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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Burnley Plymouth
Tipps Burnley Plymouth Championship 01/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Burnley wins the match”
1. Burnley’s home performance is relatively better than Plymouth’s away performance. Burnley has won 40% of their last 5 home matches while Plymouth has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Burnley has a higher probability of winning the match, with a prediction of 66.84% compared to Plymouth’s 12.76% probability of winning. This indicates a significant superiority of Burnley over Plymouth.
3. Burnley’s offensive performance at home is superior to Plymouth’s away performance. Burnley has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2 goals per match, while Plymouth has only scored 2 goals in 5 away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per match.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. History of scores: The recent match scores of Burnley and Plymouth indicate a trend towards high-scoring results. For instance, Burnley has seen results such as 2-1 against Portsmouth, 5-0 against Cardiff City, and 1-4 against Newcastle United, all of which exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
2. Goal averages: The average goal statistics per match for each team are 0.8 for Burnley and 1.2 for Plymouth, which combined exceed the 2.5 goals per match threshold.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams show relatively high offensive potential with 29% for Burnley and 43% for Plymouth. Additionally, both teams have defensive potential that could lead to goals per match, with 36% for Burnley and 50% for Plymouth. This combination offers a strong potential for a match with over 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The statistics from Burnley’s last 5 home matches show that they have scored in every match, despite conceding a high number of goals. This suggests that they have a strong offensive ability but a weaker defense, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
2. Plymouth has scored goals in three of their last five away matches, despite a low win rate. Their offensive potential stands at 43% and their defensive potential at 50%. These numbers indicate that Plymouth is capable of scoring goals even in challenging away games.
3. The probabilities indicate a 58.16% chance of both teams scoring during the match. This data, combined with the past performances of both teams, strongly suggests that both teams will score during the game.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw
1. Burnley has a high home draw rate (40%) and Plymouth has an away draw rate (20%) suggesting a high probability of a draw.
2. The attacking potential of Burnley at home and Plymouth away is quite low (29% and 43% respectively), which could limit the number of goals scored and lead to a draw.
3. The odds for a draw are quite high (4.69) compared to the estimated probability (20.41%), suggesting it is a ‘value bet’, i.e. a bet where the expected probability of success exceeds that estimated by the odds.
Bet on the exact result
Burnley 1-1 Plymouth
1. Burnley has a strong tendency towards draws at home, as indicated by a draw rate of 40% in their last 5 home matches. Moreover, when Burnley plays at home, they score an average of goals equal to the ones they concede, indicating an equity in their offensive and defensive performance at home.
2. Plymouth, on the other hand, shows relatively similar performances away as Burnley at home, with a draw rate of 20% in their last 5 away matches. They have also scored 2 goals and conceded 2 goals during these matches, indicating a similar balance between their offensive and defensive performance.
3. The exact score prediction of 1-1 is also based on the probabilities offered for the match: the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 85.2% and that of under 2.5 goals is 62.76% success rate. These two facts are very consistent with a prediction of a 1-1 score.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Burnley is showing strong form at home. They have won or drawn in 80% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 14, indicating an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 36%.
Plymouth, on the other hand, seems less performing away. Wins or draws only account for 40% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 2 goals and also conceded 2 goals, with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%.
In terms of probabilities, Burnley appears to be the favorite with an estimated 66.84% chance of winning. A draw has a probability of 20.41% and Plymouth has only a 12.76% chance of winning.
Regarding goals, there is an 85.2% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. Both teams have a 58.16% chance of scoring.
Based on the data, Burnley seems to have the advantage. The key could lie in their home performance, coupled with Plymouth’s weakness away. Betting on more than 1.5 goals seems like an interesting option.
The potential number of goals
On their last 5 games, Burnley at home has achieved two wins and two draws. They have scored 10 goals but conceded 14. Plymouth away has only won once, scoring just two goals in five matches, averaging less than one goal per game.
Indeed, Burnley is not very efficient in attack, with a 29% success rate, but they have a slightly better defense, with a 36% success rate. Plymouth, surprisingly, seems more efficient in attack away from home, with a 43% success rate, but they concede more goals, with a 50% success rate.
Reflected in the odds, Burnley is the favorite at 66.84%, with odds of 1.44, while Plymouth has only a 12.76% chance of winning, hence odds of 6.90.
In terms of goals, the statistics suggest a game with over 1.5 goals (85.2% probability), with a possibility of over 2.5 goals (62.76% probability). Less than 3.5 goals also seems like a highly probable option (63.78% probability).
As for both teams, there is a 58.16% chance that each of them scores at least one goal.
Overall, the analysis suggests a match in favor of Burnley despite their leaky defense. Betting on a game with over 1.5 goals could be an interesting option for this match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In summary, the anticipation for this match heavily favors Burnley, who have shown to be stronger at home than Plymouth away. Statistics also suggest that the match will be both offensive and defensive, with a high probability of both teams scoring at least one goal and a total of over 2.5 goals being scored. However, a draw offering interesting value bet cannot be ruled out, given the relatively high draw rate of Burnley at home and Plymouth away. The prediction of an exact score of 1-1 also seems plausible considering the balance between the offensive and defensive performance of both teams. Therefore, bettors should carefully consider these factors when making their choices. Burnley’s home performances and historical score trends could also be key factors to watch for in this match.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Burnley against Plymouth on 01/10/2024
1. Burnley’s home performance is relatively better than Plymouth’s away performance. Burnley has won 40% of their last 5 home matches while Plymouth has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Burnley has a higher probability of winning the match, with a prediction of 66.84% compared to Plymouth’s 12.76% probability of winning. This indicates a significant superiority of Burnley over Plymouth.
3. Burnley’s offensive performance at home is superior to Plymouth’s away performance. Burnley has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2 goals per match, while Plymouth has only scored 2 goals in 5 away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per match.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Burnley vs Plymouth match!
To not miss anything from the Burnley vs Plymouth match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 01/10/2024 in the Championship live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Burnley vs Plymouth
Lineups Burnley
Lineups Plymouth
Match Highlights Burnley vs Plymouth on 01/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Burnley vs Plymouth match on 01/10/2024 at Turf Moor stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Burnley and Plymouth
All statistics for the match between Burnley and Plymouth will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Burnley against Plymouth!
Form state of Burnley in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Burnley has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Burnley has a form rating of %.
Form state of Plymouth in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Plymouth has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Plymouth has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Burnley against Plymouth!
Average goals scored by Burnley in the current season.
Goals scored by Burnley in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Burnley
Burnley has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Burnley in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Burnley
Burnley has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Plymouth in the current season
Goals scored by Plymouth in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Plymouth
Plymouth has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Plymouth in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Plymouth
Plymouth has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Burnley and Plymouth, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Burnley vs Plymouth: Probabilities for the outcome
1. History of scores: The recent match scores of Burnley and Plymouth indicate a trend towards high-scoring results. For instance, Burnley has seen results such as 2-1 against Portsmouth, 5-0 against Cardiff City, and 1-4 against Newcastle United, all of which exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
2. Goal averages: The average goal statistics per match for each team are 0.8 for Burnley and 1.2 for Plymouth, which combined exceed the 2.5 goals per match threshold.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams show relatively high offensive potential with 29% for Burnley and 43% for Plymouth. Additionally, both teams have defensive potential that could lead to goals per match, with 36% for Burnley and 50% for Plymouth. This combination offers a strong potential for a match with over 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Burnley and Plymouth!
The last 5 winning predictions für Burnley
The last 5 winning predictions für Plymouth
How do I find the best forecast for Burnley Plymouth?
Finding a forecast for the Burnley Plymouth match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Burnley Plymouth on 01/10/2024 in Turf Moor are the team's past performance in the Championship, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Burnley at home and Plymouth away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 01/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Burnley and Plymouth on 01/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Championship, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Turf Moor, Burnley could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Burnley and Plymouth, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Burnley and the away win rate of Plymouth, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 01/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Burnley and Plymouth can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 01/10/2024 at Turf Moor.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Burnley and Plymouth, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Burnley or Plymouth on 01/10/2024.
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