Tipps Botev Plovdiv Botev Vratsa Parva Liga 12/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Botev Plovdiv wins the match”

1. Botev Plovdiv has a higher probability of winning: With a probability of 79.79%, Botev Plovdiv is heavily favored to win against Botev Vratsa.
2. Botev Plovdiv’s home performance: Despite not having a remarkable home performance, they have a better record than Botev Vratsa when playing away.
3. Botev Vratsa shows poor performance away: In their last 5 away matches, Botev Vratsa have only won once and lost twice. Additionally, they tend to concede more goals away, putting them in a disadvantageous position for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive potential at home of Botev Plovdiv is low, with 29% for both, suggesting that they score few goals and also concede few. 2. Botev Vratsa also has a relatively low average of goals scored away (1.6 goals per match) and a solid defense (1 goal conceded on average per match), which does not favor a high-scoring match. 3. Previous home matches of Botev Plovdiv have not been goal-rich, with 3 goals in 5 matches, and away matches of Botev Vratsa have also accumulated a low number of goals, highlighting a trend of matches with few goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The moderate offensive potential of Botev Plovdiv at home: With an average of only 0.8 goals per match at home in their last 5 games, Botev Plovdiv has shown that they have some difficulties in scoring.
2. The defensive potential of Botev Vratsa away: Although they have, on average, conceded 1 goal per match in their last 5 away games, Botev Vratsa has managed to keep a clean sheet in some games, indicating that they might be able to hold their own defensively.
3. The probability percentage of ‘both teams to score’ is higher (57.45%) compared to ‘both teams do not score’ (42.55%). This indicates that the statistical data lean more towards a match where either one or none of the teams would be able to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Botev Vratsa.

1. The recent performances of both teams suggest a potential draw, with Botev Plovdiv drawing in 20% of their home matches and Botev Vratsa drawing in 40% of their away matches.

2. The goal statistics of both teams indicate an average number of goals per match ranging from 1 to 2 goals. Botev Plovdiv scores an average of 0.8 goals per home match and concedes the same amount, while Botev Vratsa scores an average of 1.6 goals per away match and concedes an average of 1 goal per match.

3. Based on the indicated offensive and defensive potentials (29% for Botev Plovdiv and 57% and 36% for Botev Vratsa), it can be deduced that both teams have balanced offensive and defensive capabilities that could lead to a draw score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Botev Plovdiv presents a moderate form at home, winning 40% of their last matches. They seem to struggle with a lack of offensive power, scoring only 3 goals in these matches. Similarly, their defense remains vulnerable, conceding 4 goals.

On the other hand, Botev Vratsa has only won 20% of their last away matches. But they have shown a better ability to score, with 6 goals scored. However, their defense is compromised, conceding 9 goals.

In terms of predictions, Botev Plovdiv appears to be the favorite with a 79.79% chance of winning the match according to the odds. The chances of a draw or a victory for Botev Vratsa are significantly less likely.

For total goals betting, there is a 75.53% probability for over 1.5 goals, and a 51.6% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Finally, the odds indicate that both teams will not score in 57.45% of cases.

The potential number of goals

Botev Plovdiv, at home, has a 40% win rate. Their attack scores less (0.8 goals/match) against their solid defense (0.8 goals/match). They are a team that builds up more than they attack. Botev Vratsa, away, has a low 20% win rate. They are more offensive with 1.6 goals/match, but have a weak defense conceding 1 goal/match.

With a win probability of 79.79%, Botev Plovdiv is the favorite. The draw or Botev Plovdiv win option is possible at 95.74%. A match with +1.5 goals is likely (75.53%). A match with -3.5 goals is even more likely (73.4%).

In conclusion, Botev Plovdiv is the favorite at home with a solid defense. Botev Vratsa has an interesting attack but a weak defense. The match should see some goals but not a high number. Botev Plovdiv has a higher chance of winning.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all indicators point towards a likely victory for Botev Plovdiv, but with a limited number of goals scored. Botev Plovdiv’s home performances have been better than Botev Vratsa’s away performances, and statistics show a trend towards games with fewer goals. This suggests that savvy bettors may consider the “Under 2.5 goals” bet for this match, with a possibility that only one of the teams will score. However, the history of encounters and the strong defensive performances of both teams also suggest that a draw could be an interesting betting value. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems plausible considering the goal averages of Botev Plovdiv and Botev Vratsa. Lastly, despite Botev Plovdiv being considered the favorite for this match, due to the uneven performances of the two teams, it is always wise to place these bets judiciously.