Tipps Bologna Monza Serie A 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bologna wins the match

1. Bologna has an impressive home performance, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. This consistency in home results reflects a strong ability for the team to dominate on their own turf.
2. Monza has a mixed performance away from home, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, Monza has conceded more goals than they’ve scored in these matches (8 goals conceded against 5 goals scored), highlighting defensive difficulties that could be exploited by Bologna.
3. The success probability statistics further support the argument in favor of Bologna. With a success probability of 61.46%, the team is more likely to win the match compared to Monza, who has a success probability of only 13.02%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Bologna has a 43% offensive potential and a 14% defensive potential at home, indicating a relatively low number of goals scored and conceded on average in their home matches.
2. Monza has only scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, equating to an average of 1 goal per match. Additionally, their offensive potential is only 50%, suggesting a weak ability to score goals on the road.
3. The match history shows a tendency for low scores, indicating a persistent trend towards matches with fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, in four of Bologna’s last five home matches, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored. For Monza’s away matches, this was the case in three of the last five matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Bologna has shown a fairly solid defense at home in their last 5 matches, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. This represents a defensive potential of 14%, indicating that Bologna is likely able to maintain its defense against Monza.

2. In contrast to Bologna, Monza has shown offensive weaknesses in their away games: in their last 5 matches on the road, they have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, with an offensive potential of 50%, which is lower than the generally expected average for a Serie A team.

3. When analyzing Bologna’s recent home matches, it can be seen that in 3 out of the last 5 matches, the opposing team did not score any goals. On the other hand, among the last 5 away matches of Monza, two also resulted in no goals scored by Monza. These statistics reinforce the idea that Monza may struggle to score against Bologna at home.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.83

Bet on the exact result

Bologna 2-1 Monza

1. Bologna’s recent home performance has been extremely solid, with a win rate of 80% in the last 5 matches. Additionally, Bologna has shown an ability to score effectively, with a total of 11 goals scored in these games.

2. Monza has rather mixed performances away from home, only winning 40% of their matches on the road. Additionally, they tend to concede more goals than they score in these matches, with a defensive potential of 79%.

3. The stats indicate that Bologna has a high probability of winning the match (61.46%), while the likelihood of Monza winning is very low (13.02%), though Monza could potentially score given their offensive potential of 50%. It therefore makes sense to predict a score of 2-1 in favor of Bologna.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bologna has a good home momentum, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches and scoring 11 goals. On the other hand, Monza struggles to maintain this pace away, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

At home, Bologna shows offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 14% respectively, while Monza has an offensive potential of 50% and a weaker defensive potential of 79% away.

According to the data, it is more likely for Bologna to win the match, with a probability of 61.46%. Furthermore, there is a high probability (86.98%) of a draw or a Bologna win.

In terms of the number of goals, it is most likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match (75.52% probability), but less than 3.5 goals (79.69% probability).

Both teams are not likely to score, with a probability of 57.29%.

Based on these statistics and the recent performances of both teams, a score in favor of Bologna with less than 3.5 goals seems to be a likely scenario for this match.

The potential number of goals

Bologna shines at home, victorious in 80% of their last 5 matches. Their offensive accuracy at home stands at 43% with 11 goals, although their defense can be improved, having also conceded 11 goals. On the other hand, Monza struggles away, with only a 40% win rate and a shaky defense, having conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. However, their attack can be surprising with a 50% offensive potential.

The probability of Bologna winning is 61.46%, while Monza has only a 13.02% chance of winning. A draw has a probability of 25.52%. Considering these numbers, covering a draw or a Bologna win seems to be a good option with an 86.98% probability.

Speaking of goals, there is a 75.52% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match and a 49.48% probability for over 2.5 goals. The probability for both teams to score is below average at 42.71%.

In summary, Bologna appears to be the favorite. However, Monza’s offensive potential and Bologna’s shaky defense could lead to a match with over 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and recent performances point to a clear advantage for Bologna in this match against Monza, especially considering their strong home performance. While Monza shows some weaknesses away from home, reflected in a lower scoring ability and a vulnerable defense.

The most likely prediction is a 2-1 victory for Bologna, aligning with the offensive trends of both teams and the fact that Bologna tends to concede almost as many goals as they score at home.

As for the total number of goals, the data suggests a match with under 2.5 goals. Both teams are not likely to score, given Monza’s struggles in scoring when playing away.

In summary, despite some potential weaknesses on Bologna’s side, they remain the favorite. For those looking to bet on this match, a bet on a Bologna win with under 2.5 goals in the match seems to be an interesting option to consider.