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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Benfica Atletico Madrid

    Tipps Benfica Atletico Madrid UEFA Champions League 02/10/2024

    Last update : 02/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Atletico Madrid wins the match

    1. The statistics show that Atletico Madrid has a success rate of 43.56%, which is higher than Benfica’s win rate of 30.67%.
    2. Atletico Madrid has recently performed well by winning 60% of its away matches and drawing in 40% of cases. This performance surpasses Benfica’s 80% home win rate.
    3. Atletico Madrid holds a higher defensive potential at 14%, compared to Benfica’s 29% defensive potential. This suggests that Atletico Madrid may be more capable of maintaining their lead by blocking opposing offenses.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5 goals in the match

    1. The statistics of these two teams show defensive solidity, with Benfica conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match at home and Atletico Madrid conceding only 0.4 goals on average away.
    2. Atletico Madrid’s recent away matches tend to be low-scoring, with none of the last 5 exceeding 2.5 goals except for the match against Kitchee, which seems to be an exception.
    3. The probability of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match is higher (at 1.94) than the probability of there being more than 2.5 goals (at 1.91), indicating that the statistical trends favor a low score.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Past performance statistics show that both teams have a strong ability to find the back of the net. Benfica has scored 13 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atletico Madrid has scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

    2. Both teams have also shown a lack of defensive solidity. Benfica has conceded 14 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Atletico Madrid has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches.

    3. Based on the statistics, there is a probability of 50.92% that both teams will score. Compared to other available markets, this is one of the most likely scenarios.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    “More than 1.5 goals in the match”

    1. Recent statistics from both teams show a high offensive efficiency. Benfica has scored an average of 3 goals per match at home, while Atletico Madrid has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match away. These data reinforce the idea of a match with more than 1.5 goals.

    2. The details of the last matches played by both teams show that the number of goals scored and conceded regularly exceeds the threshold of 1.5 goals. For example, the scores of Benfica’s last home matches were 5-1, 4-1, and 1-0, Atletico Madrid’s away matches: 0-1, 1-1, and 0-1.

    3. The success probability of this bet ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ is estimated at 69.33% according to the odds given. This is a fairly high probability that suggests this option is very likely.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Benfica 2-2 Atletico Madrid

    1. Recent Performance: Both teams have shown strong recent performances, with Benfica winning 80% of their home matches and Atletico Madrid winning 60% of their away matches. The statistics suggest that both teams regularly score goals, which could result in a draw.

    2. Goal Averages: Based on the average goals scored and conceded per match by both teams, a score of 2-2 is plausible. Benfica averages 3 goals scored per home match and concedes 0.8 goals per match, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.6 goals scored per away match and concedes 0.4 goals per match.

    3. “Both Teams to Score”: The probability of both teams scoring is 50.92%. This supports the prediction of a draw with multiple goals.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    In its last 5 home matches, Benfica has been dominating, winning 80% of its games with 13 goals scored. However, their defense needs strengthening as they have conceded 14 goals. Their recent victories show a strong offensive performance, especially with scores of 5-1 against GIL Vicente and 4-1 against Santa Clara.

    As for Atletico Madrid, they have a 60% win rate in their last 5 away matches, scoring 11 goals. Their defensive performance is slightly better with 12 goals conceded. They have stood out when away from home, particularly with a 6-1 victory over Kitchee.

    In terms of averages, Benfica scores an average of 3 goals per home match while Atletico Madrid only averages 1.6 goals per away match.

    Sports betting odds favor Atletico Madrid with a 43.56% probability of winning. However, Benfica has a 30.67% chance of winning, with a total probability of 56.44% for a draw or a Benfica victory.

    There is a 69.33% probability that more than 1.5 goals will be scored during the match, which could make the match very interesting.

    Taking these data into account, my prediction would lean towards a match with more than 1.5 goals, considering Benfica’s strong home offensive power and Atletico Madrid’s recent away performances.

    The potential number of goals

    Benfica is a force at home. In their last 5 matches, they have won 80% of the time. They have scored 13 goals in these matches, averaging 3 goals per game.

    Atletico Madrid also performs well away from home. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals.

    However, Benfica concedes more goals than Atletico, with 14 against 12. This is a weakness to watch out for.

    Enhanced statistics show that Benfica has an offensive potential of 107% at home and a defensive potential of 29%. Atletico Madrid, away from home, scores less (57% offensive potential) but also concedes less (14% defensive potential).

    Considering that the probabilities favor Atletico Madrid as the likely winner (43.56%) and the high chance of seeing a match with over 1.5 goals (69.33%), we can expect a competitive game.

    Interestingly, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring (50.92%) or not scoring (49.08%). A bet on both teams to score could therefore be profitable.

    In conclusion, we could expect an exciting match, with Atletico Madrid slightly ahead and at least one goal from each side.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, all statistical indicators point towards a competitive and lively match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid. The odds slightly favor Atletico Madrid, which, according to the data, has a win probability of 43.56%. Benfica, however, cannot be easily dismissed with a win probability of 30.67% and a strong offensive performance at home.

    The figures also suggest that it is highly likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals, offering a significant opportunity for bettors. Furthermore, since both teams have similar chances of scoring, it could be interesting to bet on ‘both teams to score’.

    Despite Atletico Madrid having a defensive advantage, the overall analysis suggests that Benfica’s ability to score at home could make this match particularly intriguing. It will be essential to track certain key trends and adjust bets accordingly.

    As always, it is important to remember that sports betting involves risks and uncertainties. Analyzing multiple statistics and information before making a betting decision is crucial. Good luck to everyone.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Benfica against Atletico Madrid on 02/10/2024

    1. The statistics show that Atletico Madrid has a success rate of 43.56%, which is higher than Benfica’s win rate of 30.67%.
    2. Atletico Madrid has recently performed well by winning 60% of its away matches and drawing in 40% of cases. This performance surpasses Benfica’s 80% home win rate.
    3. Atletico Madrid holds a higher defensive potential at 14%, compared to Benfica’s 29% defensive potential. This suggests that Atletico Madrid may be more capable of maintaining their lead by blocking opposing offenses.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Benfica to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Madrid to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Benfica or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Madrid or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Benfica or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Madrid or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Benfica or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Madrid or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Benfica vs Atletico Madrid match!

    To not miss anything from the Benfica vs Atletico Madrid match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 02/10/2024 in the UEFA Champions League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Benfica vs Atletico Madrid

    logo team a
    composition
    1Trubin
    6Bah
    44Araújo
    30Otamendi
    3Carreras
    8Aursnes
    61Luís
    10Kökçü
    11Di
    14Pavlidis
    17Aktürkoğlu
    Lineups Benfica
    logo team a
    composition
    13Oblak
    20Witsel
    2María
    23Mandava
    14Llorente
    5de
    6Koke
    12Lino
    10Correa
    19Álvarez
    7Griezmann
    Lineups Atletico Madrid

    Match Highlights Benfica vs Atletico Madrid on 02/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Benfica vs Atletico Madrid match on 02/10/2024 at Estádio da Luz stadium.

    13'K. Aktürkoğlu
    picto
    22'Fredrik Aursnes
    picto
    33'Marcos LlorenteN. Molina
    picto
    46'A. GriezmannA. Sørloth
    picto
    46'KokeC. Gallagher
    picto
    46'R. De PaulJavi Serrano
    picto
    52'Á. Di María
    picto
    60'V. PavlidisZ. Amdouni
    picto
    60'J. AlvarezG. Simeone
    picto
    70'Javier Serrano
    picto
    71'Á. Di MaríaB. Rollheiser
    picto
    71'K. AktürkoğluJ. Beste
    picto
    75'A. Bah
    picto
    83'Reinildo Mandava
    picto
    83'José María Giménez
    picto
    84'O. Kökçü
    picto
    86'O. KökçüL. Barreiro
    picto
    86'A. BahAntónio Silva
    picto
    90'Ángel Correa
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid

    All statistics for the match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Benfica
    Atletico Madrid
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    53%
    47%
    Total Shots
    19
    4
    Shots on Goal
    10
    0
    Shots off Goal
    5
    2
    Corner Kicks
    4
    2
    Passing Accuracy
    88%
    86%
    Total Passes
    614
    537
    Successful Passes
    540
    461
    Fouls Committed
    6
    8
    Yellow Cards
    1
    4
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Benfica against Atletico Madrid!

    logo team

    Form state of Benfica in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Benfica has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Benfica has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Atletico Madrid in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atletico Madrid has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Benfica against Atletico Madrid!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Benfica in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Benfica in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Benfica
    Benfica has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Benfica in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Benfica
    Benfica has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atletico Madrid in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Atletico Madrid in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Atletico Madrid in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Benfica and Atletico Madrid, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Benfica vs Atletico Madrid: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. The statistics of these two teams show defensive solidity, with Benfica conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match at home and Atletico Madrid conceding only 0.4 goals on average away.
    2. Atletico Madrid’s recent away matches tend to be low-scoring, with none of the last 5 exceeding 2.5 goals except for the match against Kitchee, which seems to be an exception.
    3. The probability of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match is higher (at 1.94) than the probability of there being more than 2.5 goals (at 1.91), indicating that the statistical trends favor a low score.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Benfica and Atletico Madrid!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Benfica

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico Madrid

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Benfica Atletico Madrid?

    Finding a forecast for the Benfica Atletico Madrid match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Benfica Atletico Madrid on 02/10/2024 in Estádio da Luz are the team's past performance in the UEFA Champions League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Benfica at home and Atletico Madrid away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 02/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Benfica and Atletico Madrid on 02/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the UEFA Champions League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio da Luz, Benfica could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Benfica and Atletico Madrid, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Benfica and the away win rate of Atletico Madrid, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 02/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Benfica and Atletico Madrid can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 02/10/2024 at Estádio da Luz.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Benfica and Atletico Madrid, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Benfica or Atletico Madrid on 02/10/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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