Tipps Botev Plovdiv Arda Kardzhali Parva Liga 27/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Botev Plovdiv or draw

1. Botev Plovdiv has a 40% home win rate in their last 5 matches, while Arda Kardzhali has not won a single away match over the same period. This gives Botev Plovdiv a psychological and statistical advantage.

2. Arda Kardzhali has struggled to score in their last 5 away matches, with only 2 goals, while Botev Plovdiv has scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches. This indicates that Botev Plovdiv has a superior offensive performance.

3. In terms of defense, Botev Plovdiv has conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home matches while Arda Kardzhali has conceded 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. Although both teams have similar defensive performances, Botev Plovdiv’s ability to score at home gives them an additional advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The statistics show that both teams have low average goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches. Botev Plovdiv scored 4 goals and conceded 4, while Arda Kardzhali scored 2 goals and conceded 3. These numbers indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches.

2. Historically, Arda Kardzhali does not seem to perform well away from home, with a 0% win rate in their last 5 away matches. This poor away performance may result in the team having a reduced probability of scoring more than 2.5 goals.

3. The figures in terms of offensive and defensive potential also support the prediction of a score below 2.5. Both teams have offensive potential around 43% and defensive potentials of 64% and 21% respectively. These scores demonstrate a tendency for low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. History of poor performances: The recent performances of Botev Plovdiv at home and Arda Kardzhali away are not convincing. Botev Plovdiv has a mixed record at home with only a 40% win rate, while Arda Kardzhali has not won any of their away matches.

2. Lack of offensive efficiency: Both teams have shown a lack of offensive power in their recent matches. Botev Plovdiv has only scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, and Arda Kardzhali has only scored 2 goals in 5 away matches.

3. Excellent defensive performances: Both teams have displayed solid defensive performances in their recent matches. Botev Plovdiv has conceded only 4 goals in 5 home matches, while Arda Kardzhali has conceded only 3 goals in 5 away matches. This could lead to a match with few goals scored by both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Arda Kardzhali

1. Match History: In their last 5 home matches, Botev Plovdiv has often achieved a draw or a win with few goals conceded. Similarly, Arda Kardzhali, in their last 5 away matches, has had a draw or a loss with few goals scored. This suggests a fairly balanced match with few goals expected.

2. Recent Statistics: The performances of both teams show an average of around 1.2 goals scored per match, which aligns with the predicted score of 1-1. The low likelihood of many goals being scored is further supported by the 100% probability for under 3.5 goals in the match.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Both teams have almost the same offensive potential (43%), suggesting their ability to score at least one goal during the match. Additionally, despite the difference in defensive potential (Botev Plovdiv at 64% and Arda Kardzhali at 21%), it is unlikely that the match will end with a high number of goals given the offensive potential of each team.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For Botev Plovdiv, in their last 5 home matches, they have won 40% of the games. An average score of 1.2 goals per match indicates a moderate attack and an average defense (4 goals conceded).

Arda Kardzhali, when playing away, has not won any recent matches. Their attack and defense are weak (2 goals scored, 3 conceded).

The analysis shows a similar offensive potential (43%), but Botev Plovdiv has a better defense (64% vs 21%).

There is no clear prediction on the winner or the number of goals. However, the probability is high (100%) that there will be less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals, and that both teams will not score.

So, a tight match with few goals is likely. Statistically, Botev Plovdiv is more likely to win or draw.

The potential number of goals

Botev Plovdiv, at home, has had a mixed record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same number, reflecting a balanced performance. Their offensive potential stands at 43% with a defense at 64%.

On the other hand, Arda Kardzhali has not shined away from home with no wins in 5 away games. They have managed to score only 2 goals and have conceded 3, with an identical offensive potential to Botev Plovdiv at 43%, but a weaker defense at 21%.

Analyzing previous results, the games tend to be low-scoring. This is supported by a 100% probability for under 3.5 and 4.5 goals during the match. A significant insight is that both teams will not score, with a 100% probability.

Prediction: Based on their recent form, Botev Plovdiv has a good chance of controlling the game at home against Arda Kardzhali. However, expect a low-scoring match, possibly even goalless.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and recent performances of both teams suggests a match dominated by Botev Plovdiv, especially thanks to their defensive potential and psychological advantage at home. However, do not expect a high-scoring game. Indeed, given the poor offensive performances on both sides, the number of goals in the match will likely be low. The safest bet would be to wager on under 3.5 goals and bet that both teams will not score. Finally, the exact score could possibly end in a 1-1 draw, further highlighting the supposed competitiveness of the match. It is always best to conduct your own research and analysis before placing a bet, but these predictions could provide a basis for your betting strategies for this specific match.