Tipps Burgos Eldense Segunda División 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Burgos wins the match

1. The Burgos team has a better home performance compared to Eldense’s away performance. In the last 5 home matches, Burgos has won 40% of the time, while Eldense has not won any of their away matches.
2. In terms of offensive and defensive capabilities, Burgos outperforms Eldense. At home, Burgos has a 64% offensive capability and a 57% defensive capability, while Eldense only has 7% offensive capability and 43% defensive capability when playing away.
3. Previous match results show that Burgos, even when not winning, tends to score more goals than Eldense. Comparing scores from past matches, Burgos has scored 8 goals at home while Eldense has only scored 3 goals when playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Low success rate for both teams: The statistics show no probability of winning for either team. Combined with the fact that Burgos has only achieved a 40% home win rate in their last five matches, and Eldense has not secured any away wins during the same period, this suggests a low-scoring match.

2. Low average goals: At home, Burgos has an average of 1.8 goals per match while Eldense has an average of only 0.2 goals per match away. These numbers indicate that it is less likely for the total goals to reach 3.

3. Strong defensive performance from both teams: Burgos has a defensive potential of 57% and Eldense of 43%. This statistic suggests that both teams are relatively good at preventing the opponent from scoring, which could contribute to a total goals under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. By looking at the statistics, Eldense has shown a very weak offensive potential in their away matches, averaging only 0.2 goals per game. This indicates a significant possibility that they will not score in this match.

2. On the other hand, Burgos has shown some defensive vulnerability at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, but Eldense, with its low offensive potential, may not be able to exploit this weakness.

3. Also, looking at Eldense’s recent away matches, the team has either lost or drawn, without scoring more than one goal in those matches. This reinforces the argument that Eldense struggles to score, especially in away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Burgos wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Burgos 2-0 Eldense

1. Burgos’ home form: With 8 goals scored in their last 5 home matches, Burgos has shown offensive efficiency that suggests they could score two goals against Eldense. Additionally, they have only conceded 8 goals in these matches, indicating they can defend effectively and keep a clean sheet.

2. Eldense’s away performances are not convincing: Eldense struggles to score away from home, with only 3 goals in their last 5 away trips. Furthermore, they have conceded 6 goals during this period, showing a defensive weakness that could be exploited by Burgos.

3. Burgos’ offensive potential and Eldense’s defensive potential: Burgos has a 64% offensive potential at home, while Eldense has only a 43% defensive potential when playing away. This indicates that Burgos has a high likelihood of scoring at least two goals, while Eldense’s defense may struggle to keep a clean sheet.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Burgos has shown a strong performance at home with a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches. The total goals scored and conceded are balanced at 8, indicating a stable performance both in attack and defense.

On the other hand, Eldense has struggled away from home, with no wins in the last 5 matches and having conceded more goals than scored (6 against 3).

In terms of potential, Burgos stands out with an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 57%, compared to 7% and 43% respectively for Eldense.

Burgos’ recent matches have had scores of 2-2, 2-1, 0-0, 1-1, and 3-0, demonstrating their ability to score goals. Eldense, however, has struggled in their away games with results like 0-0, 1-0, 5-1, 2-1, 3-1, which do not bode well for them.

The probabilities for the next match are unclear, adding a level of uncertainty. However, based on past performances and goals scored, we can expect less than 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 100%. Furthermore, it is highly likely that both teams will not score, with a success probability of 100%.

Overall, we can anticipate a low-scoring match, with Burgos having a slight advantage at home.

The potential number of goals

Burgos, at home, has won 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 8 goals and conceding 8. They have an offensive capability of 64% and a defense at 57%. Eldense, on the other hand, has not won any of their last 5 away matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 6. Their offensive potential is at 7% and their defense at 43%.

The recent performance of Burgos indicates a trend towards balanced scores. The team scores and concedes goals at an almost identical rate (1.8 vs 1.6 goals on average). Eldense, on the other hand, seems to struggle to score, with an average of 0.2 goals per match, and concedes 1.2 goals on average.

Considering these data, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals seems likely (100% of predictions). Moreover, it is highly probable that both teams will fail to score (100% of predictions).

Overall, Burgos appears superior in offensive and defensive performance compared to Eldense. However, the tendency for low-scoring matches increases the likelihood of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals. Eldense’s offensive weakness also makes the outcome where both teams fail to score likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past performances and available statistics, it is reasonable to expect a victory for Burgos in this Segunda División match. Their home performance has been strong, and they have had a marked offensive advantage compared to Eldense. Additionally, Burgos seems to have a stronger defense compared to Eldense’s scoring potential away from home. While exact score predictions are always uncertain, a 2-0 victory for Burgos appears to be a plausible forecast.

However, despite the prediction of a win for Burgos, it is recommended to consider a bet on Under 2.5 goals, as both teams tend to be involved in low-scoring matches, and Eldense in particular struggles to score away from home. Finally, it seems less likely that both teams will score, given Eldense’s offensive issues and Burgos’ solid defense.

Nevertheless, every bet carries its risks and every match is entirely unpredictable. It is always crucial to bet cautiously and only place bets that you can afford to lose.