Tipps Bolívar Palestino Copa Libertadores 29/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bolivar wins the match

1. Bolívar has an impressive home performance, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. This strong home win rate represents a significant advantage.
2. Palestino has a weak away performance, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. This low away win rate could work against the team.
3. The calculated probabilities heavily favor Bolívar with an estimated win chance of 73.82%, much higher than their opponent Palestino at 9.95%. This reflects Bolívar’s strong offensive and defensive potential compared to Palestino.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent goal statistics: Over their respective last 5 matches, Bolívar has scored 12 goals and conceded 13 goals, while Palestino has scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals. This goal average suggests a high-scoring match.

2. Probability percentage: The given probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.21%, which is quite strong to suggest that there are strong chances for a goal-rich match.

3. Recent match results: Looking at the recent results of both teams, a significant number of matches have ended with a total of over 2.5 goals. For example, four out of the last five home matches for Bolívar have seen over 2.5 goals, as well as two out of Palestino’s last five away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Bolívar, playing at home, has a strong offensive and defensive potential, averaging 1 goal scored per match and a 73.82% probability of winning. This implies that they are likely to score while limiting Palestino’s chances of scoring.

2. Palestino, when playing away, has a low success rate, winning only 20% of the time. Additionally, they tend to score less, with an average of 1 goal per match and an offensive potential of only 36%.

3. Statistics show a higher probability (58.12%) of both teams not scoring. This score is supported by recent match results where Palestino failed to score in several of their away games.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Palestino wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Bolívar 2-1 Palestino”

1. Recent Performances: Bolívar has had an excellent record in their last 5 home matches, winning 80% of the time. Additionally, their average of 1 goal scored per home match and strong offensive potential of 36% make them a solid choice for this prediction.

2. Match Statistics: Statistics indicate a high probability (78.53%) of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. This reinforces the prediction of a match with at least 3 total goals.

3. Relative Performance of Opponents: In comparison, Palestino has a relatively poor record when playing away, with only a 20% win rate and averaging 1 goal scored per away match. Furthermore, Bolívar has a 73.82% probability of winning the match. This makes the prediction of Bolívar winning the match by 2 goals to 1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bolívar shows strong form at home with an 80% win rate. They have scored 12 goals but conceded 13 goals, indicating a slight defensive issue. On average, they score 1 goal per home match but concede 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is at 36% with a rather weak defense at 50%.

On the other hand, Palestino struggles away from home, only winning 20% of their matches. They have scored 4 times and conceded 6 goals. They both score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, with offensive and defensive potentials of 36%.

According to the probabilities, a Bolívar win is the most likely at 73.82% with odds of 1.27, while a draw is estimated at 16.23% with odds of 5.45. Palestino only has a 9.95% chance of winning.

A prediction for a total of over 1.5 goals has a high success probability of 78.53% with odds of 1.21. Also, there is a 72.77% chance that the match will have less than 3.5 goals.

In recent history, Bolívar has consistently scored at home with results like 2-1 against Flamengo or 3-2 against Millonarios. Palestino has mixed results, ranging from a 2-0 win against Colo Colo to a 2-0 victory against Nublense.

In summary, Bolívar has a home advantage with generally high scores. Palestino might score, but struggles to win away. The safest bet seems to be over 1.5 goals for this match.

The potential number of goals

Bolívar has an impressive home performance with 80% victories in the last 5 games. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 13, showing a real offensive potential but also a defense that needs strengthening. Palestino, playing away, seems less successful with only 20% wins and 4 goals scored against 6 conceded.

Bolívar’s offensive potential at home is 36% and their defensive potential is 50%, giving them a significant advantage on the field. For Palestino, playing away, the identical offensive and defensive potential is 36%, indicating balance but less than Bolívar.

Probability analysis also supports Bolívar’s dominance with a 73.82% chance of winning the match. The chances of a draw are 16.23% and only 9.95% probability of a Palestino victory.

The most likely scenario for the number of goals during the match is between 1.5 and 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 78.53% for over 1.5 goals and 60.21% for over 2.5 goals.

In summary, Bolívar is a strong favorite for this match with a significant offensive capability. However, their defense could also be tested by the Palestino team. A match with over 1.5 goals seems the most likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Given the in-depth analysis of the recent performance of both teams as well as statistical probabilities, Bolívar appears to be the favorite for this match, with an impressive home performance and high offensive potential. However, Bolívar’s defense should not be ignored, as it has shown signs of weakness that could be exploited by the Palestino team.

Regarding the goal count, a total of over 1.5 goals during the match seems to be a safe bet, considering the goal averages of both teams in their recent matches. The option for over 2.5 goals could also be considered, as statistics suggest a high likelihood of this scenario.

As for the possibility of both teams scoring, statistics point to the opposite with a greater likelihood of both teams not scoring. However, considering Bolívar’s defensive weakness and Palestino’s chances of scoring, it might be interesting to keep a close eye on this.

Finally, in terms of value bet, despite Bolívar’s favoritism, a bet on a draw or a Palestino win offers a potentially higher return and could be an option to consider for bettors looking for calculated risks. In conclusion, it is recommended to consider all these factors and choose a betting strategy that suits your risk tolerance level.