home. They are in good form with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They score an average of 2 goals per game but also concede close to 2 goals. Their attack is strong with a 71% offensive potential.

Juventude is visiting Bahia BA. It is not to their advantage as they have not won any of their last 5 away matches, with a 20% draw rate. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match but concede more with an average of 1.6 goals. Their attack is less effective with a 50% offensive potential.

In terms of probabilities, Bahia BA is favored with a 57.59% chance of winning. There is a 76.96% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match as both teams are used to scoring. However, there is also a 79.06% chance of there being less than 3.5 goals. Finally, a 52.88% chance of both teams scoring.

In conclusion, Bahia BA seems to be in better shape than Juventude. A match with probably more than 1.5 goals, but less than 3.5 goals, seems like a reasonable prediction. Also, there are good chances that each team will score at least one goal.

The potential number of goals

Bahia BA has a strong home performance, with a 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. Their attack is efficient with an average of 2 goals per game. However, their defense is a bit shaky, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

On the other hand, Juventude is less successful with a 0% win rate away from home, 20% draws, and 5 goals scored in the last 5 matches. Their defense is also vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

As for the prediction, Bahia BA is the favorite with a 57.59% chance of winning. The match could be high-scoring, with a 76.96% chance of over 1.5 goals, and a 51.31% chance of over 2.5 goals.

The offensive potential of each team is evident, with a 52.88% chance of both teams scoring.

The details of their recent matches show a trend consistent with the overall statistics: Bahia BA has scored an average of 2 goals per home match, and Juventude has lost every away match.

In conclusion, with a high likelihood of a Bahia BA victory, it could be interesting to bet on an outcome with over 1.5 goals to maximize the chances of success.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, the analysis of statistics and historical data suggests that Bahia BA is the favorite to win the match against Juventude. Their strong home performances combined with Juventude’s struggles away from home seem to tilt the balance in their favor. However, given the offensive potential of both teams, it would be wise to expect both teams to score at least one goal. Furthermore, the match may see over 1.5 goals, but it’s likely to have less than 3.5 goals. Finally, considering the odds and probabilities, the bet ‘Draw or Juventude wins the match’ is an interesting option for bettors seeking a ‘value bet’.