Tipps Borussia Dortmund 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Borussia Dortmund wins the match

1. Recent statistics favor Dortmund, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, Dortmund has a much higher probability of winning the match, at 81.22%, compared to Heidenheim with only 5.58%. This indicates that Dortmund is statistically the stronger team.

2. Although Heidenheim has shown good offensive performance in their recent away matches, Dortmund has a strong defensive record at home, conceding on average only 0.6 goals per match. This suggests that Dortmund might potentially neutralize Heidenheim’s attack.

3. Dortmund’s recent home matches exhibit a positive trend, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches. This demonstrates a high level of performance and confidence when the team plays at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal scored and conceded statistics: In their respective last 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund scored 10 goals (an average of 2 goals per match) and 1. FC Heidenheim scored 11 goals (an average of 3 goals per match).

2. The teams’ history: Recent home matches of Borussia Dortmund and away matches of 1. FC Heidenheim have often seen a total of more than 2.5 goals.

3. The probabilities: The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 62.94%, higher than for under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive statistics: Both teams have shown a high offensive potential in their recent matches, with Borussia Dortmund averaging 2 goals per home match, while 1. FC Heidenheim has scored an average of 3 goals per away match.

2. Defensive statistics: Borussia Dortmund has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and 1. FC Heidenheim has also conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating that the defensive potential of these two teams is not strong.

3. Head-to-head history: Analyzing the recent matches of both teams, it can be deduced that both teams have often scored goals in general. Moreover, despite Borussia Dortmund being the favorite, the strong offensive performance of 1. FC Heidenheim could allow them to score against them.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

1. FC Heidenheim wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Borussia Dortmund 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim

1. Borussia Dortmund has a strong home record, with a win rate of 60% in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have managed to score an average of 2 goals per game, which aligns with our prediction of 2 goals for this match.

2. 1. FC Heidenheim has a strong tendency to score in their away matches, averaging 3 goals per game in their last 5 away games. However, Borussia Dortmund has also shown a strong defense at home, conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average, suggesting that Heidenheim may struggle to score more than one goal in this match.

3. The odds heavily favor Borussia Dortmund with an 81.22% probability of winning the match. Furthermore, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is high at 83.76%, which aligns with our prediction of 3 total goals in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Borussia Dortmund, at home, has a win probability of 81.22%, and usually wins 60% of its home matches. The Borussia has won matches with scores of 2-0, 2-0, and 4-0, but has also seen draws and losses.
On average, the Borussia team scores 2 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 71%. Defensively, they concede an average of 0.6 goals per match, with a defensive potential of 21%.
Heidenheim, on the road, often wins, with a win rate of 80%. They have recently had victories of 2-0, 2-1, and 4-0. They score an average of 3 goals per away match, with an offensive potential of 107%. Defensively, they concede an average of 0.6 goals per match, similar to Dortmund, with a defensive potential of 21%.
The odds indicate a likely victory for Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 81.22%, but both teams tend to score with a probability of 50.76%, so the match could be quite competitive.
A plausible prediction is a Borussia Dortmund victory with over 1.5 goals scored in the match, given its strong probability of 83.76%.

The potential number of goals

In the German football arena, Borussia Dortmund has shown a balanced performance by scoring and conceding 10 goals in their last 5 home matches. With a win rate of 60%, Dortmund is not easy to beat at home. On the other hand, 1. FC Heidenheim is in good form with an 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches, despite a defense that has conceded more goals (12) than they have scored (11).

Per match, Dortmund has an average of 2 shots on target and only concedes 0.6 goals, demonstrating an excellent offensive potential of 71% and defensive potential of 21%. On the flip side, Heidenheim scores an average of 3 goals and only concedes 0.6 goals per match, showing a superior offensive potential of 107% and a solid defense of 21%.

Betting odds strongly favor a Dortmund win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw seems unlikely at 13.2%, and a Heidenheim victory is even less likely at 5.58%. The majority of bets predict that there will be over 1.5 goals scored with a probability of 83.76%.

Looking at the teams’ recent matches, it’s clear that Dortmund is particularly strong at home, while Heidenheim often succeeds away. Therefore, an exciting and competitive match can be expected.

In summary, if you are looking to place a bet, it would be safest to bet on Dortmund or on there being over 1.5 goals in the match. However, football is always full of surprises. Think carefully before making your decision!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in the match between Borussia Dortmund and 1. FC Heidenheim, current statistics and trends indicate that Dortmund is strongly favored to win the encounter. However, it should be noted that football is an unpredictable sport and always leaves room for surprises. The Heidenheim team has also shown notable performances in their away matches, which could be a factor for an upset. The data also suggests that it is likely there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this match. For those looking for a value bet, a wager on Heidenheim to win the match could be interesting and profitable. Finally, although Dortmund is favored, the prediction for the exact score is 2-1 in favor of Dortmund. However, while considering this information should always be helpful in decision-making, bettors should always exercise caution and only wager what they are willing to lose.