Tipps Cadiz Malaga LaLiga 2 12/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the provided statistics, both teams struggle to win their matches, with Cadiz never winning at home and Malaga never winning away. However, Malaga manages to secure a draw in 100% of their away matches. My prediction for this match would therefore be: Draw.

1. Recent statistics show that Cadiz has been struggling to win at home. Despite a solid defense (only 4 goals conceded in 5 matches), their 50% offensive potential has not translated into wins, with no victories in their last 5 games and a 60% draw rate.

2. On the other hand, Malaga has also failed to secure a win in their last 5 away matches, but has managed to salvage a draw each time. Their low offensive rate (21%) indicates a potential tight match with low chances of them emerging victorious.

3. Analysing the goal count reveals a trend towards low scores. With Cadiz averaging 1.4 goals per match and Malaga 0.6 goals in their respective last 5 games, we can anticipate a low-scoring match. Previous results support this hypothesis: fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 100% of both teams’ recent matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Recent statistics from Cadiz and Malaga show a low number of goals scored, with an average of 1.4 goals for Cadiz and 0.6 for Malaga per match, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring games.
2. Both teams have very low win records, with 0% win rate for Cadiz and Malaga in their respective last 5 matches. Additionally, with a high draw rate of 60% for Cadiz and 100% for Malaga, it is likely that the match will be defensive, which generally leads to fewer goals.
3. Recent match results indicate a consistent trend towards relatively low scores, with Cadiz scoring 3 goals and conceding 4 in 5 matches, while Malaga has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 in 5 matches. This suggests that the defenses are generally strong and the total number of goals could be under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Poor home performance of Cadiz: In their last 5 home matches, Cadiz has failed to win a single game and has only scored 3 goals. This lack of offensive potential suggests that Cadiz is unlikely to score in the next match.

2. Disappointing away performance of Malaga: Similar to Cadiz, Malaga has not won a single away game in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they have only scored 6 goals in these matches, indicating that they struggle to score on their travels.

3. Teams’ historical records: The fact that Cadiz and Malaga have not scored much in their recent matches and that several past encounters have ended goalless for one or both teams, increases the likelihood of the upcoming match ending without either team scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

“Cadiz 1 – 1 Malaga”

1. The statistics show that Cadiz has a strong potential to draw at home with a rate of 60% in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they score an average of 1.4 goals per match, which supports this prediction.

2. Malaga also seems to have a tendency to draw when playing away, with a 100% draw rate in their last 5 matches. The fact that they only score an average of 0.6 goals per match also reinforces the idea of a low-scoring game.

3. Lastly, the forecast indicates that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match with 100% certainty. This, combined with the previous statistics, makes a 1-1 prediction for the match very plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cadiz has not won any of their last 5 home matches, but has managed to hold their opponents to a draw 60% of the time. However, they have struggled defensively, conceding 4 goals in these matches.

On the other hand, Malaga has failed to win in their last 5 away trips. They have, however, secured a draw each time. Their attack is weak, with only 6 goals scored.

On average, Cadiz scores and concedes 1.4 goals per home match, suggesting a balance between their attack and defense.

Away from home, Malaga is not very threatening, scoring only 0.6 goals per match. They also concede one goal per match.

In terms of success probabilities, they are all neutral, indicating uncertainty about the outcome of this match.

However, there is one certainty: a 100% probability that there will be under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Another certainty is that both teams will not score, with a 100% success probability.

Given these factors, the match between Cadiz and Malaga could end in a draw, with under 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Cadiz has had a moderate record at home. In 5 matches, they have conceded 4 goals and scored 3. Draws are common, happening 60% of the time. No recent wins.

Malaga away has a similar record. They have also been winless recently, with draws in 100% of matches. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 8.

Cadiz’s home offense is average, with 1.4 goals per match. Their defense is also average, conceding 1.4 goals per match. For Malaga, it’s less impressive. They score 0.6 goals and concede 1 goal per match.

The probabilities for all three outcomes of the match – Cadiz win, Malaga win, or draw – are zero.

A closed match is expected, with less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals having a 100% probability.

It seems unlikely that both teams will score, with a 0% probability, unlike the scenario where neither team scores, which has a 100% probability.

Looking at past matches, draws seem to be a recurring theme for Malaga away. For Cadiz at home, the situation is more varied.

Based on this information, a low-scoring match, likely a draw, seems to be the most probable outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and recent trends suggest that we can expect a low-scoring match between Cadiz and Malaga. Both teams have struggled in attack in their recent outings, while maintaining solid defenses, indicating a potentially tight and closely contested match.

The high likelihood of a draw for both teams, along with their low recent win rates, points towards a draw being the most probable outcome for this encounter. Furthermore, the fact that both teams have struggled to score recently enhances the likelihood of a low-scoring match, which is also reflected in the recommendation to bet on under 2.5 goals.

Lastly, despite both Cadiz and Malaga having low offensive output, they have shown some defensive solidity, further strengthening the probability that neither team will score.

It is therefore recommended to bet on a draw with a total number of goals under 2.5, and on both teams not to score. A bet on the exact score of 1-1 could also represent an interesting value bet.