Tipps Boavista Benfica Primeira Liga 23/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Benfica wins the match.”

1. Benfica has a success probability of 76.19% to win the match, according to sports betting statistics, which is significantly higher than Boavista’s probability (5.71%).
2. Benfica’s offensive potential is very high, with an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 away matches, while Boavista has a rather weak offensive potential, with only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home matches.
3. Recent match history shows a better performance for Benfica away compared to Boavista at home. For example, Benfica won their last away match while Boavista drew in their last home match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Boavista’s recent home performances show a low average of goals, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
2. Benfica has not shown great offensive potential in their recent away games, only averaging 2.2 goals per match.
3. The last matches of both teams suggest a low number of goals, with most matches recording less than three goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Boavista’s offensive performances at home are relatively weak, with an average of 0.6 goals per match. Coupled with Benfica’s high defensive potential of 21% in their away games, this suggests that Boavista may struggle to score.

2. Despite having a high offensive potential away from home, Benfica has not shown exceptional success recently. In fact, in their last 5 away games, Benfica only won 20% of the time. This uncertainty about Benfica’s performance further supports the argument that both teams may not score.

3. Several of Boavista’s recent home games and Benfica’s away games have resulted in one of the teams not scoring. For example, in Boavista’s last home game against Braga, only Braga scored. Similarly, in Benfica’s away game against Famalicao, only Famalicao scored. These recent results support a prediction that both teams may not score in their matchup.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Boavista 1-2 Benfica

1. Benfica has a much better offensive performance than Boavista: Benfica scores an average of 2.2 goals per away match, compared to Boavista’s average of 0.6 goals per home match. Furthermore, the probability of Benfica winning the match is 76.19%, which is significantly higher than Boavista’s 5.71%.

2. Benfica’s defensive potential is weaker than Boavista’s: Benfica concedes an average of 0.6 goals in away matches, compared to Boavista’s 0.8 goals in home matches. This statistic supports the idea that it is likely Boavista will score at least one goal in the match.

3. The recent home matches of Boavista and away matches of Benfica have mostly resulted in a number of goals corresponding to this prediction: in 5 matches, Boavista scored at least one goal at home in 2 matches, and Benfica scored at least two goals away in one match. The prediction of “Boavista 1 – 2 Benfica” seems consistent with these past performances.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Boavista struggles at home, having won only one out of five matches (20%). They score few goals (0.6 goals per match) and concede an average of 0.8 goals per match. Offensively, they only have a 21% potential.

Benfica, on the other hand, only win 20% of their away matches. However, they score an average of 2.2 goals per match and concede only 0.6 goals per match, showing an offensive potential of 79%.

The probability of Benfica winning is significantly high at 76.19%. The odds also suggest a high probability of a draw or a Benfica win (88.57%).

As for goals, it is more likely to see over 1.5 goals in the match (82.86%) and less likely to see over 4.5 goals (87.62% probability for “under 4.5 goals”).

Finally, the chances of both teams scoring are almost 50/50.

Based on this data, Benfica seems to be the favorite, with the potential for multiple goals away from home, and it’s likely that both teams will score.

The potential number of goals

Boavista has shown a weak performance at home, with only one win in five matches. The total score of 5 goals in five matches indicates limited offensive potential. The defense is also fragile, having conceded 7 goals.

Benfica, on the other hand, has not shined away from home, with only one win in five matches. Their offensive power, however, is demonstrated by their 11 goals in five matches, while their defense has held up with only 6 goals conceded.

The statistics suggest that Benfica has a fairly high probability of winning the match at a rate of 76.19%.

The possibility of a draw or a Boavista win is unlikely with only a success probability of 18.1%.

The match could have more than 2.5 goals, given the success probability of 62.86%. The option “under 4.5 goals in the match” also seems probable with a rate of 87.62%.

Finally, both teams could score or not, the probabilities are nearly balanced.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and current performances of both teams clearly indicate that Benfica is the favorite to win this match against Boavista. Their superior offensive performance gives Benfica a significant advantage. However, it should be noted that sports betting predictions are uncertain, and despite the statistics, the final result will only truly be known after the match. Nevertheless, for bettors, the bet “Benfica to win the match” seems to be the safest choice based on probabilities.

Furthermore, the bet “Under 2.5 goals” seems to be another valid option to consider given Boavista’s recent low offensive performances and Benfica’s limited ability to score more than two goals away. Similarly, the probability of “Both teams to score: No” is also supported by the data, due to Boavista’s weak offensive potential and Benfica’s recent defensive performances.

Finally, the interesting value bet appears to be “Under 3.5 goals in the match”, considering the relatively low offensive performances of both teams and their past match trends.

In summary, to maximize their chances of winning, bettors should focus on low-risk, high-yield bets based on thorough analysis and a well-established knowledge of the teams in question.