Tipps Bristol City Millwall Championship 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Bristol City wins the match”

1. Bristol City has a better offensive potential at home (43%) than Millwall away (36%), which could allow them to score more goals.
2. Defensive statistics are more favorable for Bristol City. At home, they concede only 0.6 goals per match on average compared to 1.2 for Millwall away.
3. The probability of success for Bristol City to win the match is higher (45.23%) compared to Millwall’s (32.16%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive conditions of both teams indicate that there is no large goal difference in their matches. Bristol City scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals at home, while Millwall scores 1 goal and concedes 1.2 goals on average away. It is therefore logical to expect a low-scoring match.

2. The statistics from the last 5 home matches of Bristol City and away matches of Millwall also show a trend towards lower scores. For example, 3 out of the last 5 home matches of Bristol City had less than 2.5 goals, while 4 out of the last 5 away matches of Millwall had less than 2.5 goals.

3. The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.58, which indicates that bookmakers also consider it more likely that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in this match. This probability is likely based on the past performances of both teams and their ability to score and concede goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. Both teams have shown a strong ability to score goals in their last 5 matches, with Bristol City scoring 6 goals at home, and Millwall also scoring 6 goals away.
2. The defensive history of both teams indicates that they tend to concede goals, with Bristol City conceding 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Millwall conceding 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is 59.8% according to the odds provided, which is higher than the inverse probability (both teams not scoring) of 40.2%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Millwall wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

1. Recent Score History: Both teams have shown a trend of scoring and conceding approximately the same number of goals per match in their last 5 encounters (Bristol City with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded at home, and Millwall with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded away). This trend suggests a possibility of a draw with 1 goal each.

2. Betting Probabilities: The odds indicate a higher chance for under 2.5 goals in the match (1.58). This reflects the performance of these two teams in their recent matches where they tend to score less than 3 goals per game.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: The offensive potential of Bristol City (43%) and Millwall (36%) is not very high, indicating a limited number of goals. Furthermore, Millwall’s high defensive potential (43%) suggests they are likely to limit Bristol City to just one goal, which aligns with our prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bristol City and Millwall have each won 60% of their last 5 matches. They are both equally strong defensively, having conceded 6 goals each. Bristol City has a home advantage and Millwall is used to traveling. Both teams have shown an ability to score.

Bristol City has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 21%. Millwall, on the other hand, shows an offensive potential of 36% and a slightly higher defensive potential of over 43%.

Bristol City’s recent home matches have been characterized by a strong defense and scoring ability. Similarly, Millwall has proven to be in good form away from home, winning the majority of their matches.

The odds indicate that the match is likely to be close, with a 45.23% chance of Bristol City winning and a 32.16% chance of Millwall winning.

There is a 62.81% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 59.8% chance of both teams scoring.

Based on these statistics, a prediction could be that the match will have more than 2.5 goals with a possibility of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Bristol City and Millwall have similar statistics. Both teams win 60% of their recent matches, with 20% ending in draws. They have both scored and conceded 6 goals each in their last 5 matches.

At home, Bristol City averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded, revealing an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 21%. Millwall, on the other hand, averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded away from home, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 43%.

According to the probabilities, Bristol City has a 45.23% chance of winning, while Millwall has a 32.16% chance. The likelihood of a draw is at 22.61%. Betting on a draw or Bristol’s victory seems wise, with a 67.84% chance of success.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 83.92% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. Additionally, both teams generally score, with a probability of 59.8%.

Referring to their recent matches, it’s worth noting that Bristol City has had some setbacks at home, while Millwall seems to perform better away.

In conclusion, this match looks promising with a high probability of having more than 1.5 goals and a possibility of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although Bristol City is designated as the favorite, it may be wise to place a bet on a draw or Bristol’s victory, which has a 67.84% chance of success. However, a true opportunity bet could be on Millwall’s victory, with odds of 3.95 and a 32.16% chance of success.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 83.92% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring stands at 59.8%. Therefore, it would be promising to choose the option “both teams to score: yes.”

Another point is that both teams have shown that they have the ability to score in their previous matches. This suggests that there could be a probability of a draw with a potential score of 1-1.

It is important to emphasize that sports betting remains uncertain. Even though these probabilities, calculated from recent statistics, can help anticipate the outcome, it is important to consider the variable and unpredictable factors that influence the result of a match.