Tipps Bastia Rodez Ligue 2 29/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

According to the statistics and information provided, the performance of both teams seems quite similar, with a slight edge for Rodez AF due to their performances away from home. However, it is also important to consider the home advantage for Bastia. Despite these factors, it is complex to determine a clear winner without having success probabilities for each possible outcome. But based on the existing data, I would recommend the following prediction: “Draw or Rodez AF wins the match.”

1. Away Performance of Rodez AF: In its last 5 away matches, Rodez AF managed to win 40% of the time. Compared to Bastia, which won 40% of its home matches, Rodez AF seems to have a better away performance.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Rodez AF has an offensive and defensive potential of 64%, which is significantly higher than Bastia’s (43%). With a better ability to score and defend, Rodez AF has a higher likelihood of not losing the match.

3. Number of Goals: Even though Bastia has scored the same number of goals as Rodez AF in its recent home matches, Rodez AF shows better performance with an average of 1.8 goals per match compared to Bastia’s 1.2. The more a team scores, the more chances it has to win or at least avoid defeat.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The average number of goals scored and conceded per match for Bastia at home and Rodez AF away exceeds 2.5 goals (Bastia: 1.2 goals, Rodez AF: 1.8 goals). This indicates a high offensive and defensive potential for both teams that could increase the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored per match.

2. The recent matches of both teams show a number of games where more than 2.5 goals have been scored. For example, Bastia had a match against Annecy with a score of 2-2 and Rodez AF against Troyes with a score of 0-3. These results suggest that matches between these teams may have more than 2.5 goals.

3. Statistics for Bastia and Rodez AF show that they have a capacity to score in home and away matches respectively. In their last 5 matches, Bastia scored 5 goals while Rodez AF scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates an offensive trend for both teams that could lead to a total score of more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent performance statistics show that both teams regularly score. Bastia has scored in 60% of their last home matches while Rodez AF has scored in 60% of their last away matches.
2. Their defense is not unbreakable either, as both Bastia and Rodez AF have conceded goals in their respective last five matches. Bastia has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match and Rodez AF has conceded an average of 1.8 goals away.
3. The offensive potential of Rodez AF is higher (64%) compared to Bastia (43%). However, their defensive potential is similar, suggesting that both teams are likely to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Rodez AF wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Bastia 1-2 Rodez AF

1. Rodez AF’s recent away performances are better than Bastia’s home performances. Rodez has a higher average goals scored than Bastia (1.8 vs 1.2) and also wins in 40% of cases, just like Bastia. This gives Rodez AF an advantage on paper.

2. Bastia’s defense doesn’t seem strong at home, conceding as many goals as they score (1.2 goals per match on average). This creates an opportunity for Rodez AF’s attack, which, despite conceding an average of 1.8 goals away, also frequently scores (average of 1.8 goals scored per away match).

3. Considering the recent match history, it appears that Rodez AF has a certain ability to score away from home, as evidenced by their victories against Martigues and Troyes (2-0 and 0-3 respectively). Furthermore, even though Bastia has managed to keep a clean sheet in some of their recent home matches, they have had games where they conceded 2 goals (against Annecy). Therefore, a scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Rodez AF seems plausible given these factors.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bastia, at home, has had a mixed performance in the last five matches. With 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, the team has shown some resilience. Their offensive and defensive efficiency, at 43%, remains average.

On the other hand, Rodez AF, in their last five away matches, has gathered 2 wins and 3 losses. A fairly balanced performance. With an attacking and defensive capability at 64%, the club is well-equipped to put up a good fight.

The analysis of goals scored shows a slight superiority for Rodez AF, with 1.8 goals against 1.2 for Bastia per match. This trend could continue in the upcoming match.

According to statistics, betting on a match with more than 3.5 goals or both teams scoring seems risky with a success probability of 0%. However, betting on a match with under 4.5 goals offers a success probability of 100%.

Ultimately, there is no clear favorite for the match. Recent performances are relatively similar with very close offensive and defensive strengths. However, the trend of previous matches leans towards a low-scoring game, which could tilt the balance in favor of the team with the stronger defense.

The potential number of goals

Bastia and Rodez AF have each won 40% of their last 5 matches. They both have a European record, with 5 and 6 goals scored respectively during this period.

For Bastia at home, their matches have ended with an average score of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. This indicates a balance between their offensive and defensive capabilities, with a potential of 43% in both cases.

Rodez AF, playing away, have scored and conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. They therefore have an offensive and defensive potential of 64%.

It appears that this match could be evenly matched. Both teams have a fairly similar attacking strength and identical defensive potential.

One detail to note is that both teams have not been scoring in their recent matches, so this is a possibility to consider for this match.

Given these elements, one can expect to see less than 3.5 goals scored with a probability of 100%, and also less than 4.5 goals with a probability of 100%.

Even though the prediction of the winner is not clear in this match, this information should help in making a more informed bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of statistics, recent performances, and game factors suggests a tight and uncertain encounter between Bastia and Rodez AF. While the home advantage for Bastia could work in their favor, Rodez AF’s notable away performance indicates their potential to achieve a positive result.

In terms of betting, the match offers interesting opportunities. The bet “Draw or Rodez AF to win the match” seems to be a solid option, and “Over 2.5” could also be considered given the offensive potential of both teams. It is also likely that both teams will score in this match.

Betting on an exact score is always risky, but a score of 1-2 in favor of Rodez AF could be a good option based on the currently available data. In any case, this match will require careful analysis and a deep understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of each team.

Ultimately, the safest bet may be one that offers an interesting value bet, such as “Rodez AF to win the match.” While the outcome of the match remains uncertain, the statistics and information available suggest that this bet could provide the best risk/reward ratio.

Remember that in sports betting, even the best analysis does not guarantee a certain outcome. It is always important to bet responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.