Tipps Barcelona SC Aucas Liga Pro 13/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is that Barcelona SC will win.

1. The home advantage: Barcelona SC is playing at home where they have managed to win 40% of their last 5 matches. This could give the team a psychological edge.

2. Recent performance: Barcelona SC has not lost a home match in their last two games.

3. The odds: Predictions show that Barcelona SC has a success probability of 51.3%, which is much higher than that of Aucas at 19.69%. This indicates that experts and other bettors are more hopeful for a Barcelona SC win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Aucas has a strong average of goals scored away from home with 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 games, suggesting that they are comfortable offensively when playing away.
2. Barcelona SC has a defensive potential of 50% at home, meaning they tend to concede goals. Combined with Aucas’s strong away offense, this increases the likelihood of there being more than 2.5 goals scored in the match.
3. Recent statistics from both teams indicate a fairly high probability of success for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” at 50.26%, meaning it is quite likely that the match will be offensive and produce over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from their previous matches show that both teams have a good ability to score goals. Barcelona SC has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Aucas has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match away.

2. Both teams are even more likely to score because their defensive performances are not very strong. Barcelona SC has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, and Aucas has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match away.

3. The recent matches of both teams indicate that in most cases, both Barcelona SC and Aucas have scored goals. Barcelona SC has scored in 4 of its last 5 home matches, and Aucas has scored in all of its last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Aucas wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Barcelona SC 1-2 Aucas

1. Aucas’ offensive potential is clearly higher than Barcelona SC’s on average over the last 5 matches (2.6 goals scored per match compared to 1.2). Furthermore, they have a higher win rate when playing away, indicating an ability to score and win even on the road.

2. Both teams have relatively similar defensive potentials (50% for Barcelona SC, compared to 29% for Aucas). Taking into account Barcelona SC’s recent home matches, it seems they are capable of conceding goals, which could make it easier for Aucas’ offensive team.

3. The expected odds suggest that while Barcelona SC is more likely to win the match, a draw or even an Aucas victory is not off the table. The probability of the match ending with over 1.5 goals (75.13%) and both teams scoring (53.37%) support the exact score prediction of 1-2 in favor of Aucas.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Barcelona SC shows an average home performance with a 40% win rate and a balanced goal record: 7 scored and 7 conceded. Aucas demonstrates strength away from home with a 60% success rate and a significant offensive record: 10 goals scored.

Aucas’s offensive strength (2.6 goals per match) contrasts with Barcelona SC’s average defensive performance (1.4 goals conceded per match).

In terms of predictions, there is a 51.3% chance of Barcelona SC winning (odds of 1.83) and 19.69% for Aucas (odds of 4.00).

The safest prediction seems to be a match with over 1.5 goals (75.13% success rate, odds of 1.30). Matches involving these two teams are often lively, with a 53.37% probability that both teams will score (odds of 1.80).

Based on recent matches, it is evident that Aucas has scored in every game, even away from home. Barcelona SC, despite some clean sheets, has managed to keep their goal intact against El Nacional and Deportivo Cuenca.

Ultimately, with Aucas’s offensive performance and Barcelona SC’s ability to keep a clean sheet, the match promises to be interesting.

The potential number of goals

Barcelona SC has shown a variable performance at home. With only 40% of wins and 20% of draws in the last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded as many, indicating a defense as strong as the offense.

On the other hand, Aucas has a better away performance. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches and drawn in 40% of cases. With 10 goals scored against 11 conceded, their offensive potential is superior to their defense.

On a more precise vision, Barcelona SC averages 1.2 goals per home match but concedes 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is 43% against 50% in defense.

Aucas is stronger offensively. They average 2.6 goals per away match and only concede 0.8. Their offensive potential is 93% against 29% in defense.

The odds slightly favor a Barcelona SC win, with a probability of 51.3%. The draw has a probability of 29.02% and Aucas winning stands at 19.69%.

Regarding goals, it is more likely that the match will have over 1.5 goals with a probability of 75.13%. The over 2.5 goals option is almost equal in probability.

Both teams to score has a probability of 53.37%. In other words, there are more chances for both teams to score.

For bettors, the choice depends a lot on the risk each is willing to take. However, the “Over 1.5 goals in the match” option seems to have a good chance of success.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Liga Pro match between Barcelona SC and Aucas promises to be action-packed and could be an interesting betting opportunity. Barcelona SC, playing at home, has an advantage on paper due to their strong home record and favorable odds predictions. However, Aucas’ impressive away performance, especially their offensive power, presents a potential for a surprise.

Recent trends also suggest that the match could be highly offensive with a forecast of “over 2.5 goals”. Both teams also score in most of their matches, adding weight to the assumption that this will be a high-scoring game. It is worth noting that despite the unfavorable odds, a bet on Aucas winning could provide value to those willing to take on a higher risk for a potentially higher reward.

Overall, the prognosis suggests several possible betting options for this match, depending on the level of risk the bettor is willing to accept. This is ultimately what makes sports betting so exciting: the ability to evaluate and bet on different possible outcomes, each with its own combination of risks and rewards.