Tipps BK Hacken 1. FC Heidenheim UEFA Europa Conference League 22/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Heidenheim wins the match.

1. Heidenheim has a higher away win percentage in their last 5 matches (60%) than BK Hacken has home win percentage (80%). Their performance is therefore more consistent.
2. Heidenheim has a higher defensive potential (14%) compared to BK Hacken (29%). They are less likely to concede goals.
3. The probability of the bet “Heidenheim wins the match” is the highest (45.99%) compared to other betting options.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. BK Hacken has a strong attacking potential at home, scoring an average of 4 goals per game in their last 5 matches.
2. Heidenheim has shown offensive solidity away from home, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches.
3. Matches featuring BK Hacken at home and Heidenheim away tend to have several goals, often exceeding 2.5 goals per game as seen in their recent respective match scores.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The goals scored and conceded statistics for both teams are high. BK Hacken has scored 23 goals and conceded 25 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Heidenheim has scored 10 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is also very high. BK Hacken’s potential stands at 143%, just like Heidenheim’s potential stands at 93%. These statistics suggest that both teams have a significant ability to score goals.

3. The statistics on the recent matches of both teams show that in most games, both teams have scored. This supports the prediction that both teams will score. For BK Hacken, three out of the last five home matches have seen both teams score. For Heidenheim, two out of the last five away matches have seen both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Heidenheim wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

BK Hacken 3-2 Heidenheim.

1. Offensive potential of BK Hacken: Based on previous match statistics, BK Hacken has shown superior attacking power, averaging 4 goals per game at home. This justifies the prediction of 3 goals for this team in this match.
2. Heidenheim scores and concedes away: In their last 5 away matches, Heidenheim has demonstrated an ability to score goals (2.6 on average per match) and also has a tendency to concede, which justifies the 2 goals predicted in the forecast.
3. Probability of both teams scoring: Both teams have shown the ability to score in their previous matches, with a 62.77% probability of both teams scoring in this match. This reinforces the idea of a high-scoring game like the 3-2 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

BK Hacken is a powerhouse at home, winning 80% of their recent matches and drawing 20% of the time. They have found the net 23 times, but their defense has been a concern with 25 goals conceded.

Heidenheim has shown decent form away from home, with 60% wins and 40% draws. They have scored 10 goals but have also displayed a vulnerable defense, conceding 11 goals.

On paper, BK Hacken appears more offensive with an average of 4 goals per match, whereas Heidenheim scores around 2.6 goals per match. However, both teams concede less than a goal per match on average.

Predictions slightly favor Heidenheim with a 45.99% probability of winning the match against 26.28% for BK Hacken. The option of a draw or Heidenheim win presents an attractive success probability of 73.72%.

The probability of the total number of goals favors over 1.5 goals with a probability of 80.29%. Moreover, there is also a significant chance (62.77%) that both teams score.

Let’s review their recent forms: BK Hacken has bombarded Paide and F91 Dudelange with six goals each at home. Heidenheim has also managed to easily win against Villingen and Schwäbisch Hall away from home.

The key to the match could be BK Hacken’s defense. If they can curb their tendency to concede goals, they could defy the odds. But currently, Heidenheim seems to be the favorite based on statistics.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing recent performances, BK Hacken appears strong at home with an 80% win rate and an impressive goal rate of 23. However, their defense leaves something to be desired with 25 goals conceded.

Heidenheim, on the other hand, performs well away from home with a 60% win rate and a total of 10 goals scored, but their 11 goals conceded show defensive weaknesses.

With an offensive potential of 143% for BK Hacken compared to 93% for Heidenheim, goals are expected from BK Hacken. Yet, their defensive potential is lower than Heidenheim’s: 29% compared to 14%.

Probabilities predict a more likely victory for Heidenheim at 45.99%, but a chance of a draw or a BK Hacken win at 54.01% shows that the competition remains tight.

A total of over 1.5 goals seems likely with a success rate of 80.29%. Moreover, there is a 62.77% chance that both teams will score.

These statistics, combined with BK Hacken’s recent performances against Paide and F91 Dudelange, and Heidenheim’s against Villingen and Schwäbisch Hall, suggest an offensive and competitive match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering recent statistics, the safest bet would be to back Heidenheim. They have shown their ability to maintain a consistent performance in their matches, especially away, with a winning probability of 45.99%.

Furthermore, the increased offensive potential of BK Hacken at home suggests that there is likely to be over 2.5 goals in the match and a strong chance of both teams scoring.

However, the 54.01% chance of a draw or BK Hacken win demonstrates that the match will not be one-sided and the result remains uncertain. In other words, this UEFA Europa Conference League match promises to be both competitive and high-scoring.

So, while the probabilities suggest a Heidenheim victory, the opportunity could very well arise for BK Hacken to defy the odds, provided their defense is taken into account.