Tipps Borussia Dortmund FC Augsburg Bundesliga 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Augsburg wins the match “

1. Augsburg has a higher win percentage than Borussia Dortmund in predictions, with a win probability of 66.67% compared to Borussia Dortmund’s 33.33%. This is a strong indicator that Augsburg has a better chance of winning.

2. Augsburg’s away performances are also promising, especially with an impressive 6-0 win against Darmstadt and a 3-1 win against Wolfsburg. This shows that Augsburg has the ability to score goals and win away from home.

3. Analyzing goal statistics, Borussia Dortmund has an average of 2 goals conceded per match at home, while Augsburg has an average of 1 goal scored away. This means that if the trend continues, Augsburg has a good chance of scoring against Borussia Dortmund.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Both teams have shown some defensive vulnerability in their last five matches, with Borussia Dortmund conceding 10 goals at home and Augsburg conceding 12 goals away. This indicates a high potential for over 2.5 goals during the match.

2. Based on their recent performances, Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg have a combined average of 2.8 goals scored per match (1.8 goals per match for Dortmund at home and 1 goal per match for Augsburg away). This suggests that the match could see at least 3 goals scored.

3. The indicated probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 66.67%, which is a fairly high probability, and bookmakers are offering odds of 1.33 for this bet, also suggesting a strong expectation for a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Borussia Dortmund has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 71%, while Augsburg has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 71%. These statistics demonstrate that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

2. History of goals scored and conceded: In the last 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals, while Augsburg has scored 11 goals and conceded 12 goals. This shows that both teams have a tendency to both score and concede goals, indicating that both teams are likely to score during the match.

3. Previous score statistics: The scores from Borussia Dortmund’s recent home matches and Augsburg’s away matches show that it is common for both teams to score in the same match. For example, in the Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayer Leverkusen match, the score was 1-1, and in the Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Augsburg match, the score was 3-1. These scores indicate a high probability that both teams will score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Augsburg wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Augsburg

1. Both teams have shown an identical defensive potential of 71% in their respective last 5 matches, indicating an equal probability of conceding goals. This reinforces the hypothesis of a draw.

2. Historically, Borussia Dortmund scores an average of 1.8 goals per home match and Augsburg scores 1 goal per away match. This trend aligns with the prediction of a 2-2 score.

3. Statistics show that in the last 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund has scored and conceded 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, while Augsburg, though scoring less (11 goals in 5 matches), has a similar trend by conceding 12 goals. This suggests that both teams could score and concede 2 goals in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Borussia Dortmund is quite strong at home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 10 goals while conceding the same. Their attacking potential at home stands at 64%, with a solid defense at 71%.

Augsburg, on the other hand, has a 40% win rate away from home. They have scored 11 goals but also conceded 12 goals. Their offensive efficiency is at 36%, while their defense has reached 71%.

According to odds and statistics, Borussia Dortmund has a 33.33% chance of winning, while Augsburg leads with 66.67%. However, Dortmund is the favorite if the match ends in a draw or a Dortmund victory, with odds of 1.25.

In terms of goals, there is a 100% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, there is a 66.67% chance of having more than 2.5 goals in this encounter.

Looking at the recent matches of both teams, Dortmund has experienced ups and downs, with scores of 1-1, 4-2, 0-1, 3-1, and 2-0. Augsburg has also seen similarities, with scores of 3-1, 3-1, 1-3, 0-6, and 1-0.

In summary, the match is expected to be attacking, with a high likelihood of having more than 1.5 goals. Although Augsburg seems to have an edge, nothing is guaranteed in football. It is crucial to keep an eye on potential changes in team formations and last-minute game plans.

The potential number of goals

At first glance, Dortmund has a better home performance with 60% of wins and 20% of draws, but has conceded as many goals as they have scored (10 goals).

On the other hand, Augsburg only records 40% of wins away. Their attack seems effective by scoring 11 goals, but their defense leaves something to be desired with 12 goals conceded.

Dortmund’s average goal shows a decent attack (1.8 goals/match) but a worrying defense (2 goals/match). Augsburg is far behind with only 1 goal scored on average per match and 2 goals conceded, numbers confirming their weak offensive and defensive potential at 36% and 71% respectively.

The odds of winning strongly favor Augsburg, with an attractive odds of 4.00, contrasting with Dortmund at 1.75.

Dortmund’s offensive potential and the defensive vulnerability of both teams promise excitement. The odds support this with a 100% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals, and a probability of 66.67% for over 2.5 goals.

In conclusion, although Dortmund has slightly better home performance, the match seems to be heading towards an Augsburg win with plenty of goals in store.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics, past performances, and odds offered by bookmakers, it appears that the upcoming match between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg presents an interesting betting opportunity. Augsburg seems to have an advantage, due to their recent impressive away victories and Dortmund’s demonstrated defensive weakness. However, it’s important to note that football remains unpredictable.

The match is predicted to be high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals expected to be scored. Both teams have shown both offensive potential and defensive vulnerability in their previous matches. Therefore, betting on ‘both teams to score: Yes’ seems like a sensible choice.

As for the exact score bet, although it’s always a risky bet, the assumption of a 2-2 draw based on past performances could offer significant value.

Lastly, if there is a value bet, betting on an Augsburg victory seems to be the most strategic choice given their likelihood of success and the attractive odds offered. However, it’s essential to consider all possible factors and stay informed of the latest updates before placing a bet.