Tipps Caracas FC Penarol Copa Libertadores 08/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Penarol wins the match

1. Penarol has a better win rate compared to Caracas FC: Penarol has won 60% of its matches away from home while Caracas FC has not won any of its home matches.
2. The offensive potential of Penarol is significantly higher than that of Caracas FC: Penarol averages 2.6 goals per away match, while Caracas FC only scores 0.6 goals per home match.
3. The odds favor a win for Penarol: statistics indicate a success probability of 49.47% for a Penarol victory, which is much higher than the 26.32% success probability for a Caracas FC win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Caracas FC’s offensive statistics are quite weak, with an average of only 0.6 goals per home match in their last 5 games. This suggests that we should not expect many goals from them.
2. Despite Penarol showing stronger offensive performances, Caracas FC’s solid defense concedes an average of only 1.8 goals per home match. This indicates a potentially tight match with few goals.
3. Based on the previous matches of both teams, games involving Caracas FC and Penarol often have less than 2.5 goals. For example, 3 out of Caracas FC’s last 5 home matches had less than 2.5 goals, and the same goes for 2 out of Penarol’s last 5 away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Caracas FC has managed to score in all their recent home matches, despite their lack of victories. Additionally, they have conceded at least one goal in every match, indicating weaknesses in their defense.
2. On the other hand, Penarol has a strong record of scoring goals away from home, with an average of 2.6 goals per match. However, they have also conceded goals in every match, once again showing a lack of defensive solidity.
3. Finally, the available predictions suggest that both teams have a chance of scoring in this match (44.21%). While this probability is not the majority, the combination of both teams’ statistics suggests that each team has enough offensive potential to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Caracas FC 1-2 Penarol

1. Penarol’s offensive potential away from home is very strong (93%) compared to Caracas FC’s defensive potential at home (64%). This gives Penarol a higher chance of scoring at least 2 goals.

2. Recent results of Caracas FC at home and Penarol away support this score prediction. Caracas FC has scored at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Penarol has managed to score at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The odds indicate a higher probability for Penarol to win the match (49.47%) and a total of over 1.5 goals in the match has a probability of 67.89%. These factors support the prediction of 1-2 in favor of Penarol.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Caracas FC have struggled at home, without a win in their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to secure 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals per game. Their defense is also a concern, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

Penarol, on the other hand, is strong on the road. They have won 60% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and conceding 1.4 goals. Their offensive strength surpasses that of Caracas FC.

The odds for this match favor Penarol, with a success probability of 49.47%. Caracas FC stands at 26.32% and the draw sits at 24.21%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match seems promising with a 67.89% probability of success. The probability for both teams to score is slightly less convincing at 44.21%.

Penarol’s strong away form, coupled with Caracas FC’s home struggles, statistically gives Penarol the edge in this match.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing recent statistics, it is noticeable that Caracas FC has been struggling to win at home, with 60% of matches ending in draws and no wins in their last 5 matches. On average, they score 0.6 goals per match but concede more, at 1.8 goals.

On the other hand, Penarol is in good form away from home, managing to win in 60% of their last 5 matches. Their offensive ability is impressive, averaging 2.6 goals per match.

The probability of Penarol winning the match is 49.47%, with odds of 1.85. The probability of a draw or Caracas FC winning is 50.53%, with odds of 1.95.

Predicting the exact number of goals can be tricky, but it is more likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 83.68%. This outcome seems to be linked to Caracas FC’s limited offensive capability at home.

It is more likely that both teams will not score, with a probability of 55.79%, reflecting Caracas FC’s offensive struggles.

Considering this information, a prediction would be that Penarol could win this match, with a high probability of there being fewer than 3.5 total goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, performance analyses and statistics from both teams provide a fascinating glimpse into the potential upcoming match. It is evident that both teams have distinct strengths and weaknesses that will need to be effectively exploited or mitigated during the game.

In terms of predictions, the information provided highlights several interesting betting opportunities. Penarol appears to be the favorite for victory, thanks to their solid away performance and a significantly stronger offensive power compared to Caracas FC. Moreover, a total of over 1.5 goals seems likely, with a significant probability supported by the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams. Additionally, a bet on the exact score of 1-2 in favor of Penarol could also offer an intriguing value bet considering the past and present performances of both teams.

However, it is important to note that these predictions, although informed by comprehensive statistical data, remain subjective forecasts. As with any sports betting, a certain degree of uncertainty remains. Therefore, it is crucial to approach any betting opportunity with a balanced strategy, keeping in mind the potential risks and rewards. Nevertheless, the match between Caracas FC and Penarol promises to be a captivating game, with plenty of suspense and excitement for spectators and bettors alike.