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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai
Tipps Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai Super League 28/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Beijing Guoan wins the match.”
1. Beijing Guoan’s home record: In their last 5 home matches, Beijing Guoan won 60% of them and drew 20% of them. Their home performance is stable, which is an advantage for them.
2. Changchun Yatai’s poor away performances: Away from home, Changchun Yatai failed to win or draw a single match in their last 5 matches, demonstrating their struggle away from home and increasing the likelihood of Beijing Guoan winning the match.
3. Calculated success probability: The calculated probability of Beijing Guoan winning is 41.67% with odds of 1.55. This is higher than the probability of a draw or a Changchun Yatai victory, indicating that Beijing Guoan has a statistically higher probability of winning the match.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. The offensive potential of each team is quite high (57% for Beijing Guoan and 64% for Changchun Yatai), which demonstrates that the teams have a tendency to score in their matches, thus allowing for a likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored.
2. In the last 5 home matches, Beijing Guoan has scored a total of 7 goals, and in the last 5 away matches, Changchun Yatai has also scored 7 goals. This proves that they score quite regularly.
3. The teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent outings, with defensive potential rates of 50% for Beijing Guoan and 86% for Changchun Yatai. This may indicate a higher likelihood of conceding goals, making the match more likely to have over 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Offensive Performance History: Based on the data provided, both Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai have demonstrated their ability to score consistently in their respective recent matches. In their last 5 games, Beijing Guoan scored a total of 7 goals while Changchun Yatai also scored 7 goals.
2. Defensive Weakness: Both teams tend to concede goals. Beijing Guoan has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home games, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Similarly, Changchun Yatai has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away games, averaging 2 goals per match.
3. Probabilities: According to the given probabilities, there is a 66.67% chance that both teams will score during the match. This high probability confirms the hypothesis that each team has the ability to score at least one goal during the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Changchun Yatai wins the match
1. Despite recent poor away form, Changchun Yatai shows better offensive and defensive potential with 64% and 86% respectively compared to 57% and 50% for Beijing Guoan. This gives Changchun Yatai the ability to score more goals.
2. The success rate indicated for a Changchun Yatai victory is 33.33% while the odds are 5.00, making it a ‘value bet’ as the expected return is higher than the stake. A value bet is characterized by odds considered too high relative to the estimated probability.
3. Analysis of previous matches: despite recent setbacks, Changchun Yatai has managed to score in every game (except for one defeat), demonstrating an ability to find the net away from home, and therefore has a chance to reverse the trend in this match.
Bet on the exact result
Beijing Guoan 2-1 Changchun Yatai
1. The historical results of both teams in their respective recent matches seem to support this prediction. Beijing Guoan has won 60% of its home games, scoring at least two goals in three of those matches. Changchun Yatai has not won any away games, conceding at least two goals in each match, which supports the idea of Beijing Guoan scoring two goals.
2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams also align with this scoreline. Beijing Guoan has an average of 1.6 goals scored per home match, in line with the expected two goals. Changchun Yatai averages 1.8 goals away, but against Beijing Guoan’s defense conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match, it’s plausible they may only score one goal.
3. The win probabilities also indicate that Beijing Guoan has a higher chance of winning, with a probability of 41.67% compared to Changchun Yatai’s 33.33%. Additionally, both teams have a high likelihood of scoring during the match (66.67% probability), further supporting the plausibility of a 2-1 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Beijing Guoan offers a solid performance at home, with a victory in 60% of cases and a draw 20% of the time. They have scored a total of 7 goals, conceding the same.
Changchun Yatai, when playing away, has disappointing numbers, with no wins or draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals but have conceded 10.
On average, Beijing Guoan has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50% at home. In contrast, Changchun Yatai has an offensive efficiency of 64% and defensive efficiency of 86% away.
The probabilities favor Beijing Guoan with a 41.67% chance of winning the match, while Changchun Yatai has a 33.33% chance. A draw has a 25% probability.
If we consider a draw or a win, Beijing Guoan has a probability of 66.67%, and Changchun Yatai 58.33%.
Regarding the number of goals, there is a 58.33% probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match. Both teams scoring has a 66.67% chance, increasing the offensive potential of this match.
Based on the data, Beijing Guoan is in a good position to win this match or at least secure a draw.
The potential number of goals
For this match between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai, it is important to note that Beijing Guoan has been dominant at home, winning 60% of their recent matches and scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Their defense is solid, conceding only 1.4 goals per game.
On the other hand, Changchun Yatai has struggled away from home, with no wins or draws in their last 5 matches. They do, however, score an average of 1.8 goals but concede more, at 2.4 goals per game.
The odds favor Beijing Guoan to win with a probability of 41.67%. A draw is less likely at 25%, while a victory for Changchun Yatai is estimated at 33.33%. Given the offensive performances of both teams, the Over 2.5 goals option could be interesting, with a success probability of 58.33%.
Regarding both teams to score, the probability is 66.67%. This could be likely as Changchun Yatai have consistently found the net away from home despite their overall poor performance.
Overall, Beijing Guoan appears to be the favorite for this match, but an Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score option could also be an interesting betting strategy.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, this Super League match between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai offers several interesting betting opportunities. Beijing Guoan appears to be favored to win the match, considering their strong home performance and Changchun Yatai’s away struggles. However, the offensive potential of Changchun Yatai should not be underestimated, and betting on their victory could be considered a “value bet.”
A bet on a specific score of Beijing Guoan 2-1 Changchun Yatai could also be considered due to the offensive capabilities of both teams and their tendency to concede goals. Similarly, betting on over 2.5 goals in this match seems like an attractive option. Finally, indicators show a high likelihood of both teams scoring, which could also provide an interesting betting opportunity.
It’s important to remember that these predictions are based on statistical analysis and past performances, and do not guarantee a certain win. It’s always essential to bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Beijing Guoan against Changchun Yatai on 28/09/2024
1. Beijing Guoan’s home record: In their last 5 home matches, Beijing Guoan won 60% of them and drew 20% of them. Their home performance is stable, which is an advantage for them.
2. Changchun Yatai’s poor away performances: Away from home, Changchun Yatai failed to win or draw a single match in their last 5 matches, demonstrating their struggle away from home and increasing the likelihood of Beijing Guoan winning the match.
3. Calculated success probability: The calculated probability of Beijing Guoan winning is 41.67% with odds of 1.55. This is higher than the probability of a draw or a Changchun Yatai victory, indicating that Beijing Guoan has a statistically higher probability of winning the match.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai match!
To not miss anything from the Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/09/2024 in the Super League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai
Lineups Beijing Guoan
Lineups Changchun Yatai
Match Highlights Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai on 28/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai match on 28/09/2024 at Workers' Stadium stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai
All statistics for the match between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Beijing Guoan against Changchun Yatai!
Form state of Beijing Guoan in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Beijing Guoan has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Beijing Guoan has a form rating of %.
Form state of Changchun Yatai in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Changchun Yatai has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Changchun Yatai has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Beijing Guoan against Changchun Yatai!
Average goals scored by Beijing Guoan in the current season.
Goals scored by Beijing Guoan in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Beijing Guoan in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Changchun Yatai in the current season
Goals scored by Changchun Yatai in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Changchun Yatai in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The offensive potential of each team is quite high (57% for Beijing Guoan and 64% for Changchun Yatai), which demonstrates that the teams have a tendency to score in their matches, thus allowing for a likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored.
2. In the last 5 home matches, Beijing Guoan has scored a total of 7 goals, and in the last 5 away matches, Changchun Yatai has also scored 7 goals. This proves that they score quite regularly.
3. The teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent outings, with defensive potential rates of 50% for Beijing Guoan and 86% for Changchun Yatai. This may indicate a higher likelihood of conceding goals, making the match more likely to have over 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai!
The last 5 winning predictions für Beijing Guoan
The last 5 winning predictions für Changchun Yatai
How do I find the best forecast for Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai?
Finding a forecast for the Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai on 28/09/2024 in Workers' Stadium are the team's past performance in the Super League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Beijing Guoan at home and Changchun Yatai away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai on 28/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Super League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Workers' Stadium, Beijing Guoan could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Beijing Guoan and the away win rate of Changchun Yatai, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/09/2024 at Workers' Stadium.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Beijing Guoan or Changchun Yatai on 28/09/2024.
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