Tipps Bahrain Japan World Cup - Qualification Asia 10/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Japan wins the match”

1. The Japan team’s performance away from home in their last 5 matches is superior to Bahrain’s at home, with a win rate of 60% compared to Bahrain’s 40%. This means that Japan has a higher likelihood of winning the match.

2. The offensive potential of the Japan team in their away matches is also superior to Bahrain’s at home. With an average of 3.8 goals scored per match compared to Bahrain’s 2 goals, the Japan team poses a greater offensive threat.

3. Finally, in their last home encounter against Bahrain, Japan managed to win the match with a score of 3-1 in favor of Japan. This recent victory against the same opponent and at the same location bolsters Japan’s team confidence for the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The performance statistics from Bahrain’s last five matches indicate that they have a weak offensive ability, scoring an average of only 2 goals per match, while they have an excellent defensive capability, conceding only 0.2 goals on average per match. This suggests a strong defensive gameplay from Bahrain that should limit the number of goals in the match.

2. Although Japan has shown a stronger offensive ability in their last five away matches, averaging 3.8 goals per match, their defense has also been relatively solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average. This should lead to a competitive match with few goals scored.

3. The results of previous matches between the two teams, such as Bahrain’s previous home matches and Japan’s previous away matches, demonstrate a pattern of low-scoring games. For instance, in their last match in Bahrain, the result was 1-3, with a total of less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Bahrain seems to struggle to score goals in their recent home matches. In the last 5 games, they have only managed to score in 60% of the matches, highlighting a slightly stagnant attack.

2. Japan, despite scoring frequently away from home, has also shown some defensive resilience. With an average of conceding only 0.4 goals per away match, it means they are generally able to prevent the opposing team from scoring.

3. The probability of both teams not scoring is evaluated at 100% by statistics, indicating a high likelihood of a match where at least one team fails to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Japan wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Bahrain 1-3 Japan”

1. The previous result between Bahrain and Japan at home for Bahrain was Bahrain 1-3 Japan. This is a strong argument indicating that a similar result can be expected for this match.
2. Away from home, Japan has shown superior offensive potential by averaging 3.8 goals per match in their last 5 games. This suggests they are likely to score multiple goals against Bahrain.
3. Although Bahrain has a strong defensive potential at home, conceding only 0.2 goals per match on average, it is important to note that Japan already scored 3 goals against them in their last encounter. This indicates that Japan can break through Bahrain’s defense.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahrain, at home, has had moderate performances with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals in these games.

On the other hand, Japan has won 60% of their away matches, scoring an impressive total of 15 goals, but also conceding the same amount, indicating a leaky defense.

On average, Bahrain scores 2 goals per home match and concedes 0.2, demonstrating significant defensive solidity.

In contrast, Japan is very attacking away from home, with an average of 3.8 goals per match, but also concedes 0.4 goals per match.

Unfortunately, probability statistics for the match result and the expected number of goals in the match are missing.

However, it is worth noting that in their last 5 matches, Japan defeated Bahrain away with a score of 3-1.

In conclusion, this match seems to be shaping up as highly competitive, with Bahrain strong defensively at home and Japan very aggressive offensively away from home.

The potential number of goals

Bahrain has a variable home performance, with a 40% win rate and equivalent scores in 40% of cases. Over 5 matches, they have scored a total of 5 goals while conceding 7.

On the other hand, Japan is quite strong away from home, with a 60% win rate. They have shown a strong offensive capacity with a total of 15 goals, but their defense has been equally challenged, conceding 15 goals.

Furthermore, Bahrain has an average of 2 goals per match with an offensive potential of 71% and a defense of 7%. Japan, on the other hand, shows a higher offensive potential than Bahrain with 3.8 goals per match and an offensive potential of 136%. Their defensive potential is 14%.

Recent matches show a strong Bahrain at home. However, Japan has shown consistency in their away performances, notably triumphing against Bahrain in a previous match.

Based on this data, it is difficult to predict a clear winner for the match between Bahrain and Japan. However, one thing seems certain, the match promises a certain offensive intensity and likely a high number of goals, given their previous performances. It appears that predicting less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals is a fairly safe bet, with a success probability of 100%. There is no success probability given for a win or draw, nor for both teams to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Analyzing the data and statistics available, it is evident that the match between Bahrain and Japan is shaping up to be competitive and potentially high in offensive actions. While Bahrain shows strong resistance at home, Japan has demonstrated a higher offensive potential, especially in their away matches. However, with both teams displaying solid defensive tactics, it is likely that the total number of goals will be under 2.5.

The bet “Japan to win the match” seems to be an interesting value bet to consider, given Japan’s recent performance and their psychological advantage from winning the last match against Bahrain. As for the exact score, the previous 1-3 result in favor of Japan could be a good prediction, taking into account Japan’s offensive abilities and Bahrain’s defense.

Regarding the BTTS bet, the data suggests that both teams are unlikely to score, considering the defensive resistance of each team and Bahrain’s lack of offensive efficiency in recent matches.

In conclusion, despite some factors of uncertainty, this match presents promising opportunities for sports betting, provided that all risk factors, key performance indicators, and statistics are carefully considered to develop a thoughtful betting strategy.