Tipps Catanzaro Brescia Serie B 18/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Catanzaro to win the match.

1. Catanzaro has a better success rate when playing at home, with 60% of draws and 20% of wins, indicating a solid defensive stability and low probability of losing the match.

2. Brescia has a low success rate when playing away, with only 20% of games won or drawn. They have also conceded more goals (7) than they have scored (5), indicating poor defensive performance on the road.

3. The forecast “Draw or Catanzaro wins the match” has a relatively high success probability of 69.07%, which is a strong argument in favor of this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show that the recent match scores of Catanzaro and Brescia have generally been low, with most of them scoring less than 2.5 goals on average per match.
2. The teams have relatively weak offensive potentials (43%), which reduces the likelihood of many goals during the match.
3. Catanzaro and Brescia’s defensive percentages are 57% and 36% respectively, indicating a tendency to concede fewer goals, thereby contributing to a higher probability of less than 2.5 goals during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The past match statistics of Catanzaro and Brescia show a clear trend of both teams scoring in their encounters. In fact, in the last 5 home matches of Catanzaro and the last 5 away matches of Brescia, all games have seen at least one team score.

2. Both teams have an equivalent offensive potential (43% for both teams), indicating that they are both on average capable of scoring goals in their matches.

3. The defensive statistics of both teams, particularly those of Catanzaro who concedes an average of 1.6 goals per home match, suggest that it is likely that each team will concede at least one goal during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 35.05% probability of success: 3.50

Bet on the exact result

“Catanzaro 1-1 Brescia”

1. High draw rate: Based on previous statistics, Catanzaro has a high draw rate at home of 60% and Brescia only has 20% away, these numbers suggest a high possibility of a draw between the two teams.

2. Similar average of goals scored/conceded: Both teams have a similar average of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches. Catanzaro on average scores and concedes 1.2 and 1.6 goals per home match, while Brescia scores and concedes on average 1.2 and 1 goal per away match. This indicates that both teams are likely to score during the match.

3. Probability of both teams scoring: There is a 59.79% probability that both teams will score in this match. This, combined with the first two points, also supports the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Catanzaro, at home, rarely wins their matches (20%). They prefer draws (60%) with an average of 1.2 goals per match.

Brescia, when playing away, also rarely wins (20%) and has few draws (20%). They also score an average of 1.2 goals per match.

The offensive potential of Catanzaro and Brescia is identical (43%), with Brescia’s defense (36%) slightly better than that of Catanzaro (57%).

The highest probability is for a draw or for Catanzaro to win (69.07%). An interesting bet.

Both teams have a tendency to score. There is a 59.79% probability that both teams will score.

Few goals are expected. There is a 75.26% probability for less than 3.5 goals during the match.

In conclusion, a draw or a Catanzaro win seems like the safest prediction, with potentially few goals and both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

The Catanzaro versus Brescia match promises to be tight. These two teams have shown similar performances recently. Catanzaro has won 20% of their last 5 home matches, while Brescia also has a 20% away win rate. Both teams have scored 5 goals each during these matches.

Catanzaro’s defense appears more vulnerable with 6 goals conceded, compared to 7 for Brescia. Paradoxically, Catanzaro’s defensive potential is higher at 57%, as opposed to 36% for Brescia.

In terms of goals, Catanzaro and Brescia both average 1.2 goals per match. The probabilities suggest a match with fewer than 3.5 goals at 75.26%.

Regarding the match outcome, a draw is the most likely result at 35.05%, closely followed by a Catanzaro win at 34.02%, while Brescia has a success probability of 30.93%.

Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 59.79%. In conclusion, this match could end in a draw with fewer than 3.5 goals scored in total.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Given the previous analysis and statistics, a tight match can reasonably be expected for the Catanzaro versus Brescia face-off. Catanzaro appears to have an edge when playing at home, while Brescia tends to struggle when playing away. However, both teams have similar offensive and defensive potentials, suggesting that the match could end in a draw.

With high probabilities for a total of goals under 2.5 and both teams scoring, bettors might consider placing bets around these outcomes. The most likely result seems to be a 1-1 draw, offering excellent value bet with odds of 3.50. That being said, the prediction of “draw or Catanzaro to win the match” also appears to be a safe option given the high associated probability.

It will be interesting to see how this match unfolds and if the predictions based on historical analysis of each team’s performances hold true.

Ultimately, the bet will be determined by the bettor’s strategy, but undeniably there is a solid foundation for placing an informed bet on this Serie B match.