Tipps Barracas Central Banfield Liga Profesional 16/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Banfield win the match.

1. Barracas Central’s home performance is very weak. They have not won any of their last 5 home matches and have drawn in 80% of cases. The team lacks dominance at home.
2. Banfield has a relatively better performance away from home than Barracas Central at home. They have won and drawn in 20% and 40% of cases respectively. Additionally, they have an offensive potential of 29%, nearly four times higher than Barracas Central at home (7%).
3. Probability analysis: The bet “Draw or Banfield wins the match” has a success probability of 66.67%, which is quite high, indicating a strong chance that Banfield will win or the match will end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. In their last 5 respective matches, Barracas Central and Banfield have shown a low scoring rate. Barracas Central has scored an average of 0.2 goals per match at home, while Banfield has scored 0.8 goals per match away.

2. The probability percentages suggest that the match is likely to end with less than 2.5 goals. The probability of under 2.5 goals is high at 1.45 compared to a probability of over 2.5 goals at only 32.74%.

3. The analysis of each team’s recent matches also demonstrates a low goal rate. In Barracas Central’s last 5 home matches, the total score has never exceeded 2.5 goals. Similarly, in 4 out of Banfield’s last 5 away matches, the total score has not exceeded 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics of goals conceded by Barracas Central in their last 5 home matches show a poor defense with an average of 1.6 goals per game. This means they are likely to concede at least one goal against Banfield.
2. Banfield’s past performances away from home are also weak, averaging only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. This shows their struggle to score goals on the road.
3. Looking at the betting success rates, there is only a 42.86% probability of both teams scoring during the match according to the odds, compared to a 57.14% probability of at least one team not scoring. This gives an edge to the bet “Both teams to score: No”.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

“Barracas Central 0-1 Banfield”

1. The low offensive potential of Barracas Central: Indeed, this team only scores an average of 0.2 goals per home match, so it is likely that they may not be able to score in this match.
2. Banfield, despite not having a very high offensive performance, still scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match, which is higher than Barracas Central. This justifies a prediction where this team wins the game.
3. The trend of low scores in previous matches: Both teams tend to have low-scoring matches, which strengthens the prediction of a close match and potentially a final score of 0-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At home, Barracas Central is struggling, with no wins in their last 5 matches (4 draws). They are finding it difficult to score, with only 1 goal in those matches.
Banfield, on the other hand, isn’t doing much better away from home. They have only won one out of their last five matches, scoring 2 goals and conceding 5.
Barracas Central averages 0.2 goals per match at home and concedes 1.6. Banfield, on the other hand, scores an average of 0.8 goals per match away and concedes 1.2.
The odds indicate a close match, with each team having a 33.33% chance of winning. A draw is also priced at 33.33%.
The probability of less than 1.5 goals being scored is priced at 2.39. For over 1.5 goals, the probability is 65.48% with odds of 1.55.
Both teams have a low likelihood of scoring, at 42.86%. It is more likely that both teams will not score, at 57.14%.
Ultimately, based on the statistics and odds, a low-scoring match can be expected. A draw or a Banfield win appears to be the most likely prediction.

The potential number of goals

Barracas Central struggles to find the net at home, averaging 0.2 goals per match. Their defense isn’t at its best either, conceding 1.6 goals. This could impact their ability to win the match, explaining their low 0% win rate.

Banfield has a better offensive performance away from home, scoring 0.8 goals per match. They are more solid defensively, conceding 1.2 goals. This helps them secure at least a draw in 40% of cases.

The win probabilities between the two teams are quite close, with a slight advantage for Banfield. The match could end in a draw, with a probability of 33.33%.

Both teams tend to produce low-scoring matches. It is therefore likely that this match will have less than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 91.07%.

Assessing the performances of both teams, it is possible that only one team will score. There is a 57.14% probability that both teams will not score.

Analysis complete. I would recommend betting on under 2.5 goals for this match and considering that both teams will not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Barracas Central and Banfield seems to lean more towards a win for Banfield or a draw, due to Barracas Central’s weak home performance and Banfield’s stronger away performance. Statistical analysis also indicates a probable low number of goals, with a high likelihood of the match ending with less than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the chances of both teams scoring are low, with a dominant probability that only one team will score during the match.

An interesting bet to consider would therefore be a draw, given the recent trends of both teams. Finally, betting on the exact score suggests a possible 0-1 win for Banfield, considering Barracas Central’s difficulty in scoring goals and Banfield’s slightly better offensive potential.

However, it is important to keep in mind that these predictions are based on statistical analysis and past performances, and the outcome of a football match is always uncertain and unpredictable. Therefore, it is recommended to bet with caution.