Tipps Brentford Crystal Palace Premier League 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Crystal Palace wins the match

1. Over their last 5 away matches, Crystal Palace has a better performance than Brentford at home in terms of win percentage (40% vs 20%) and draw percentage (40% vs 20%). Crystal Palace has also scored more goals (6 vs 5) and conceded more (7 vs 6), indicating they are offensively stronger and defensively comparable.

2. The offensive and defensive advantage of Crystal Palace is also evident in the average goals scored and conceded per match. Crystal Palace averages 3 goals scored per away match and concedes only 0.4 goals per match, giving them an offensive potential of 107% and a defensive potential of 14%. In comparison, Brentford averages 1.8 goals scored per home match and concedes 1.4 goals per match, resulting in an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 50%.

3. The calculated probabilities also confirm Crystal Palace’s advantage, with a slightly higher probability of victory for Crystal Palace compared to Brentford (38.1% vs 35.37%). Furthermore, the probability of a draw or a Crystal Palace win is also higher than a draw or a Brentford win (64.63% vs 61.9%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performances of both teams: Brentford has scored an average of 1.8 goals at home in its last 5 matches, while Crystal Palace has scored an average of 3 goals away in its last 5 outings. These performances suggest that both teams have offensive potential capable of scoring more than 2.5 goals combined.

2. The defensive performances of both teams: Brentford has conceded an average of 1.4 goals at home, while Crystal Palace concedes an average of 0.4 goals away. This means that it is possible for the match to end with more than 2.5 goals, as Brentford is likely to concede goals at home and Crystal Palace is capable of scoring away.

3. Previous match results: Brentford’s recent home matches have shown a tendency to have more than 2.5 goals. For example, the Brentford vs Newcastle United match ended with a total of 6 goals. Similarly, Crystal Palace has shown an ability to score multiple goals away, as seen in its match against Wolves.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-Scoring Statistics: Both teams have a good goal-scoring record, with Brentford scoring 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Crystal Palace scoring 6 goals in their recent away outings. Furthermore, with Brentford boasting a home offensive potential of 64% and Crystal Palace having an away offensive potential of 107%, there is a high likelihood that both teams will score.

2. Weak Defenses: Brentford has conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Crystal Palace has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating that both teams struggle to maintain a solid defense, thus increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Match History: In Brentford’s last 5 home matches, they scored in 3 of them, and in Crystal Palace’s last 5 away matches, they found the net in 4 of them. This further strengthens the idea that both teams have a high probability of scoring in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Crystal Palace wins the match – 64.63% success probability: 1.58

Bet on the exact result

Brentford 1-2 Crystal Palace

1. The performance of Crystal Palace away from home is better than Brentford at home: Crystal Palace wins in 40% of cases and draws in 40% of cases, while Brentford only wins in 20% of cases at home and draws in 20% of cases.

2. Crystal Palace’s offensive potential in their last 5 matches is 107% (3 goals on average per match) compared to Brentford’s offensive potential of 64% (1.8 goals on average per match), indicating a superior offensive performance by Crystal Palace despite playing away.

3. Based on probability statistics (38.1% for Crystal Palace vs 35.37% for Brentford), it is slightly more likely that Crystal Palace will win the match. Furthermore, the fact that “both teams score” has a 62.59% probability of success indicates a potential score where each team could score at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Brentford at home is inconsistent with a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 6 recently.

Crystal Palace performs better away from home with a 40% win rate and the same draw rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in total.

Brentford has an average offensive of 1.8 goals per match and defensive of 1.4. So, offensive potential of 64% and defensive of 50%.

Conversely, Crystal Palace has an average offensive of 3 goals and defensive of 0.4. Impressive offensive potential of 107% and defensive of 14%.

Their recent matchups: Brentford drew with Manchester United and beat Sheffield United. But they also lost to Newcastle.

On the other hand, Crystal Palace defeated Wolverhampton and Liverpool, drew against Fulham and Nottingham. Only a loss against Bournemouth.

The odds for this match are tight: Brentford to win the match – 2.52, draw – 3.55, Crystal Palace to win the match – 2.82.

Both teams to score has a success probability of 62.59% – 1.65. Under 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 71.43% – 1.39.

Considering these statistics, a low-scoring match seems likely. But a surprise is possible with Crystal Palace’s impressive offense.

The potential number of goals

Here is a scoop: Brentford at home is struggling. They have only won one game out of five. Their defense is having a hard time, with 6 goals conceded. This is a point to watch out for.

On the other hand, Crystal Palace is strong away from home. They have 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games. They have scored 6 goals, showing a strong offensive potential.

In terms of stats, Brentford has an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, while Crystal Palace has an average of 3 goals per match. Crystal Palace’s attack is likely to pose a challenge to Brentford’s defense.

In terms of match outcome, the advantage is in favor of Crystal Palace with a success probability of 38.1% compared to 35.37% for Brentford. However, a draw is also quite likely at 26.53%.

And what about goals? The stats favor a match with over 1.5 goals (79.59% probability). An offensive showdown is expected. Both teams have a high probability of scoring (62.59% probability).

The match promises to be lively. With a strong Crystal Palace away from home facing a struggling Brentford at home, the match is open. Consider all these factors before making your prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent performance statistics, Crystal Palace appears to show both offensive and defensive superiority. Therefore, it is more likely that Crystal Palace will win the match or that it will end in a draw. Additionally, the chances of a high score are present, with a strong probability for over 2.5 goals in the match. It is also probable that both teams will score, given their offensive performance and questionable defense. However, it’s important to remember that sports betting is subject to uncertainties and despite a thorough analysis, there is always an element of randomness. May the best team win!