Tipps Casa Pia Nacional Primeira Liga 25/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Casa Pia wins the match

1. In their last 5 home matches, Casa Pia won 20% of the time and drew 60% of the time. In comparison, Nacional did not win any of their last 5 away matches and drew 60% of the time. These statistics suggest that Casa Pia’s team could either win or draw in this matchup.

2. Focusing on offensive potential, Casa Pia tends to score more at home than Nacional does away. Casa Pia has an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to Nacional’s average of 0.4 goals. This suggests that Casa Pia has a better ability to score, increasing their chances of winning or drawing.

3. When analyzing the probability of success, the probability for a draw or Casa Pia’s victory is 81.87%. This high probability makes this prediction particularly appealing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Both teams have shown poor offensive efficiency in their previous matches. Casa Pia has scored 5 goals in 5 home matches, while Nacional has only scored 2 goals in 5 away matches, suggesting a low potential for goals in this match.

2. Their defensive capabilities are also strong, as Casa Pia and Nacional have conceded an average of only 1 goal per match in their last 5 respective home and away matches. This indicates that they are both solid defensively, making the likelihood of conceding more than 2.5 goals low.

3. Betting statistics show a success probability of 91.76% for under 3.5 goals in the match, suggesting that bookmakers believe there is a low chance of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show that Nacional has struggled to score in their away matches, only managing to score 2 goals in their last 5 away games. This suggests they may not score in the upcoming match.

2. Casa Pia’s defensive performances at home have been relatively solid, conceding only an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 home matches. A solid defensive potential of 36% suggests they are likely not to concede a goal.

3. The odds of both teams not scoring are predicted at 52.2%. The higher the percentage, the more likely the prediction. Odds of 1.80 also indicate that bookmakers believe there is a high probability of both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.63

Bet on the exact result

Casa Pia 1-1 Nacional

1. The history of their recent meetings shows a strong tendency towards draws: Casa Pia has drawn in 60% of cases in their last 5 home matches, and Nacional has drawn in 60% of cases in their last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and defensive statistics indicate a rather balanced match: Casa Pia has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 36% at home, while Nacional has an offensive potential of 14% and defensive potential of 36% away. Additionally, Casa Pia scores an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and Nacional concedes an average of 1 goal away.
3. The established probabilities show that the teams have a strong tendency to score few goals: the probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match is evaluated at 91.76%, which is quite high, and the probability of both teams scoring is only 47.8%.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Casa Pia at home has shown strength by avoiding defeat in 80% of their last 5 matches, with 1 win and 3 draws. Although they haven’t been very strong offensively (5 goals in 5 matches), they also don’t concede many goals (7).

Nacional struggles away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and scoring only 2 goals. However, their defense seems solid, conceding only 3 goals.

Casa Pia appears slightly favored for this match with a 45.6% chance of winning compared to Nacional’s 18.13% chance. A draw also seems plausible with a probability of 36.26%.

In terms of a prediction, with a 68.68% probability, the match could see over 1.5 goals. This means a low-scoring match could be on the cards given Nacional’s struggles to score away from home.

There is a 52.2% chance that both teams will not score in this match. With Nacional’s limited offensive potential, this could be a possibility.

In conclusion, a draw or a Casa Pia win seems to be the most likely prediction, and expect a low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Casa Pia, at home, has 1 win and 3 draws in 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 7. Their offensive potential is 43% and defensive is 36%, showing a mixed performance.

Nacional, away, struggles to win. They have 3 draws, 2 goals for and 3 against. Their weak offensive potential at 14% matches their 36% defense.

The prediction favors Casa Pia to win with a 45.6% chance. A draw is not unlikely at 36.26%.

Regarding goals, less than 3.5 goals is highly probable at 91.76%. Over 1.5 goals in the match is still feasible at 68.68%.

However, it is more likely that both teams won’t score simultaneously. A 1-0 scoreline is plausible for Casa Pia, considering their offensive ability and Nacional’s struggles away from home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Casa Pia and Nacional looks rather balanced, but slightly tilts in favor of Casa Pia considering recent statistics. Casa Pia has shown greater solidity at home and better offensive capability than Nacional on the road. However, it is noteworthy that both teams have fairly robust defensive performances, which could lead to a low-scoring match. The most likely prediction would be a draw or a Casa Pia win, with less than 2.5 goals scored during the match. As for the exact score, a 1-1 result seems plausible given the trend of both teams to draw. Finally, it appears unlikely that both teams will score in this match, with Nacional facing difficulties in scoring away from home.