Tipps Borac Banja Luka Panathinaikos UEFA Europa Conference League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Panathinaikos wins the match

1. The statistical probability model for a Panathinaikos victory is 54.45%, which is significantly higher compared to Borac Banja Luka’s 19.9%.

2. Panathinaikos has a better defense in away matches, conceding only 1 goal on average compared to Borac Banja Luka’s 1.6 goals at home. Long-term, a good defense is a key asset in winning matches.

3. Panathinaikos’ recent away results show an ability to resist, notably with a draw against PAOK and a victory against Ajax Amsterdam in their last 5 away matches. This demonstrates an ability to play and achieve positive results even in challenging situations.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that Borac Banja Luka and Panathinaikos do not have a high average of goals per match. They have scored an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match respectively. This suggests that the total number of goals for this match could be below 2.5.

2. The defensive performances of both teams are quite solid. Borac Banja Luka concedes an average of 0.4 goals per match at home, while Panathinaikos concedes an average of 1 goal per match away. This indicates a match with few goals.

3. Finally, betting statistics indicate a success probability of 82.72% for less than 3.5 goals in the match and 94.24% for less than 4.5 goals in the match. It is therefore reasonable to expect less than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show that both teams have experienced and effective defenses. On average, Borac Banja Luka only concedes 0.4 goals at home, and Panathinaikos only concedes 1 goal away. These numbers indicate that both teams are solid in defense and concede few goals.

2. Borac Banja Luka’s previous performances at home show that in 3 of their last 5 matches, they did not concede any goals. Additionally, Panathinaikos failed to score in two of their last 5 away matches. These past trends strengthen the hypothesis that at least one of the two teams will not score during the match.

3. The odds also suggest that the “Both teams to score – No” prediction has a slightly higher probability of success (51.31%) than the reverse prediction “Both teams to score – Yes” (48.69%). This is an additional indicator reinforcing the idea of a match where one of the two teams will keep a clean sheet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Borac Banja Luka wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Panathinaikos

1. Recent Performance History: At home, Borac Banja Luka has a stable form and scores an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Panathinaikos, in their away games, also has an average performance of 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match for Panathinaikos and 0.4 for Borac Banja Luka. This indicates that a 1-1 result could be likely.

2. Draw Statistics: At home, Borac Banja Luka has drawn in 20% of their last 5 matches, while Panathinaikos has drawn in 40% of their last 5 away matches. This shows that both teams have a tendency to share points in their recent matches, increasing the chances of a draw.

3. Success Probabilities: Based on the odds given, the probability of a draw is 25.65%, which is significant. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 48.69%, aligning with the hypothesis of a 1-1 draw. This combination of indicators strongly suggests a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Borac Banja Luka is solid at home with 60% of wins and 20% of draws in the last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8. On the other hand, Panathinaikos has a mixed record away, with only 20% of wins, and 40% of draws. They have scored only 4 goals against 4 conceded.

In terms of goal averages, Borac Banja Luka has an average of 1.6 goals per match and a solid defense with only 0.4 goals conceded per match. Panathinaikos is not far behind with 1.4 goals scored per match but have a more porous defense with 1 goal conceded per match on average.

According to the odds, Panathinaikos has a higher probability of winning at 54.45% while Borac Banja Luka only has a 19.9% chance of winning.

Regarding goals, there is a 75.39% probability that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals, which could align with the averages of both teams. A score with less than 3.5 goals also has a high probability of success at 82.72%.

Examining the latest matches, Borac Banja Luka seems to be in good form, especially with two 2-0 wins at home, while Panathinaikos has struggled away, winning only one match out of five.

In conclusion, this match could end with a moderate number of goals, with a slight edge for Panathinaikos.

The potential number of goals

Borac Banja Luka performs well at home, with a 60% win rate. However, they have had a balanced performance, scoring and conceding 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Their home offensive strength is at 57% and defense at 14%.
Panathinaikos doesn’t show great form away, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. With 4 goals scored and 4 conceded, their away offensive strength is at 50% and defense at 36%.
The win probability for Borac Banja Luka is estimated at 19.9%, with odds of 5.00. Meanwhile, the win probability for Panathinaikos is 54.45% with odds of 1.68. A draw has a 25.65% probability and odds of 3.75.
Considering the goal statistics, a match with over 1.5 goals has a high probability of 75.39% and odds of 1.30, while a match with under 2.5 goals has odds of 1.83. The probability of both teams scoring is almost balanced at 48.69%, with odds of 1.90.
Recent performances show that Borac Banja Luka has often secured wins at home, while Panathinaikos has shown mixed results away.
Based on these analyses, a match with over 1.5 goals seems to be a safe choice. Additionally, as Panathinaikos’ victory is more likely, a bet on “draw or Panathinaikos to win” could be a solid option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this UEFA Conference League match between Borac Banja Luka and Panathinaikos promises to be exciting from a sports betting perspective. The statistical data and recent history of both teams suggest that Panathinaikos is the preferred option for a win despite a somewhat mixed away performance record. A strong defensive strategy and promising away game results make this team slightly favored.

Another strong recommendation is to bet on a match with under 2.5 goals. The solid defenses of these two teams, as well as their low average goals per game, make it an attractive betting option. Furthermore, the probability of one team keeping a clean sheet is significant and can be an interesting alternative bet.

Finally, despite the lower likelihood of winning, a bet on Borac Banja Luka’s victory may offer an interesting value bet for bettors willing to take calculated risks. This team’s home performance could lead to surprises.

Overall, given the combination of statistics and recent performances, it is advisable to approach this match with caution. Betting strategies should be based on careful analysis combining statistics, recent performances, and other key factors. The data listed here provides informative insights that can be used to formulate strong betting strategies, thereby increasing the chances of a successful bet.