Tipps Bologna Juventus Serie A 20/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Juventus wins the match

1. Translation in English:

1. In their last 5 away matches, Juventus has shown the potential to control the game, with a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate. This indicates that they know how to manage their matches even away from home and are less likely to lose.
2. Bologna’s home statistics are less impressive, with only a 40% win rate. Additionally, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored, which could leave room for Juventus to apply pressure and potentially score.
3. The forecast has a success probability of 67.37% for a draw or a Juventus victory, which is higher than the other options. This makes this choice a safer bet compared to other possibilities.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have a low average of goals per match recently, with Bologna scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and Juventus only 0.8 goals on average per match away. This suggests a low-scoring match.

2. The defenses of both teams appear solid, with Juventus conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match away and Bologna only 0.4 goals at home. This also indicates the possibility of a low-scoring match.

3. Previous matchups between these two teams also indicate low scores. In their recent respective matches (at home for Bologna and away for Juventus), a large number of these matches had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Based on their last 5 matches, Bologna and Juventus have shown solid defensive performances. Bologna has conceded only 0.4 goals per match at home, while Juventus has conceded 0.8 goals per match away, indicating they are both capable of maintaining good defensive organization and limiting their opponents’ goal-scoring opportunities.

2. Both teams have relatively low offensive potential. Bologna only averages 1.2 goals per match at home, and Juventus scores 0.8 goals away. This highlights a lack of offensive efficiency that could make it challenging for both teams to score in the match.

3. The recent form of both teams also supports the prediction that neither team will score. In three of Juventus’s last five away matches, only one side has managed to score. Similarly, in Bologna’s home matches, two out of the last five games have seen only one side scoring as well. These trends suggest that the match could be another where one or both sides fail to find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Bologna 1-1 Juventus

1. Global and Recent Statistics: By analyzing the recent performances of both teams, it is evident that a draw is a fairly common outcome. Juventus, for example, has had 3 draws in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, Bologna has a 20% chance of a draw in their last 5 home matches.

2. Defensive and Offensive Performance: Based on the average goals scored and conceded per match, both teams tend to balance their game both offensively and defensively. Bologna, for instance, scores and concedes an average of 1.2 and 0.4 goals per match, while Juventus averages 0.8 goals scored and conceded. This favors a balanced final score.

3. Probability of Scoring: The probability odds indicate that both teams have a relatively equal chance of winning the match. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams scoring is 48.95%, which is quite high. Therefore, a 1-1 scoreline is a logical prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bologna is solid at home with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored and conceded 6 goals. Nothing extreme.

Juventus isn’t shining away from home with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws. Their 5 goals scored and conceded indicate balance.

In terms of potential, Bologna is more offensive at home with 43% compared to Juventus’ 29% away. Defense is similar, with Bologna (14%) outperforming Juventus (29%).

Given the probabilities mentioned, Bologna has a 32.63% chance of winning, while Juventus has 33.68%. The draw also has a 33.68% probability.

For betting enthusiasts, the “Draw or Bologna to win” choice offers a 66.32% chance with odds at 1.38. The “Draw or Juventus to win” option is at 67.37% with odds at 1.58.

A match with fewer than 3.5 goals seems very likely at 90% with odds of 1.20. However, both teams to score have a 48.95% probability.

Looking at their recent matches, Bologna has beaten Salernitana and Hellas Verona at home, while Juventus has only won one of their last five away games, against Atalanta.

Overall, this match features two evenly-matched teams. A tight game, probably with fewer than 3.5 goals, would be a good direction to take for your bet.

The potential number of goals

Bologna shows some balance at home. They have won two matches, drawn one, and lost two. 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, an average performance.

Juventus struggles away from their stadium. Only one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. 5 goals scored and conceded, with their offensive and defensive potential both at 29%.

In this match, Bologna displays a strong defensive trend at home, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. Juventus’s offensive potential away is rather low with 0.8 goals per match.

The most likely scenario is that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match (90% success rate).

The chances of Bologna winning (32.63%) are slightly lower than a draw (33.68%) or a Juventus win (33.68%).

Based on the statistics, a safe bet would be to wager on less than 3.5 goals in the match. The probabilities of “Draw or Bologna to win” (66.32%) and “Draw or Juventus to win” (67.37%) are also interesting for risk-averse bettors.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction strongly suggests that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match between Bologna and Juventus. Although away wins are rare for Juventus, their high rate of draws and Bologna’s recent poor home statistics indicate that a draw could be the most likely outcome. However, given that both teams have strong defenses and struggle to score, the possibility of both teams failing to score in this match is also high. The exact score of 1-1 therefore appears to be an interesting bet to consider. Ultimately, betting always depends on unpredictable factors, but these statistics-based predictions offer an interesting guidance for bettors.