Tipps Burgos Mirandes LaLiga 2 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Burgos wins the match”

1. Burgos has a higher home win rate: In their last 5 home games, Burgos has won 60% of the time, compared to Mirandes who has not won any away matches in their last 5 games.
2. Burgos has a better offensive performance: In the last 5 home matches, Burgos has scored 8 goals (1.2 goals on average per match), while Mirandes has only scored 2 goals (0.6 goals on average per match) in their last 5 away games.
3. Betting odds also favor Burgos: With a success probability of 50% based on current odds, Burgos is more likely to win the match compared to Mirandes, which has a win probability of 32.32%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The away performances of Mirandes have been relatively poor, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. This lack of offensive productivity suggests that they are unlikely to contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Burgos’ home matches tend to be relatively low-scoring, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 0.8 goals conceded in their last 5 games. This trend of low-scoring matches also suggests that a total of under 2.5 goals is likely.

3. Success probability statistics indicate that the “Under 2.5 goals in the match” predicate has odds of 1.53, higher than those of other probabilities available in this match. This suggests that the market believes the Under 2.5 scenario is relatively more probable.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The recent away performances of Mirandes show a low ability to score goals with only 2 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals per match.
2. Burgos has a good defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match and even managing to keep a clean sheet in two of their last five home matches.
3. The statistical probability of both teams not scoring is relatively high at 46.46%, supported by Mirandes’ weak offensive performances away and Burgos’ strong defensive displays at home.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Mirandés wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Burgos 1-1 Mirandes”

1. The draw is a common trend for both teams based on their recent performances: Burgos has drawn in 20% of their last home matches, while Mirandes has drawn in 60% of their recent away matches.

2. Both Burgos’ home scores and Mirandes’ away scores show an average of around 1 goal per match. This shared average suggests the score could likely end in a 1-1 draw.

3. The defensive and offensive statistics of both teams are quite balanced, with similar offensive and defensive potential for both sides. These scores indicate a strong possibility of a closely contested and balanced match, hence the possibility of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Burgos – Mirandes match looks interesting. Let’s first look at the hosts. In their last 5 home games, Burgos won 60% of the matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game. However, they have also conceded 9 goals in total, a number to keep an eye on.

For the visitors, Mirandes, the numbers are not as good. Indeed, they have not won any of their last 5 away matches, and their average goals scored per game is only 0.6.

Based on these statistics, there is a 50% probability that Burgos will win the match, with odds of 2.05. However, we should not overlook the draw, with a probability of 17.68% and odds of 3.10.

Taking into account the defensive and offensive performances, it is also likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals in this match (67.17%, odds 1.18) with both teams scoring (53.54%, odds 2.10).

Based on these analyses, we can anticipate a low-scoring match, probably dominated by Burgos.

The potential number of goals

Burgos is strong at home with a 60% win rate. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match but also concede, with 9 goals against in 5 matches.

Mirandes struggles away from home, with no victories. They only score 0.6 goals per match on average and have conceded 3 goals in 5 matches.

Burgos’ offensive potential is twice that of Mirandes (43% vs. 21%). Defensively, Burgos is also stronger with a potential of 29% compared to Mirandes’ 14%.

The probabilities lean towards a Burgos win with a 50% chance and odds of 2.05, but a draw is also possible with a 17.68% chance and odds of 3.10.

Regarding the number of goals, the highest probability is for over 1.5 goals (77.27% probability, odds at 1.45). This aligns with Burgos’ attacking trend and Mirandes’ weak defensive potential.

Both teams have a 53.54% chance of scoring, which can be explained by the number of goals conceded by both teams in their recent matches.

In conclusion, Burgos seems to be the favorite for a win with over 1.5 goals scored. Special attention should be given to the fact that both teams have chances of scoring. It’s a match that promises to be interesting for bettors.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on detailed analysis and key statistics, it is likely that Burgos will win the match against Mirandes at home. This is mainly due to Burgos’ strong offensive performance and Mirandes’ poor performance in away matches. However, despite Burgos being the more likely winner, a potential draw should not be overlooked. As for Over/Under and BTTS bets, low scores are expected, and it is unlikely that both teams will score. For bettors looking for a value bet, a Mirandes victory could be interesting, albeit risky. Finally, based on recent trends, an exact score prediction could be a 1-1 draw. Overall, this match seems promising for bettors, offering a range of attractive options.