Tipps Benfica SC Braga Primeira Liga 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Benfica wins the match

1. Benfica’s home statistics are positive: with a 80% win rate in their last 5 home matches, they show a solid defense and goal-scoring capability. Additionally, they have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded an average of 1 goal per match, indicating a strong performance both offensively and defensively.

2. While Braga also has a good away win rate (80%), they tend to concede more goals (1.6 on average), which could be detrimental against an offensive Benfica team.

3. The probabilities favor Benfica: the best odds for Benfica to win are at 62.56%, more than twice as high as those for Braga. This indicates a high confidence in a favorable outcome for Benfica.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent home matches for Benfica and away matches for Braga have shown a strong attacking capability. For instance, Benfica’s last 5 home matches produced 11 goals (an average of 2.2 per match) and Braga’s away matches produced 13 goals (an average of 2.6 per match). These figures exceed 2.5 goals per match, suggesting a high likelihood of this match surpassing that threshold.

2. Braga has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 57% in their away matches. This lack of balance suggests they are likely to score plenty of goals while also conceding, which could lead to a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. The success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 60%, which is relatively high compared to success probabilities for under 2.5 goals, under 3.5 goals, etc. This figure suggests that the over 2.5 goals prediction is a viable and popular option.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams show a strong offensive ability as evidenced by the number of goals scored in their recent matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per match for Benfica and 2 goals per match for Braga.
2. Both teams have conceded goals in their recent matches, indicating that their defenses may be vulnerable. On average, Benfica has conceded 1 goal and Braga 1.6.
3. The statistics from Benfica’s recent home matches and Braga’s away matches show that both teams have generally been able to score, with Benfica scoring in all their recent home matches and Braga in the majority of their away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 21.54% probability of success: 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Benfica 2-2 Braga

1. Both teams’ recent performances show they have high offensive and defensive potential. Benfica have scored 11 goals and conceded 12 in their last 5 home matches, while Braga have scored 13 goals and conceded 15 in their last 5 away matches. These statistics suggest that both teams are capable of scoring, while also having some defensive vulnerability that could lead to a 2-2 score.

2. The probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 60%, with odds of 1.62. The odds also indicate a 58.97% probability of both teams scoring during the match. The prediction of 2-2 score seems justified by these probabilities and odds.

3. By analyzing both teams’ recent matches, a pattern of high-scoring games emerges. For instance, the Benfica vs. Sporting match ended in a 2-2 draw, the exact score predicted for the match against Braga. Similarly, the Portimonense vs. Braga match ended in a 3-5 result, showing that Braga can both score and concede many goals in a single match. This trend towards high-scoring matches also supports the 2-2 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Benfica has been showing a strong performance at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 11 goals but also conceded 12. Their home offensive potential is at 64%, while their defense is at 36%.

Braga, on the other hand, is also performing well away from home with an 80% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 15. Their offensive potential on the road is at 71% and their defensive performance is at 57%.

The predictions suggest a Benfica win with a probability of 62.56% at odds of 1.55. A draw is at 4.33 with a 21.54% chance, while a Braga victory is considered less likely at 15.9%, with odds of 5.50.

The match seems likely to see goals, with an 83.08% chance of more than 1.5 goals (odds at 1.20), and 60% for more than 2.5 goals (1.62). The potential for both teams to score is at 58.97% (1.70).

Benfica appears to have the edge with previous home scores like Benfica 3 – 0 Moreirense, 2 – 1 Marseille OM, and 3 – 1 Estoril. However, Braga’s recent away victories, such as Estoril 0 – 1 Braga and Boavista 0 – 4 Braga, show their competitiveness.

The potential number of goals

Benfica show good form at home with an 80% win rate. However, their defense is lacking, having conceded 12 goals. Braga, equally strong away from home, score more frequently with 13 goals. Nevertheless, their defense is inconsistent, having conceded 15 goals.

Analyzing the data, Benfica appear to have a higher probability of winning at 62.56%. However, their fragile defense might lead to a match with over 2.5 goals, a scenario with a 60% probability.

The offensive performances of both teams suggest a match where both teams score, with a likelihood of 58.97%.

Taking these factors into account, a realistic bet would be ‘Benfica to win and over 2.5 goals in the match’.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the forecast indicates that Benfica has a strong chance of winning the match, with a probability of 62.56%. However, considering Braga’s performance in away games, a draw should not be ruled out. The combination of Benfica’s high home win rate and Braga’s strong offensive performance away from home suggests that there will likely be over 2.5 goals during the match. The “both teams to score” option also seems promising, with a probability of 58.97%. Additionally, the predicted exact score of 2-2 could offer an interesting bet, although it carries some risk due to the balanced strength between the two teams. Overall, this match provides many exciting betting opportunities for informed bettors.