Tipps Beijing Guoan Shandong Luneng Super League 30/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on these recent and detailed performances, I would say that Beijing Guoan has the advantage in this match. My prediction would be: Beijing Guoan wins the match.

1. Home Performance: Beijing Guoan has won all of their last 5 home matches. With 18 goals scored in 5 matches, their offensive performance is impressive, which can certainly give Beijing Guoan an advantage.

2. Defensive Performance: Beijing Guoan has a home defensive potential of 36%, lower than Shandong Luneng’s away potential (43%). However, they have conceded fewer goals than Shandong Luneng (only 1 goal per match on average), which could help them maintain a low score for Shandong Luneng.

3. Offensive Potential: Although Shandong Luneng has a good offensive potential (86%), Beijing Guoan surpasses this statistic with 107% offensive potential at home. Furthermore, compared to Shandong Luneng’s 2.4 goals per match, Beijing Guoan averages 3 goals per match at home. This ability to consistently score goals could ensure their victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Recent performances of both teams: Based on their previous matches, Beijing Guoan has scored a total of 18 goals in 5 games, while Shandong Luneng has also scored a total of 11 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a clear tendency for both teams to score goals.

2. Offensive performance of each team: Beijing Guoan has an offensive potential of 107%, averaging 3 goals per home match, whereas Shandong Luneng has an offensive potential of 86%, averaging 2.4 goals per away match. This shows that each team has a strong tendency to score at least one goal in every game.

3. Expertise in sports betting: By definition, the Over 2.5 bet means that both teams must score a total of 3 goals or more for this bet to win. Considering the strong offensive performances of both teams in their previous matches, it is reasonable to predict that the total goals in this match will likely exceed 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Beijing Guoan’s home statistics show a strong offensive capability, averaging 3 goals per match, while having a noticeable defensive weakness, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.
2. Shandong Luneng, in their away games, demonstrate a solid offensive potential by scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match. Additionally, the team also concedes goals, with an average of 1.2 goals per match.
3. Based on the last five matches of both teams, it is clearly visible that these two teams have both scored and conceded goals, which reinforces the probability of both teams scoring in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Beijing Guoan 3-2 Shandong Luneng

1. The offensive potential of Beijing Guoan is 107%, which means they have a high likelihood of scoring an average of 3 goals, as shown by their previous home match scores.

2. Shandong Luneng’s defense is not very effective, with a defensive potential of 43%. Consequently, they are likely to concede more goals, reinforcing the prediction that Beijing Guoan will score 3 goals.

3. Shandong Luneng has an offensive potential of 86% and they score an average of 2.4 goals per away match. This supports the prediction that they will score 2 goals against Beijing Guoan.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Beijing Guoan has exhibited an impeccable home record, winning 100% of their last 5 matches here. They have scored 18 goals in these matches, an impressive average of 3 goals per game. However, they have also conceded 19 goals, which is almost 4 per game.

Shandong Luneng, on their travels, has scored in 2 out of 5 matches and drawn in the remaining 3. They have scored a total of 11 goals, with an average of 2.4 goals per game. Nevertheless, they have also conceded 12 goals.

Taking these statistics into account, the offensive potential of Beijing Guoan is over 107%, while the defensive potential is at 36%. For Shandong Luneng, their offensive potential is at 86%, with a defensive potential of 43%.

Neither set of data provides a precise figure regarding the probabilities for each team to win the match. Additionally, predictions for a draw, over/under goals are also undefined.

However, based on the statistics, a match with less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals is highly likely.

Examining Beijing Guoan’s recent home matches, they have shown excellent offensive performance. Similarly, Shandong Luneng has demonstrated a strong offensive performance away, even though they have conceded goals in every outing.

Given this information, the match could be extremely competitive and with a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

The potential number of goals

Beijing Guoan is clearly dominant at home, victorious in 100% of their last 5 matches. This performance is supported by an effective attack of 3 goals per game. However, their 19 goals conceded indicate a leaky defense.

Shandong Luneng has struggled away from home, winning only 40% of their last 5 matches. They average 2.4 goals per game, but also concede above average with 1.2 goals.

In terms of potential, Beijing Guoan has a 21% offensive superiority. Defensively, the gap is narrower, with Beijing Guoan being below 7%.

The forecast appears to be complicated at first glance, as no success probability is specified in the data. However, it’s worth noting that both teams do not score together in 100% of cases.

Considering the past performances, the match could be lively. Consider a bet on over 3.5 goals, given the offensive potential of both teams. A match dominated by Beijing Guoan could be expected, but with chances of goals on both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, considering all statistics and recent performances of both teams, several bets can be considered depending on the strategy you wish to adopt.

My 1X2 prediction suggests that Beijing Guoan could be the winner of this match due to its strong offensive performance at home and ability to keep the opponent’s score low.

The Over/Under 2.5 bet, with both teams having a strong tendency to score goals, pushes us to choose the Over 2.5 bet, indicating that the match will likely produce a total of 3 goals or more.

Due to the strong offensive capabilities and defensive weaknesses of Beijing Guoan and Shandong Luneng, the “both teams to score: yes” bet seems to be a viable option.

For an interesting betting value, the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet could be worth considering, relying on the trend of these two teams to score and concede goals.

Finally, in terms of exact score betting, based on the current performances of both teams, a potential score could be Beijing Guoan 3-2 Shandong Luneng.

However, it is important to emphasize that sports betting always involves a risk and that predictions, even based on statistics and past performances, do not guarantee the result of a match. Always bet responsibly.