Tipps Bologna Atalanta Serie A 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Atalanta Bergamo wins the match”

1. The probability of victory for Atalanta Bergamo is higher than that of Bologna, with 44.97% and 28.57% respectively. This indicates that the statistics and recent performances favor Atalanta Bergamo.

2. Atalanta Bergamo’s offensive potential in their last 5 away matches is higher than that of Bologna at home, 43% compared to 36%. This means that Atalanta Bergamo has been more efficient in converting goal-scoring opportunities away from home than Bologna at home.

3. Analyzing the recent matches of both teams, Atalanta Bergamo has scored in every match except in two cases where they played against much higher ranked teams (Inter Milan and Real Madrid). On the other hand, Bologna has struggled to score more than 1 goal per match at home, indicating that Atalanta Bergamo has had a better recent offensive performance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches indicate that Bologna and Atalanta Bergamo score on average over 2 combined goals per match. Bologna scores an average of 1 goal per match, and Atalanta Bergamo scores an average of 1.2 goals per match, resulting in a total of 2.2 goals on average per match.

2. The defensive performances of both teams are not very strong. Bologna concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Atalanta Bergamo concedes 2.2 goals per match, making a total of 3.6 goals conceded on average per match when combining both teams.

3. Taking into account the recent matches of both teams, they have shown an ability to score and concede goals. Several recent matches have either approached or exceeded 2.5 goals (such as Bologna 3 – 3 Asteras Tripolis, Bologna 5 – 0 Caldiero Terme, or Inter Milan 4 – 0 Atalanta Bergamo), indicating the likelihood of a high-scoring match between them.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring history: Both teams have shown a tendency to score goals in their recent matches. Bologna has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atalanta Bergamo has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Sparse clean sheet history: Bologna has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home match and does not appear solid defensively. Additionally, Atalanta Bergamo concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away match, showing defensive weaknesses.

3. Offensive potential: Statistics highlight significant offensive potential for both teams. Bologna has an offensive potential of 36% and Atalanta Bergamo of 43%. Coupled with their defensive weaknesses, this indicates that both teams are capable of scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw or Bologna wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Bologna 1-2 Atalanta Bergamo

1. Home and away statistics: Both teams have the same winning percentage in their last home and away matches. However, Atalanta scores more goals away from home than Bologna does at home, giving Atalanta an advantage.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Atalanta has a higher offensive potential than Bologna (43% vs 36%) and a much higher defensive potential (79% vs 50%). This indicates that Atalanta is more likely to score goals and maintain an advantage.

3. Detailed probabilities: Detailed probabilities also favor Atalanta, with a win probability of 44.97%. Furthermore, the match is likely to have over 1.5 goals (75.13% probability) and each team has a fairly high probability of scoring a goal (52.38%), corresponding to the predicted score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bologna has a poor home performance, winning only 20% of the time. They score an average of one goal per match but have a leaky defense, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Atalanta Bergamo also does not shine away from home, winning in 20% of cases. They too have a weak offensive potential, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. Furthermore, they concede too many goals, 2.2 per match.
Comparing the two, Atalanta Bergamo has a slightly superior offensive potential. However, their defense seems to be a big concern.
The odds indicate a higher probability for an Atalanta Bergamo win (44.97%). Betting also favors a match with over 1.5 goals (75.13%) and under 3.5 goals (82.54%).
Based on previous performances, it is highly likely that both teams will score (52.38%).
In conclusion, despite their weak defense, Atalanta Bergamo seems to have a slight advantage with a higher probability of winning. A match with over 1.5 goals and under 3.5 goals seems likely.

The potential number of goals

Bologna, in their last 5 home matches, had an average performance with a 20% win rate. They scored 10 goals and conceded the same amount. Offensively, Bologna holds a 36% potential and defensively 50%.

On the other hand, Atalanta Bergamo, in their last 5 away matches, also won 20% of their games. They scored 5 goals and conceded 8. Atalanta has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%.

Thus, we can see a slight offensive superiority of Atalanta, but a greater defensive vulnerability.

The odds indicate a 44.97% probability of Atalanta winning the match, compared to 28.57% in favor of Bologna. However, there is a 55.03% chance that the match will result in either a draw or a Bologna win.

Nevertheless, the match may not be very fruitful in terms of goals. The odds for under 1.5 goals are 3.40, over 1.5 goals are at 1.33, under 2.5 goals are at 1.83, and over 2.5 goals are at 1.98.

In conclusion, Atalanta seems to be the favorite for this match, but it is likely that the final result will be balanced with few goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Analyzing the statistics and recent performances of the two teams, it seems that Atalanta Bergamo has a slight edge over Bologna. Despite a more vulnerable defense, Atalanta’s offense is more effective than Bologna’s, especially in away matches. However, it’s important to note that Bologna has also shown some offensive efficiency in their home games.

From a betting perspective, a match with over 1.5 goals (odds of 75.13%) seems like a strong possibility, indicating a high-scoring game. Additionally, there is a 55.03% probability that the match will end in a draw or a Bologna win, which could offer an interesting value bet.

Overall, although Atalanta Bergamo appears to be the favorite, a bet supporting a draw or a Bologna win could prove to be profitable. Furthermore, it’s also likely that the match will see a total number of goals exceeding 1.5, reflecting the offensive potential of both teams. However, as always, it’s important to consider this information in conjunction with other relevant factors before placing a bet.