Tipps Burnley Blackburn Championship 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Burnley wins the match

1. Recent favorable history: Recent statistics show that Burnley has a good home record, with a win or draw in 60% of cases. Additionally, Blackburn Rovers’ away record is not exceptional, with a win in only 40% of cases.

2. Odds and probabilities: The odds for a draw or a Burnley win are 1.13, indicating that bookmakers estimate an 80.85% chance of this prediction being successful. This is a high success rate, especially compared to the alternative (Blackburn Rovers win or draw) which has only a 40.43% chance of success.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Burnley has proven their ability to score at home, averaging 2.2 goals per match, and a relatively solid defense that only concedes 1 goal per match on average. In comparison, Blackburn Rovers concede more goals in away matches (1.6 goals per match on average), suggesting a weaker defensive potential when they are away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent match statistics show a high number of goals: Burnley has scored 9 goals in 5 home matches, while Blackburn Rovers has scored 11 goals in 5 away matches.
2. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high, with Burnley having a 79% potential at home and Blackburn Rovers having a 107% potential away. This means there is a strong likelihood that each team will score at least one goal during the match.
3. The probability statistic indicates a 57.45% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match, which is relatively high compared to other goal number predictions.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams heavily favor goal-scoring. Burnley averages 2.2 goals scored per home match and concedes 1 goal per match, while Blackburn Rovers averages 3 goals scored per away match and concedes 1.6 goals per match.
2. The majority of Burnley’s recent home matches and Blackburn Rovers’ away matches have ended with both teams scoring. This reinforces the idea that both teams have a good offensive potential and are likely to score during the match.
3. The probability of both teams scoring in this match is 57.98%, which is higher than the opposite probability of 42.02%. The numbers indicate an advantage for a scenario where both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Blackburn Rovers win the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Burnley 2-2 Blackburn Rovers.

1. The statistics from previous matches show that both teams have a strong offensive potential, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match for Burnley and 3 goals for Blackburn. This implies a high probability that both teams will score in the match.

2. Burnley tends to draw in 40% of cases at home and Blackburn also draws in 60% of cases away. Therefore, there is a high probability of a draw between the two teams.

3. Both teams have shown relatively weak defense in their previous matches, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match for Burnley and 1.6 goals for Blackburn away. This could result in a high number of goals in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Burnley, playing at home, has won 20% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 10. Their offensive potential is at 79% while their defensive potential is at 36%.

Blackburn Rovers have a 40% win rate when playing away from home. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 12 in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is at 107% and defensive at 57%.

The probability analysis indicates that Burnley has a 59.57% chance of winning the match, and an 80.85% chance of either a draw or a win for them.

There is an 82.98% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 57.45% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 57.98% chance of scoring.

Based on recent performances, Blackburn Rovers appear to have a more effective attack when playing away compared to Burnley at home.

Given this information, a possible prediction would be a draw or a win for Burnley with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Burnley is more comfortable at home, with an offensive potential of 79% and a low defensive potential of 36%. However, Burnley only wins 20% of its matches. Blackburn excels away from home, winning 40% of its matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

A meeting between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers promises an offensive battle. On average, 2.2 goals are scored by Burnley and 3 by Blackburn per match. There is a strong probability of 57.45% of having more than 2.5 goals in this match, with odds of 1.73.

The prediction of victory leans in favor of Burnley with a probability of 59.57%, a bet of 1.59 will bring the most return. However, a draw or Burnley win gives a safety of 80.85% with low odds of 1.13.

Be cautious of the opposite option, a draw or Blackburn win offers a probability of 40.43% for good odds of 2.35. A risk that could also be worth taking.

Overall, both teams show excellent offensive ability, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.98%, with odds of 1.75.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account recent statistics and probabilities, we can conclude that Burnley has a significant advantage for this match, especially given their performance at home. However, Blackburn Rovers should not be underestimated, especially considering their offensive performance when playing away.

An interesting prediction would be a draw or a victory for Burnley with over 2.5 goals in the match. The likelihood of both teams scoring is also quite high, so a bet on ‘both teams to score’ could be considered. As for the exact score, a 2-2 draw seems like a credible possibility considering the offensive potential and defensive weaknesses observed in both teams.

Nevertheless, for bettors looking for value, a victory for Blackburn Rovers could offer higher value, despite a lower probability. In the end, every bet carries its risks, and it is crucial to bet responsibly. May the best team win!