Tipps Cagliari Torino Serie A 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Torino wins the match.

1. Torino’s previous away performances are quite strong with a win rate of 60%. This suggests they have a high likelihood of not losing the match.
2. Cagliari has a low home win rate (20%), indicating they may struggle to win the match. Additionally, they have a draw tendency (40%), further supporting the option of a draw or a Torino win.
3. Taking into account the provided success probabilities, the “Draw or Torino win” scenario has a relatively high success probability of 66.14%. Therefore, betting on this option would be less risky considering these statistics.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show a trend of a low number of goals, especially for Cagliari, averaging less than 2.5 goals per match (1 goal scored on average at home).

2. Torino’s defense tends to perform well in away matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. This suggests that they could limit Cagliari to less than 2.5 goals.

3. The recent home matches of Cagliari and away matches of Torino also demonstrate a trend of low-scoring results, often fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent statistics of both teams show a high number of goals scored. Torino has scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches, while Cagliari averages 1 goal per home match. This suggests that both teams have strong offensive potential.

2. In terms of defense, both teams tend to concede goals. Cagliari concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home match, while Torino concedes 2 goals per away match.

3. Analyzing the last five encounters of both teams, Torino has scored in every one of their last five away matches, whereas Cagliari has scored in 2 of their last 5 home matches, indicating that both teams are likely to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Torino wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cagliari 1-2 Torino

1. Recent Performance: Torino has shown better offensive performance than Cagliari in recent matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game compared to 1 for Cagliari. Additionally, Torino has a higher win percentage at 60% compared to 20% for Cagliari.

2. Win Projections: There is a slight probability for Torino to win the match compared to Cagliari (32.8% against 33.86%). Although very close, when combining this with Torino’s offensive statistics, it is slightly more likely for Torino to end up with a narrow victory.

3. Previous Match Scores: In Torino’s previous away matches, they have often repeated a score of 2 goals, while Cagliari tends to score 1 goal when they do score. This is why a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Torino seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cagliari, at home, struggle to win with only a 20% victory rate in their last 5 matches. The first half is balanced, as they both score and concede 2 goals each.

Torino, playing away, impress with a 60% win rate. However, in terms of goals, they both score and concede, with a total of 11 goals.

Offensively, Cagliari shows fragility with 1 goal scored per match, but they concede more with 1.8 goals. Torino, on the other hand, are more offensive with 1.6 goals scored, but they allow 2 goals per match.

In terms of probabilities, Cagliari has a 33.86% chance of winning, while Torino has 32.8%. The majority of bets are split between a draw and a victory either for Cagliari (67.2%) or Torino (66.14%).

Over 1.5 goals is a likely scenario (75.13%), as well as under 3.5 goals (79.37%). Both teams scoring seems probable (62.96%).

Based on the previous performances, Torino appears to be the favorite despite recurring defensive issues.

The potential number of goals

Cagliari at home wins little (20%). But often draws (40%). By scoring 2 goals and conceding 2, its offensive capability is limited (36%). Its defense is superior (64%).

Torino, away from home, wins more (60%). By scoring 11 goals and conceding as many, Torino’s offensive potential is dominant (57%). Its defense (71%) suggests high-scoring games.

The probability of Cagliari winning is 33.86%. A draw is slightly less likely at 33.33%. Torino has a win probability of 32.8%.

The match could be close, with a higher probability (75.13%) of there being more than 1.5 goals. But the probability of more than 2.5 goals drops to 51.32%.

Looking at previous matches, Cagliari struggles to score at home, while Torino defends poorly away. The prognosis suggests a match with several goals, offering each team a chance to score (62.96%).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on in-depth statistical analysis, this article provides valuable insights for guiding our bets on the Cagliari vs. Torino match. Considering Cagliari’s home match series and Torino’s away matches, it appears that Torino is more likely not to lose this match. Additionally, betting on “under 2.5 goals” also seems relevant, given the current trends of both teams. It is also more probable that both teams will score in this game.

Furthermore, a potentially profitable bet would be to wager on the scenario “draw or Torino wins the match.” The trend of previous matches and the current performances of both teams tend to support this scenario. Finally, regarding the exact score, a 2-1 score in favor of Torino could be a good prediction considering their recent offensive and defensive performances.

It is important to remember that all these predictions are based on statistics and probabilities. Despite the effectiveness of these methods, chance and unpredictability in sports remain important factors. Therefore, it is always advisable to bet responsibly and consciously.