Tipps Bayern Munich Real Madrid UEFA Champions League 30/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Madrid wins the match

1. Offensive efficiency: In their last 5 away matches, Real Madrid has scored a total of 9 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match, showcasing their offensive potential.
2. Defensive resilience: Real Madrid has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Despite this, they have managed to win or draw in 100% of these matches, demonstrating their ability to respond to adversity.
3. Probability calculation: Based on the data provided, Real Madrid has a 45% probability of winning the match, which is higher than Bayern Munich’s success probability (32.5%). Furthermore, the odds for a bet on Real Madrid are 2.78, suggesting that bookmakers also see Real Madrid as the favorites for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of Bayern Munich at home show a high average of goals scored per match (2.4 goals), and Real Madrid away has a high average of both scored and conceded goals per match (1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded). This means that both teams have a strong tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches.

2. Based on the last 5 matches of Bayern Munich at home and Real Madrid away, it is noticeable that the matches often have more than 2.5 goals. For example, the Bayern Munich vs. Mainz match had a total score of 9 goals, while the Real Madrid vs. Osasuna match had a total of 6 goals.

3. The given success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 57.5%, which is higher than that for under 2.5 goals in the match. This indicates that according to the forecasts, it is more likely that the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal statistics: The statistics of both teams show that they both have a good offensive potential. Bayern Munich has scored an average of 2.4 goals per home match and Real Madrid has scored an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Also, they both have shown weaker defensive performances, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, which increases the possibility of both teams scoring.

2. Betting odds: The odds for “Both teams to score: Yes” are at 1.56, suggesting a 55% probability of this happening. This indicates that bookmakers also believe it is likely that both teams will score.

3. Recent performances: By analyzing the last five matches of each team, it can be observed that both teams have been able to score regularly. For example, in their last five away matches, Real Madrid has scored in every game.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Real Madrid wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Bayern Munich 2-1 Real Madrid

1. Bayern Munich has an excellent home performance. In the last 5 home matches, Bayern Munich has won in 80% of cases, showing dominance on their own turf.

2. Bayern Munich’s offensive potential at home is impressive. They score an average of 2.4 goals per home match while Real Madrid concedes an average of 1.2 goals per away match, which could potentially be enough to cover a 2-1 scoreline.

3. Past match statistics between the two teams show that both teams tend to score in the same game (55% probability). Furthermore, the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a probability of 57.5%. These two statistics support the formulation of a 2-1 prediction for Bayern Munich.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bayern Munich shows a strong home performance, with 4 wins out of 5. They often have the opposing net in sight, with 14 goals scored.

Real Madrid displays a solid away team. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road. However, their defense has struggled, conceding 11 goals.

Bayern’s offensive potential is at 86%, compared to Real’s 64%. Their defense is equally matched at 43%.

The highest probability is for a Real Madrid win (45%). Nonetheless, a Bayern win (32.5%) or a draw (22.5%) cannot be ignored.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match offers a success probability of 81.25%. Both teams tend to score, with a simultaneous probability of 55%.

In conclusion, this match looks promising with a high likelihood of goals from both sides. This sets the stage for an exciting and unpredictable encounter.

The potential number of goals

The Bayern Munich have shown strong form at home winning 80% of their matches and scoring an average of 2.4 goals. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding 14 goals.

On the other hand, Real Madrid has displayed some stability away from home with a 60% win rate and averaging 1.8 goals per match. Their defense seems solid, conceding only 1.2 goals on average.

In terms of probabilities, Real Madrid are the favorites with a 45% chance of winning, despite playing as the away team.

This match seems likely to have plenty of goals, with an 81.25% probability of over 1.5 goals and a 67.5% probability of under 3.5 goals.

There is a 55% chance that both teams will score in this match, which could be an interesting betting opportunity.

Based on these numbers, the prediction could be a draw or a Real Madrid win with over 1.5 goals scored by both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the Champions League promises to be a top-notch duel considering the respective performances of these two teams in terms of offensive efficiency and defensive resilience. According to statistics and probabilities, Real Madrid appears to be a slight favorite with a 45% chance of winning, despite Bayern’s strong home performance. The bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be an interesting option, given the strong offensive tendencies of both teams. There is also a high probability (55%) that both teams will score during this match. However, football is an unpredictable sport and anything can happen in this clash of European giants. Whether you are a novice or experienced bettor, it is advisable to exercise caution and conduct your own analysis before placing your bets. Good luck!