Tipps Bayern Munich Arsenal UEFA Champions League 17/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Arsenal wins the match

1. Arsenal has a better win statistic with a success probability of 48.53% compared to Bayern Munich’s 27.94%. Their win odds are at 2.72, which is lower than Bayern Munich’s win probability at 2.50, indicating that bookmakers anticipate a higher likelihood of victory for Arsenal.

2. In terms of defense, Arsenal seems to have a significant advantage with a defensive potential of only 14%, meaning they have a relatively low probability of conceding goals, while Bayern Munich has a defensive potential of 64%, making them more likely to concede goals.

3. Looking at recent past performances, Arsenal has been more successful away from home. They have won four out of their last five away games, scoring in each game and only experiencing one defeat. On the other hand, Bayern Munich has lost one home game out of five and has conceded more goals than they have scored.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Bayern Munich is evaluated at 79% at home, while Arsenal has an offensive potential of 57% away from home, indicating that both teams have a strong tendency to score goals.

2. Recent statistics show that the two teams have a combined average of 3.8 goals per match in their respective last 5 matches, which is higher than 2.5 goals.

3. The probability rate for there to be more than 2.5 goals in the match is relatively high at 58.82%, demonstrating that bookmakers also estimate that it is likely that several goals will be scored during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring performances: Both teams have shown excellent offensive potential with high goal averages (Bayern Munich with an average of 2.2 goals per match and Arsenal with an average of 1.6 goals per match in their respective last 5 matches), indicating that they are both capable of scoring in the match.

2. Defensive capabilities: In addition to high offensive potential, both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities. Bayern Munich has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, while Arsenal has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per match away. This suggests that it is likely that both teams will concede goals.

3. Goal probability: Statistics indicate a 54.41% probability of both teams scoring. The high offensive potential of both teams combined with the statistical probability reinforces the prediction that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Arsenal wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal

1. Average goals: The average goals scored and conceded by Bayern Munich and Arsenal in their last 5 matches are quite close to a final score of 2-2. Bayern Munich has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and Arsenal 1.6, which aligns with the predicted score.

2. Both teams to score probability: The forecast also depends on the likelihood of both teams scoring. According to statistics, there is a 54.41% chance that both teams will score during the match, which adds more credibility to the exact score of 2-2.

3. Previous match results: The past results of both teams also suggest that a 2-2 scoreline is possible. Bayern Munich has shown a strong offense in their previous matches, while Arsenal has also demonstrated an ability to score away from home.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bayern Munich, at home, are in good form. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches. Impressive. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 16. A defense that needs work.

Arsenal, away from home, have defended well. With 60% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. Perfect balance between goals scored and conceded, with 14 on each side.

Bayern Munich on average score 2.2 goals per home match. That’s a good score. Defensively, they have conceded 1.8 goals per match. Lack of discipline.

Arsenal, away, score less. Only 1.6 goals per match. But their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.

The probability of Bayern Munich winning this match is 27.94%. The probability of a draw is 23.53%. Arsenal are favorites with a 48.53% chance of winning.

Less than 1.5 goals is unlikely in this match. However, there is an 82.35% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals. Same goes for more than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 58.82%.

Both teams to score in the match? It’s possible at 54.41%, but there’s still a chance of no at 45.59%.

The match looks set to be high-scoring, with a 76.47% probability of under 4.5 goals.

Bayern has won their last home matches 2-0 against 1.FC Köln, 8-1 against Mainz, 3-0 against Lazio Rome, and 2-1 against RB Leipzig. Their only defeat was 0-2 against Borussia Dortmund.

Arsenal in their away matches have won 3-0 against Brighton & Hove, 5-0 against Burnley, 6-0 against Sheffield. They drew against Manchester City and lost 1-0 against Porto.

Exciting times ahead!

The potential number of goals

Bayern Munich often wins at home, with a victory in 80% of its last 5 matches. Arsenal is also a strong contender, winning 60% of its recent away matches.

Bayern Munich averages 2.2 goals per home match and concedes 1.8 goals per match. Arsenal scores slightly less, with an average of 1.6 goals per away match, but excels in defense, only conceding 0.4 goals per match.

It appears that Arsenal has a higher probability of winning the match, with a success probability of 48.53% compared to 27.94% for Bayern Munich. A draw is also possible, with a probability of 23.53%.

In terms of goals, the forecast suggests over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 82.35%. Less than 3.5 goals are also likely, with a probability of 67.65%.

Both teams have strong attacks, with a 54.41% probability that they both score. However, there is also a 45.59% chance that only one team scores.

Looking back at past matches, Bayern Munich has shown an impressive performance at home, while Arsenal has excelled in its away matches. This promises an entertaining match with the potential for many goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Bayern Munich and Arsenal promises to be a high-scoring and suspenseful game. Both teams have shown strong performances in their previous matches. Arsenal, however, has an advantage in terms of likely victory with higher odds, combined with a better defensive performance. Nevertheless, Bayern Munich, at home, has shown that they should not be underestimated with impressive offensive performances. A safe bet would be to wager on over 2.5 goals in the match, but for a more interesting betting value, betting on an Arsenal win could offer higher returns. Past performances also indicate a potential scoreline of 2-2, but remember, in football, anything is possible. So make sure to bet responsibly.