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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Bournemouth Southampton

    Tipps Bournemouth Southampton Premier League 30/09/2024

    Last update : 30/09/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    AFC Bournemouth wins the match

    1. AFC Bournemouth has a win rate of 60.71% for this match, which is high compared to their opponent Southampton with a win rate of only 21.43%. They also have more favorable odds of 1.65 compared to 5.00 for Southampton.

    2. Looking at AFC Bournemouth’s recent home matches, while the results have been fluctuating, they have shown an ability to score goals against various opponents. In comparison, Southampton’s away matches have shown an unreliable defense, regularly conceding over 2 goals per match.

    3. AFC Bournemouth has a higher probability of 78.57% to win the match or draw compared to Southampton, who has a lower probability of 39.29% for the same outcomes. This indicates an overall stronger performance from Bournemouth when playing at home.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    More than 2.5 goals in the match

    1. Offensive and defensive performance of the teams: Statistics show that AFC Bournemouth and Southampton have a tendency to both score and concede goals. Indeed, at home, Bournemouth scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.6, while Southampton scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 2.2 away. Therefore, the potential for a match with over 2.5 goals is high.

    2. Probability of success: Based on the information provided, the probability of the match having over 2.5 goals is 62.14%. This represents a fairly high likelihood considering other betting options.

    3. Match history: The recent matches of Bournemouth and Southampton show some volatility in terms of score, which favors exceeding 2.5 goals. For example, Bournemouth’s match against Girona ended 3-2 and Southampton’s match against Cardiff ended 3-5.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams score: Yes.

    1. In their respective last 5 matches, AFC Bournemouth and Southampton both have a high probability of scoring, with an average of 0.8 and 1.6 goals per match respectively, indicating a strong offensive performance.
    2. Furthermore, their recent matches also suggest weak defense: Bournemouth has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Southampton concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away match, increasing the likelihood that both teams can score during the match.
    3. Recent matches of these teams show that they generally have high-scoring games: 3 out of the last 5 home matches for Bournemouth have seen both teams score, and Southampton is in a similar situation in their last 5 away matches, where 3 have also seen both teams score.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Southampton wins the match.

    1. Southampton’s team has a better offensive performance away from home compared to AFC Bournemouth at home, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match against Bournemouth’s 0.8 goals. This suggests that Southampton has a greater ability to score in this match.

    2. Although Southampton’s defense has struggled (conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match), AFC Bournemouth is not very strong offensively at home, with only a 29% offensive potential. This could mitigate Southampton’s defensive weakness.

    3. The odds for Southampton to win are 5.00, which seems to be a relatively high value considering Southampton’s overall performances and scoring potential. Therefore, this is an interesting betting value considering the risk and potential financial return.

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    Bet on the exact result

    AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Southampton

    1. The recent results of both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches. Indeed, AFC Bournemouth averages 0.8 goals per home match and Southampton averages 1.6 goals per away match, suggesting a close score, such as the predicted 1-1.

    2. Draw statistics are also significant for both teams. Bournemouth has drawn in 40% of their recent home matches, while Southampton has done the same in 20% of their recent away matches. This trend towards draws reinforces the idea of a 1-1 result.

    3. The offensive and defensive potential of each team also supports a draw. Bournemouth has 29% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential at home, while Southampton has 57% offensive potential and 79% defensive potential away. These figures suggest that both teams could score but are likely to cancel each other out.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Bournemouth has won 40% of their last home matches, while Southampton has won 40% of their away matches. The two teams have drawn in 40% and 20% of their matches respectively.

    Bournemouth has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals at home. Southampton has scored and conceded 8 goals away. Bournemouth has an offensive potential of 29% at home and a defensive potential of 57%. Away from home, Southampton has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 79%.

    The probability of Bournemouth winning is 60.71%, a draw is 17.86%, and Southampton winning is 21.43%. The “draw or Bournemouth win” option has a probability of 78.57%, while “draw or Southampton win” has a probability of 39.29%.

    There is an 85.71% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 62.14% chance of having over 2.5 goals. The risk of seeing over 3.5 goals is reduced to 2.39.

    In their recent matches, Bournemouth has not had a perfect run with 3 wins and 2 losses at home. Southampton has also had a mixed record with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw away.

    Overall, Bournemouth seems to be the favorite to win this match, with a chance of seeing at least 1.5 goals. However, past performances could change the outcome. Making a cautious bet would be recommended.

    The potential number of goals

    Bournemouth had a mixed performance at home, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. They scored 6 goals but also conceded 8. Their offensive potential is at 29%, while their defensive potential is at 57%.

    Southampton has shown similar form away from home, also winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. They scored 8 times and conceded the same number of goals. Their offensive potential is at 57%, and defensive potential is at 79%.

    In terms of results, Bournemouth has a 60.71% chance of winning. A draw has a 17.86% chance, while Southampton has a 21.43% probability of winning.

    The probability of fewer than 1.5 goals being scored is quite low. On the other hand, there is an 85.71% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals. It seems likely that we will see some goals in this match.

    Looking at the teams’ recent matches, we can expect a competitive game. Bournemouth has struggled against Chelsea and Brentford, while Southampton has faced challenges against Brentford and Newcastle.

    In conclusion, this match appears to be a balanced battle with chances of seeing goals. Bournemouth seems to have a home advantage, but Southampton cannot be ruled out.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, there are several factors that make this match interesting for a sports bettor. AFC Bournemouth, with a home win rate of 60.71%, appears to be the favorite to win the match. However, Southampton’s strong offensive performance away from home and the volatility of both teams leave room for unpredictability.

    The over 2.5 goals option with a probability of 62.14% seems to be the safer choice for those looking to maximize their chances of winning. Both teams are known for their ability to score goals, as evidenced by their match history.

    Regarding BTTS (both teams to score), the probability of both teams scoring is high, with an average of 0.8 and 1.6 goals per match for AFC Bournemouth and Southampton respectively.

    Furthermore, for those looking to maximize the profitability of their bet, Southampton’s victory at odds of 5.00 could be an attractive option. While Southampton may be the underdog in this match, their ability to score away from home could lead to surprises.

    As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw between AFC Bournemouth and Southampton seems like a reasonable option considering the offensive and defensive performances of these two teams.

    In summary, the match between AFC Bournemouth and Southampton presents plenty of opportunities for bettors. It is recommended to analyze the teams’ stats and forms before placing a bet. The game remains uncertain and fascinating, which is what makes sports betting so captivating.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Bournemouth against Southampton on 30/09/2024

    1. AFC Bournemouth has a win rate of 60.71% for this match, which is high compared to their opponent Southampton with a win rate of only 21.43%. They also have more favorable odds of 1.65 compared to 5.00 for Southampton.

    2. Looking at AFC Bournemouth’s recent home matches, while the results have been fluctuating, they have shown an ability to score goals against various opponents. In comparison, Southampton’s away matches have shown an unreliable defense, regularly conceding over 2 goals per match.

    3. AFC Bournemouth has a higher probability of 78.57% to win the match or draw compared to Southampton, who has a lower probability of 39.29% for the same outcomes. This indicates an overall stronger performance from Bournemouth when playing at home.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Bournemouth to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Southampton to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Bournemouth or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Southampton or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Bournemouth or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Southampton or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Bournemouth or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Southampton or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Bournemouth vs Southampton match!

    To not miss anything from the Bournemouth vs Southampton match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 30/09/2024 in the Premier League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Bournemouth vs Southampton

    logo team a
    composition
    13Arrizabalaga
    15Smith
    27Zabarnyi
    5Senesi
    3Kerkez
    4Cook
    10Christie
    24Semenyo
    16Tavernier
    11Ouattara
    9Evanilson
    Lineups Bournemouth
    logo team a
    composition
    30Ramsdale
    16Sugawara
    6Harwood-Bellis
    35Bednarek
    21Taylor
    4Downes
    26Ugochukwu
    22Cornet
    18Fernandes
    24Fraser
    33Dibling
    Lineups Southampton

    Match Highlights Bournemouth vs Southampton on 30/09/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Bournemouth vs Southampton match on 30/09/2024 at Vitality Stadium stadium.

    17'Evanilson
    picto
    27'Mateus Fernandes
    picto
    32'D. Ouattara
    picto
    39'A. Semenyo
    picto
    45'Marcus Tavernier
    picto
    46'R. FraserJ. Aribo
    picto
    46'L. UgochukwuR. Stewart
    picto
    46'M. CornetB. Brereton
    picto
    50'Miloš Kerkez
    picto
    51'T. Harwood-Bellis
    picto
    52'Yukinari Sugawara
    picto
    55'Flynn Downes
    picto
    55'Tyler Dibling
    picto
    61'D. OuattaraJ. Kluivert
    picto
    70'Mateus FernandesA. Lallana
    picto
    76'EvanilsonE. Ünal
    picto
    76'M. TavernierA. Scott
    picto
    76'T. DiblingC. Archer
    picto
    89'A. SemenyoL. Sinisterra
    picto
    90'Adam Lallana
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Bournemouth and Southampton

    All statistics for the match between Bournemouth and Southampton will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Bournemouth
    Southampton
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    40%
    60%
    Total Shots
    14
    9
    Shots on Goal
    6
    3
    Shots off Goal
    2
    3
    Corner Kicks
    6
    4
    Passing Accuracy
    81%
    86%
    Total Passes
    371
    568
    Successful Passes
    299
    491
    Fouls Committed
    19
    12
    Yellow Cards
    2
    5
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Bournemouth against Southampton!

    logo team

    Form state of Bournemouth in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Bournemouth has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Bournemouth has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Southampton in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Southampton has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Southampton has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Bournemouth against Southampton!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Bournemouth in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Bournemouth in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Bournemouth
    Bournemouth has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Bournemouth in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Bournemouth
    Bournemouth has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Southampton in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Southampton in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Southampton
    Southampton has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Southampton in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Southampton
    Southampton has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Bournemouth and Southampton, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Bournemouth vs Southampton: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Offensive and defensive performance of the teams: Statistics show that AFC Bournemouth and Southampton have a tendency to both score and concede goals. Indeed, at home, Bournemouth scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.6, while Southampton scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 2.2 away. Therefore, the potential for a match with over 2.5 goals is high.

    2. Probability of success: Based on the information provided, the probability of the match having over 2.5 goals is 62.14%. This represents a fairly high likelihood considering other betting options.

    3. Match history: The recent matches of Bournemouth and Southampton show some volatility in terms of score, which favors exceeding 2.5 goals. For example, Bournemouth’s match against Girona ended 3-2 and Southampton’s match against Cardiff ended 3-5.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Bournemouth and Southampton!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Bournemouth

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Southampton

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Bournemouth Southampton?

    Finding a forecast for the Bournemouth Southampton match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Bournemouth Southampton on 30/09/2024 in Vitality Stadium are the team's past performance in the Premier League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Bournemouth at home and Southampton away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 30/09/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Bournemouth and Southampton on 30/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Premier League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Bournemouth and Southampton, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Bournemouth and the away win rate of Southampton, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 30/09/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Bournemouth and Southampton can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 30/09/2024 at Vitality Stadium.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Bournemouth and Southampton, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Bournemouth or Southampton on 30/09/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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