Tipps Bohemians Drogheda United Premier Division 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bohemians wins the match.

1. Home vs Away Performance: Bohemians’ recent performances at home have been significantly better than Drogheda’s performances away. Bohemians have won 40% of their home matches, while Drogheda has not won any of their last 5 away matches.

2. Probabilities and Odds: Probabilities indicate that Bohemians have a 54.19% chance of winning the match, which is much higher than Drogheda’s 15.64% chance of victory. Additionally, the odds for Bohemians to win are 1.72, suggesting that bookmakers are also favoring a Bohemians win.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Bohemians have shown slightly superior offensive and defensive potential in their recent home matches compared to Drogheda away. While both teams have scored and conceded a similar number of goals, Bohemians’ offensive potential at home is 57%, compared to Drogheda’s 50% away. Similarly, Bohemians’ defensive potential at home is 57% compared to Drogheda’s 50% away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Bohemians at home is 57%, with an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Drogheda United’s defensive potential is 50%, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match. These statistics suggest a low total number of goals in the match.

2. In their last 5 matches, Bohemians scored 7 goals and conceded 7, while Drogheda United scored 5 goals and conceded 8. These scores below 2.5 goals per match for both teams reinforce the idea of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

3. The offered probabilities also favor this prediction, with a success probability of 83.8% for under 3.5 goals in the match and a probability of 101.68% for under 4.5 goals. This trend suggests that the match will likely end with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of both teams: Bohemians and Drogheda United have shown a capability to score in their previous matches, primarily in home games for Bohemians and away games for Drogheda United. Based on the number of goals they have managed to score during these matches (1.6 goals per game for Bohemians and 4 goals per game for Drogheda), there is a strong likelihood that each team will be able to score in their encounter.

2. The defensive potential of both teams: Both teams also tend to concede goals, with an average of 1.6 goals per game conceded for Bohemians at home and 1.4 goals per game for Drogheda United away. This suggests that each team could potentially concede at least one goal in their match.

3. Head-to-head history: In the recent matches of Bohemians at home and Drogheda United away, both teams have managed to score. This indicates that both teams can provide an offensive contribution to this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw”

Bet on the exact result

Bohemians 2-1 Drogheda United

1. Bohemians has a better home record with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to Drogheda United who hasn’t won any away matches in their last 5 games.
2. Bohemians have a 57% attacking potential at home and score an average of 1.6 goals per match, which is in line with the expected score. Additionally, while Drogheda United have a higher attacking potential away, they tend to concede more goals (1.4 on average), further supporting the idea of a match in favor of Bohemians.
3. Drogheda United’s recent away performances have been poor, experiencing heavy defeats in their previous games. In contrast, Bohemians have shown a tendency to win or at least draw in their home matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bohemians show good form at home, with a 40% win rate. They maintain an average of 1.6 goals per match both offensively and defensively. Their probability of winning this match is 54.19%.

On the other hand, Drogheda United struggles away from home with no victories. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 8. Their goal average is high with 4 goals per match, but their win probability is only 15.64%.

A draw seems unlikely, with a success probability of 30.17%. However, it is probable to see more than 1.5 goals scored in the match, with a success probability of 78.21%.

The ‘draw or Bohemians win’ opportunity is very promising, with a probability of 84.36%.

Based on the recent history of both teams, the match could be tight, with a 50.28% probability of both teams scoring.

Considering all these factors, the prediction would favor Bohemians, with potentially high result opportunities for a match with over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Bohemians performs well at home: 40% recent win rate. They have a balanced offensive and defensive game, averaging 1.6 goals per match. The offensive and defensive potential is at 57%.

On the other hand, Drogheda United has not won any of their last 5 away matches. Offensively, they score an average of 4 goals per match, but defensively, they concede 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is impressive at 143%. However, their defense is only at 50%.

The probability of Bohemians winning is 54.19%. It is more likely than a draw (30.17%) or a Drogheda United win (15.64%).

In this match, there will likely be more than 1.5 goals: 78.21% probability. But less than 3.5 goals are expected, with a probability of 83.8%.

Both teams could score, but it remains uncertain with a fairly balanced probability: 50.28%.

For a prediction, Bohemians victory appears to be a safe option, with a probability of 54.19%. The chances are also high for a total of over 1.5 goals (78.21%), and less than 3.5 goals (83.8%).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match is probably leaning towards Bohemians, considering their recent strong performances at home compared to Drogheda’s away record. Their solid offensive and defensive statistics back this argument. However, caution is advised as Drogheda has shown significant attacking potential, although their defense is lacking. Over 1.5 goals in the match seems very likely, although the data suggests less than 3.5 goals in total. Both teams scoring is also a possibility given their attacking abilities. Finally, despite lower probabilities, a draw could be an interesting value bet to consider for bettors looking for calculated risks.