Tipps Bari Brescia Serie B 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Brescia wins the match

1. Bari’s home performance has not been very impressive with no wins in their last 5 home matches. This means they are struggling to take advantage of their home ground, which is good news for Brescia.

2. Brescia has a slightly stronger attacking power compared to Bari, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match against Bari’s 1 goal. This indicates that Brescia has a better ability to score goals, which could help them win the match.

3. Brescia has shown defensive solidity away from home, conceding on average only 1 goal per match. Coupled with the fact that Bari doesn’t seem to pose a significant threat at home with only 1 goal on average per match, Brescia seems to have a good chance of limiting Bari to few or no goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Recent Performance: In their last 5 matches, Bari and Brescia have scored an average of 1 and 1.2 goals per match respectively. This indicates that both teams are struggling to score and have a low offensive potential of 36% for Bari and 43% for Brescia.

2. Defensive Statistics: Bari has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 home games, while Brescia has conceded an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 away games. These defensive statistics support the idea of a low-scoring match.

3. Previous Match Results: By examining Bari’s recent home matches and Brescia’s away matches, it can be seen that most of them have produced less than 2.5 goals, further reinforcing the probability of a similar scenario in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Bari’s offensive potential at home is extremely low (36%), showing a lack of goals scored in their recent matches. In their last 5 games, they have not won any and have scored only 4 goals.

2. Brescia, although having a slightly higher offensive potential (43%) when playing away, also has a low tendency to score many goals, with only 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The recent results history – especially the number of goals scored and conceded by both teams – suggests a low-scoring match. Furthermore, the high success probability (100%) for bets on “Under 3.5 goals in the match” and “Under 4.5 goals in the match” supports the idea of a match with few goals. This reinforces the notion that both teams may struggle to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Bari 1 – 2 Brescia

1. Bari has a very low home win rate (0%) with a tendency to concede more goals than they score (4 goals scored against 5 conceded). This suggests that Bari could well concede at least two goals against Brescia.
2. Although Brescia only has a 20% probability of winning away, they tend to score on average more goals than Bari (1.2 against 1) which indicates that they could score at least one goal, even two.
3. Based on Brescia’s previous away matches, they tend to score at least one goal in each match. This could lead them to score at least one goal against Bari.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For this Bari-Brescia match, let’s take a closer look at the form analysis of both teams.

Let’s start with Bari. In five home matches, they have no wins, but two draws, representing 40% of their matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Inefficient offensively, averaging just one goal per match, they still concede 1.8 goals per match. This gives them a very low offensive potential of 36% against a weak defense at 64%.

On the other hand, we have Brescia. In their away games, they have only won once, which is 20% of their matches, and drawn 40% of the time, like Bari. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. Averaging 1.2 goals per match, their offense is slightly better than Bari’s with a potential of 43%. Their defense is also stronger, with an efficiency rate of 36%.

The prognostic data does not point clearly towards a winner or a specific final score. What is certain, however, is that the statistics suggest a low-scoring match. The probability of having less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals in the match is 100%. Furthermore, it is very likely that both teams will not score, with a probability of 100%.

Based solely on the numbers, this match is likely to be tight and low-scoring.

The potential number of goals

Bari has been struggling at home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches. The team has scored 4 goals and conceded 5, resulting in a weak 36% attacking rate and a relatively solid 64% defensive rate.

Meanwhile, Brescia, when playing away, has won 1 out of 5 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7. Their attack is slightly more effective than Bari’s, at 43%, but their defense is weaker, at 36%.

Based on the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals is expected. The probability of both teams not scoring is high, at 100%.

These data suggest a low-scoring match, likely ending in a draw or a victory for Brescia.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering the offensive and defensive potential of both teams along with their recent history, it seems prudent to bet on a victory for Brescia. Although the team does not have a strong tendency to score away from home, they appear capable of taking advantage of Bari’s weakness at home.

Furthermore, statistics and previous matches indicate a high probability that the total number of goals in the match will be less than 2.5. Therefore, the interesting bet to consider here would be “under 2.5 goals in the match.”

Given the low scoring success rates of both teams, betting on both teams not to score could also be a good choice for this match.

Finally, the exact score is likely to be around 1-2 in favor of Brescia based on the trends discussed. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is 100% certain and all predictions are subject to the unpredictability of sports. It is recommended to bet responsibly.