Tipps Brescia Palermo Serie B 16/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Palermo wins the match”

1. The probability of Palermo winning is higher than that of Brescia and a draw, with a 47.62% chance of success. This indicates that statistics favor Palermo to win the match.
2. Analysis of Palermo’s recent away matches shows that they have the ability to score away from home. Despite a win rate of only 20%, they have scored in 4 out of the last 5 away matches played.
3. Brescia has a lower defensive potential compared to Palermo, with 64% against 36%. This means that Palermo has better chances of withstanding Brescia’s attacks and therefore coming out as the winner of this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. In the last five home games, Brescia has scored a total of 8 goals and conceded 9 goals, resulting in an average of 3.4 goals per match. This supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Similarly, Palermo has scored 6 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last five away games, averaging 3.2 goals per match. This further strengthens the likelihood of the match exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.

3. Brescia and Palermo have offensive performances of 57% and 43% respectively according to the statistics. This indicates that both teams score an average of 1.6 and 1.2 goals per match respectively, which could easily lead to a total of over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistical profiles of both teams show a trend towards matches with goals from both opponents. Brescia scores an average of 1.6 goals per home match and concedes 1.8 goals, while Palermo scores 1.2 goals on average away from home and concedes 1 goal.

2. The recent performances of both teams also indicate an exchange of goals: in 3 out of Brescia’s last 5 home matches, both teams scored, while in 4 out of Palermo’s last 5 away matches, both teams also found the net.

3. The odds for this scenario confirm this trend: the “Both teams to score” prediction is at 1.83 with a success probability estimated at 51.32%, making it the most likely situation among all the possibilities considered.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Brescia 1-2 Palermo

1. The statistics show that Palermo has a high probability (47.62%) of winning against Brescia, who have a lower probability (26.98%) of emerging victorious. This is based on their performance in their previous matches.
2. Although Brescia has a slightly higher offensive potential than Palermo in their home matches, Palermo has a better defense in their away matches, which could limit the number of goals scored by Brescia.
3. Both teams tend to score and concede an average of around 1 or 2 goals per match, making a final score of 1-2 plausible. Also, the bet “Over 1.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 75.13%.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Brescia has a good home record. They have won 40% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals but have also conceded 9 goals, so their defense is a bit fragile.

Palermo doesn’t really shine in away games, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored less frequently than Brescia, with only 6 goals, while conceding 10 goals.

Brescia averages 1.6 goals per match at home. Their offensive potential is at 57%, and their defense is at 64%.

Away from home, Palermo only scores an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive potential is lower, at 43%, and their defense is at 36%.

For the upcoming match, Palermo has a 47.62% chance of winning, while Brescia has a 26.98% chance. A draw is predicted at 25.4%.

In terms of goals, the probability is 75.13% for over 1.5 goals and 47.62% for over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 51.32% probability of scoring.

Looking at their recent matches, Brescia seems to be in good form at home with results like Brescia 4 – 1 Lecco and Brescia 3 – 1 Pisa. Palermo has had mixed results away, as seen in matches like Venezia 2 – 1 Palermo and Pisa 4 – 3 Palermo.

Overall, it looks like an entertaining match with a slight edge for Palermo based on the statistics.

The potential number of goals

In the 5 home matches, Brescia has won 2 times, scored 8 goals, and conceded 9 goals. On the other hand, Palermo, in their 5 away games, has only won once, scored 6 goals, and conceded 10.

Brescia averages 1.6 goals scored at home per match and concedes 1.8 goals, with an offensive percentage of 57% and a defensive one of 64%. Palermo, on the other hand, has a ratio of 1.2 goals scored per match away, conceding 1 goal, giving them an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive one of 36%.

The probabilities indicate that a Palermo win is more likely, with a 47.62% chance. A draw is almost as likely, at 25.4%, while Brescia only has a 26.98% chance of winning.

The likelihood of more than 1.5 goals being scored is high, with a probability of 75.13%. However, there is also an 80.95% chance that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in total in the match.

Finally, both teams have almost the same probability of scoring, at 51.32%.

In conclusion, considering the teams’ recent performance and their offensive and defensive capabilities, the match could end in a win for Palermo or a draw, with probably fewer than 3.5 total goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Given all the data and statistics provided on the defensive and offensive capabilities of Brescia and Palermo, as well as their recent form, it is reasonable to conclude that Palermo’s potential victory is the most likely scenario for this match. Brescia’s strong home offensive power could still surprise, making a draw a possibility to consider. Indicators also suggest that there will likely be over 2.5 goals in the match, with a high probability of both teams scoring. Overall, bettors should take these conclusions into account when making their betting decisions on Brescia versus Palermo.