Tipps Bari Ternana Serie B 16/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Considering the statistics provided, I predict a draw or Ternana to win the match.

1. Bari’s home statistics are not impressive. With only a 20% win rate and more goals conceded than scored (6 against 5), they have shown defensive weakness. Additionally, they have a 43% probability of scoring goals, which is below average.

2. Ternana’s away performances are better with a 40% win rate, even though their defense has had some difficulties (11 goals conceded against 7 scored). However, their offensive potential of 36% shows that they have the ability to score goals, perhaps enough to compensate for their slightly fragile defense.

3. Considering the performances of both teams in their recent matches, it is clear that Ternana is in better form, indicating more chances of winning or drawing compared to Bari. Referring solely to the numbers, Bari has not won any of their last five home matches, while Ternana has won two of their last five away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Score history: Historical data from Bari’s previous home matches and Ternana’s away matches show a total number of goals generally below 2.5.
2. Offensive and Defensive Performances: The average goals scored and conceded by Bari at home and Ternana away in their last 5 matches are 1.2 and 1 respectively, indicating a trend towards low scores on both sides. Additionally, their offensive potentials are relatively low (43% for Bari, 36% for Ternana).
3. Non-Scoring Statistics: According to the provided statistical data, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score. This strengthens the hypothesis of a total number of goals below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Past performances: In their respective last 5 matches, Bari and Ternana have both shown an ability to score goals, with an average of over 1 goal per match.

2. Permeable defenses: These two teams have also conceded goals in their recent matches, with Bari allowing 6 goals in their last 5 home games and Ternana conceding 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. Head-to-head history: Looking at Bari’s recent home matches and Ternana’s away matches, it can be observed that in most cases, both teams have managed to score, increasing the likelihood of this happening again in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Bari 1-1 Ternana”

1. The statistics of the last 5 home matches of Bari show a tendency towards low scores, as Bari has only scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Furthermore, Bari has a high probability of drawing at home, as evidenced by the 40% draw rate.

2. Ternana, in its last 5 away matches, has also shown a trend towards low scores with a total of 7 goals scored and 11 conceded. Ternana’s draw rate away from home is 20%, further supporting the likelihood of a draw.

3. Based on Bari’s recent home matches and Ternana’s away matches, both teams tend to score and concede goals quite regularly (Bari averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match, while Ternana averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per match), which supports a final result of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bari has struggled at home recently, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have shown weak defense, conceding 6 goals.

Ternana, on the other hand, has a better away performance, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 outings. However, their defense is a concern, having conceded 11 goals.

Bari’s offensive potential is at 43%, with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Ternana has a similar offensive potential of 36%, with an average of 1 goal per match.

Bari’s defense is slightly better than Ternana’s, with a defensive potential of 50% compared to 36%.

There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 100% of the matches, suggesting a low-scoring game.

Based on these statistics, a tight match with few goals is likely. Consider the recent performances of Bari and Ternana before placing any bets.

The potential number of goals

Here is the analysis of the match between Bari and Ternana. Bari has won 20% of its last home matches and drawn in 40% of cases. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, suggesting a slight defensive deficit. Bari’s offensive potential at home is 43%, and defensive is 50%.

For Ternana, they have won 40% of their last away matches, with a draw in 20% of cases. Ternana has scored 7 goals and conceded 11. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive is 36%.

Based on these numbers, we can expect a balanced match. The number of goals scored by both teams could be low, as indicated by the fact that 100% of the last matches of Bari and Ternana saw fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 0%.

Using these data as a guide, we could predict a tight match with few goals. The probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is 0%, so a bet on under 2.5 goals could be wise. Also, both teams are unlikely to score, as indicated by a probability of 100%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, these analyses and statistics suggest a preliminary bet on a draw or a Ternana victory. A total number of goals less than 2.5 also seems plausible, given the teams’ history of low-scoring games. Betting on both teams to score could be a good option, despite leaky defenses. An interesting value bet could be to go for under 3.5 goals in the match, in line with observed trends. Lastly, a precise score of 1-1 could be a possibility, considering the respective performances of Bari and Ternana.

However, even with the best possible predictions, it’s important to remember that forecasting the outcome of a football match remains an uncertain task due to the unpredictable nature of the sport. A more in-depth study of the two teams, their current lineups, morale, and form can lead to more informed betting decisions.