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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Bulgaria Luxembourg
Tipps Bulgaria Luxembourg UEFA Nations League 12/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Bulgaria wins the match.
1. Bulgaria has a home advantage, winning or drawing in 60% of cases, suggesting a high likelihood of avoiding defeat in this match.
2. Luxembourg has a very low away win rate, with only 20% victories, indicating a low probability of winning this away match.
3. Bulgaria’s offensive potential at home (21%) is higher than Luxembourg’s away potential (14%), and Bulgaria’s defensive potential (14%) is also significantly better than Luxembourg’s (71%). This suggests that Bulgaria has a better chance of scoring and a greater likelihood of thwarting Luxembourg’s attacks.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The recent performances of Bulgaria and Luxembourg indicate a trend of low goal-scoring. For instance, Bulgaria has scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, while Luxembourg has only scored 1 goal in 5 away matches.
2. Defensive statistics also point towards a low-scoring game. Bulgaria concedes an average of 0.4 goals in home matches, whereas Luxembourg concedes an average of 2 goals in away matches.
3. Based on the betting probabilities, the most likely scenario is a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a success probability of 101.83%. Additionally, the bet on both teams not scoring has a success probability of 53.66%, suggesting a total goals under 2.5.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. The offensive performances of both teams are weak. On average, Bulgaria and Luxembourg respectively display an offensive potential of 21% and 14%. Therefore, the probability of both teams scoring in the match is relatively low.
2. Luxembourg’s defensive performances away from home are strong with an average of 71%. This indicates they have a high ability to prevent the opposing team from scoring, increasing the likelihood of both teams not scoring.
3. By looking at the results of Bulgaria’s recent home matches and Luxembourg’s away matches, it can be observed that in several cases only one team managed to score. In some matches, neither team scored, reinforcing the prediction that both teams will not score.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Luxembourg wins the match – odds: 2.00
1. Bulgaria’s home performance: Bulgaria has not shown a strong performance at home with only a 20% win rate; they have drawn in 40% of the matches. Furthermore, they have scored only 4 goals in 5 matches.
2. Luxembourg’s weak defensive potential: Despite their low win rate, Luxembourg has displayed a solid defense by conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 away matches, suggesting that they could achieve a draw or even a win against Bulgaria.
3. Comparative odds: The odds of 2.00 for a draw or a Luxembourg win, with a success probability of 49.39%, are much more attractive than the odds of 1.80 for a Bulgaria win, despite a higher success probability of 50.61%. This indicates a ‘value bet’ on the draw or Luxembourg win.
Bet on the exact result
“Bulgaria 1-0 Luxembourg”
1. Bulgaria has a higher probability of winning the match (50.61%) according to the provided statistics. Additionally, in its recent home matches, it has managed to win or draw in 60% of cases, indicating its strength at home.
2. Luxembourg has a poor offensive performance when playing away, having scored only 1 goal in its last 5 away matches. Furthermore, it has a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match away from home, suggesting a low probability of scoring against Bulgaria.
3. The prediction of the exact score (1-0) is also supported by goal-related probabilities. For example, there is a 70.73% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is only 46.34%, leaving a greater chance of a one-goal difference score, as predicted by the exact score of 1-0 for Bulgaria.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Bulgaria has shown a mixed performance at home, with one win out of five matches and the other two ending in a draw. The total of 4 goals scored and 5 conceded reflects this instability.
Luxembourg, on the other hand, has not performed any better away, with only one win and no draws in five games. Their offensive struggles are evident, with only one goal scored.
Bulgaria has an offensive potential of 21%, while their defense stands at 14%. On the other hand, Luxembourg has an offensive potential of 14%, but a more solid defense at 71%.
According to the probabilities, Bulgaria has a 50.61% chance of winning the match. A draw stands at 31.1%, while Luxembourg has only an 18.29% chance of winning.
There is a higher likelihood of seeing the match end with less than 1.5 goals, at a 70.73% probability. Even though the offensive potential of these two teams is low, it is worth noting that more than 2.5 goals have a 41.46% probability.
There is a 53.66% probability that both teams will not score. This is relevant considering their recent performance.
In summary, this match seems to be heading towards a low-scoring encounter, with a slight advantage for Bulgaria.
The potential number of goals
Firstly, Bulgaria shows a modest performance at home. They have won 20% of their matches and drawn 40%. Their offensive record remains low with 4 goals scored, and their defense is lacking, having conceded 5 goals in 5 matches.
Meanwhile, Luxembourg struggles away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches with no draws. Their defense is better, having conceded 1 goal, but their attack is weak with only one goal scored.
Bulgaria has an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 14% at home. Luxembourg has an offensive potential of 14% and defensive potential of 71% away.
The probabilities favor Bulgaria with a 50.61% chance of winning. A draw has a 31.1% chance, and a Luxembourg victory is less likely at 18.29%.
A safe option would be a draw or a Bulgaria win, with a probability of 81.71%. In terms of goals, there is a 70.73% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match.
Considering these factors, a reasonable bet would be a draw or a Bulgaria win, with fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the probabilities indicate that Bulgaria has the advantage in this UEFA Nations League match against Luxembourg, with a better performance at home and a stronger offensive and defensive potential. However, Luxembourg could surprise with its solid defense. Although both teams have struggles in attack, suggesting a low total number of goals, the match could therefore end with less than 2.5 goals.
Thus, based on the statistics, for this Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg match, the safest bets would be: “Draw or Bulgaria to win”, “Under 2.5 goals in the match”, and “Both teams to score: No”. However, for those aiming for higher odds with higher risk, the bet “Draw or Luxembourg to win the match” could be an attractive option. In terms of exact score, the recommended prediction would be “Bulgaria 1-0 Luxembourg”, in line with the expectation of a low-scoring game.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Bulgaria against Luxembourg on 12/10/2024
1. Bulgaria has a home advantage, winning or drawing in 60% of cases, suggesting a high likelihood of avoiding defeat in this match.
2. Luxembourg has a very low away win rate, with only 20% victories, indicating a low probability of winning this away match.
3. Bulgaria’s offensive potential at home (21%) is higher than Luxembourg’s away potential (14%), and Bulgaria’s defensive potential (14%) is also significantly better than Luxembourg’s (71%). This suggests that Bulgaria has a better chance of scoring and a greater likelihood of thwarting Luxembourg’s attacks.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match!
To not miss anything from the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 12/10/2024 in the UEFA Nations League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
Lineups Bulgaria
Lineups Luxembourg
Match Highlights Bulgaria vs Luxembourg on 12/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match on 12/10/2024 at Stadion Hristo Botev stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg
All statistics for the match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Bulgaria against Luxembourg!
Form state of Bulgaria in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Bulgaria has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Bulgaria has a form rating of %.
Form state of Luxembourg in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Luxembourg has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Luxembourg has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Bulgaria against Luxembourg!
Average goals scored by Bulgaria in the current season.
Goals scored by Bulgaria in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Bulgaria
Bulgaria has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Bulgaria in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Bulgaria
Bulgaria has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Luxembourg in the current season
Goals scored by Luxembourg in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Luxembourg
Luxembourg has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Luxembourg in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Luxembourg
Luxembourg has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Bulgaria and Luxembourg, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The recent performances of Bulgaria and Luxembourg indicate a trend of low goal-scoring. For instance, Bulgaria has scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, while Luxembourg has only scored 1 goal in 5 away matches.
2. Defensive statistics also point towards a low-scoring game. Bulgaria concedes an average of 0.4 goals in home matches, whereas Luxembourg concedes an average of 2 goals in away matches.
3. Based on the betting probabilities, the most likely scenario is a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a success probability of 101.83%. Additionally, the bet on both teams not scoring has a success probability of 53.66%, suggesting a total goals under 2.5.
Forecast results from winflix for Bulgaria and Luxembourg!
The last 5 winning predictions für Bulgaria
The last 5 winning predictions für Luxembourg
How do I find the best forecast for Bulgaria Luxembourg?
Finding a forecast for the Bulgaria Luxembourg match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Bulgaria Luxembourg on 12/10/2024 in Stadion Hristo Botev are the team's past performance in the UEFA Nations League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Bulgaria at home and Luxembourg away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Bulgaria and Luxembourg on 12/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the UEFA Nations League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Stadion Hristo Botev, Bulgaria could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Bulgaria and Luxembourg, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Bulgaria and the away win rate of Luxembourg, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Bulgaria and Luxembourg can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/10/2024 at Stadion Hristo Botev.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Bulgaria and Luxembourg, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Bulgaria or Luxembourg on 12/10/2024.
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